190 Cozine Ave Unit 3B · New York, NY 11207

$299,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 666 sqft · Condo · 672 Days on market

Built 1970 ↓ 9% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +6.1/30.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• 1% rule +3.3/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +0.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

MEADOWWOOD AT GATEWAY -3rd Floor Condominium (NO COOP) approx. 666 sq ft with a relaxing 55 sq ft pvt balcony. Large 1 bedroom (can be made to 2 bedroom or home office or Gym) Large formal living-room with hardwood flooring. Kitchen has a marble counter-top with breakfast nook and stainless-steel appliances. Located minutes to Gateway Shopping Mall and Shirley Chisholm Nature Park. Also, minutes driving to JFK Airport. This building has (24) hour, (7) days a week private Security with Elevator and On site Superintendent, laundry room & playground, meeting room. Parking is available for rent for $ 50.00 a month. There are also laundry facilities. Pet Friendly. NO rental or subleasing r

Key facts

• Built 1970
• Listed 672 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $299k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-628 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $276k (7.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (16.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $250k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,495/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 7510% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 672 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $249,546 (16.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 672 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
6. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
7. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
8. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
9. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
10. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
11. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
12. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
13. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
14. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.83% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.04%
• Cash-on-cash: -8.05%
• DSCR: 0.64
• GRM: 10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -28.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.02×
• Total profit: $-82,225
• Equity at exit: $44,582

10-year hold

• IRR: -19.0%
• Equity multiple: -0.15×
• Total profit: $-96,356
• Equity at exit: $25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11207

• Home prices YoY: -26.3%
• Rents YoY: 5.3%
• Active inventory: 254
• Price-to-rent: 10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,495 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,568
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$374 /mo · $4,485/yr
• Insurance: −$125
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA est. from 3 same-building comps: −$467
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$524
• Net cashflow: $-628

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,291

Max offer price $208,075

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-422	-5% $-525	+0% $-628	+5% $-732	+10% $-835
Rent	-10% $-826	-5% $-727	+0% $-628	+5% $-530	+10% $-431
Rate	-1.0pp $-478	-0.5pp $-552	base $-628	+0.5pp $-706	+1.0pp $-785

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $74,750
• Closing costs: $8,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Likely covers: gymsecurity
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 3 events

1. 2024-09-12
   status Pending
2. 2022-12-31
   price $299,000
3. 2022-11-10
   listed $329,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $29,946
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,749
• − Property taxes: −$4,485
• − Insurance: −$2,292
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,396
• − Management: −$2,396
• − HOA: −$5,604
• − Depreciation: −$8,698
• Taxable loss: −$12,674
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,042
• After-tax cash flow: $-4,499/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Kings County · 2,614,986 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 93,198
• Household income: $56,523
• Rent vs Own: 74.1% rent · 25.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 7510.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,847,441 people
• By 2030: 2,937,006 · +3.1%
• By 2040: 3,095,491 · +8.7%
• By 2050: 3,228,968 · +13.4%
• By 2075: 3,321,723 · +16.7%
• By 2100: 3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 10% White 5% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 11%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 1% Swiss 1%
• Foreign-born: 31% · Canada, Mexico, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 67% English-only · Spanish 27% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -138.76%
• Current HPI: 388.434
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.29%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-9.1% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2024-09-12 Pending — BNYMLS
• 2022-12-31 Price Changed $299,000 BNYMLS
• 2022-11-10 Listed $329,000 BNYMLS