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3401 E 153rd St S
D- Composite 37.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$345,747

3401 E 153rd St S · Bixby, OK 74008
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,801 sqft · SingleFamily · 402 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 2-car garage $192/sqft · 11% below area Est $390k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This move-in-ready home in Henson Square is now offered at a lower purchase price. Now under construction in Henson Square , a gated Bixby community with exclusive amenities like a private dog park and scenic pavilion, this Owen floor plan by Simmons Homes is the perfect blend of smart design, modern finishes, and everyday comfort . With four well-sized bedrooms arranged in a split layout , this home offers the flexibility to create a home office, guest room, or hobby space -whatever fits your lifestyle. The open-concept living, kitchen, and dining areas are anchored by 10-foot ceilings , creating a bright and spacious environment ideal for entertaining or relaxing. The kitchen is a true standout, featuring: Custom-built Pure White cabinets to the ceiling A wood vent hood and large island with a hidden built-in microwave White quartz countertops and a stunning herringbone tile backsplash in a mix of silver, gray, and pearl Chrome hardware and brushed nickel pendant lighting for a crisp, modern look The entire interior feels fresh and refined, with Reserved White walls and Pure White trim , offering a bright, airy palette throughout the home. In the primary suite , you'll find a peaceful retreat complete with: A spacious en-suite bath featuring a dual vanity , marble shower , enclosed toilet , and built-in linen storage A huge vaulted walk-in closet designed with extra overhead space for out-of-season storage Additional features include: Herringbone tile flooring in the. ..

Key facts

  • Private dog park
  • Large island
  • Scenic pavilion

Tags

PRIVATE DOG PARKSCENIC PAVILIONOPEN-CONCEPT LIVINGCUSTOM-BUILT CABINETSWOOD VENT HOODLARGE ISLAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $346k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-490 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $275k (20.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (30.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $240k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.8% in Bixby — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#24 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bixby (suburban): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #15 of 270 in OK (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Central Es (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #213 of 845 statewide, top 28%, 646 students, 0% FRL); Bixby Ms (math 37% / reading 30%, grade F, #33 of 345 statewide, top 10%, 1,216 students, 0% FRL); Bixby Hs (math 42% / reading 48%, grade D-, #13 of 447 statewide, top 3%, 2,102 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 19% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 1085 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 402 days — a 12% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $240,466 (30.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 402 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.59%
Cash-on-cash
-6.07%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$389,567
List price
$345,747
Delta
-11.25%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3421 E 153rd St S 0.01mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,880 (+4%) 4mo $353,317 $188 84
3456 E 154th St S 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,865 (+4%) 1mo $359,900 $193 82
3574 E 155th St S 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,858 (+3%) 0mo $375,000 $202 77
15484 S 34th EastAvenue 0.24mi 4/2.0 1,870 (+4%) 11mo $364,900 $195 73
15385 S 37th Ct S 0.23mi 4/2.0 2,031 (+13%) 4mo $385,000 $190 65
3402 E 153rd St S 0.00mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,535 (-15%) 9mo $336,229 $219 63
15404 S 34th EastAvenue 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,046 (+14%) 10mo $388,250 $190 58
3805 E 154th Pl S 0.28mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,001 (+11%) 4mo $400,000 $200 56
15485 S 36th EastAvenue 0.24mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,034 (+13%) 4mo $393,900 $194 55
3424 E 156th St S 0.33mi 4/2.0 2,051 (+14%) 8mo $374,900 $183 55
15486 S 38th EastAvenue 0.30mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,034 (+13%) 8mo $379,900 $187 49
15608 S 36th EastCourt S 0.35mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,034 (+13%) 10mo $359,000 $176 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.3%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-86,353
Equity at exit
$51,552
10-year hold
IRR
-22.3%
Equity multiple
-0.15×
Total profit
$-111,798
Equity at exit
$29,894

Cash invested: $96,809 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
48 active · 15 under contract
Months of supply
16.9 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$354,806 ($187/sqft)
Median days on market
390 d
This list price
42% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+15.5% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 74008

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
1085
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,405 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,813
Tax est. 1.5%
$432 /mo · $5,186/yr
Insurance
$144
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$505
Net cashflow
$-490

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,025
Max offer price $274,887
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-251 -5% $-370 +0% $-490 +5% $-609 +10% $-729
Rent -10% $-680 -5% $-585 +0% $-490 +5% $-395 +10% $-300
Rate -1.0pp $-316 -0.5pp $-402 base $-490 +0.5pp $-579 +1.0pp $-670

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,437
Closing costs
$10,372
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3441 E 153rd St S Bixby, OK 3.0 2.0 1705 $2,200 $1.29 63d 1 0.01mi
3401 E 153rd St S Bixby, OK 4.0 2.0 1815 $2,300 $1.27 4d 1 0.02mi
3442 E 153rd St S Bixby, OK 4.0 2.0 1915 $2,250 $1.17 4d 1 0.03mi
3462 E 153rd St S Bixby, OK 4.0 2.0 1815 $2,450 $1.35 61d 1 0.04mi
4681 E 148th Pl S Bixby, OK 3.0 2.0 1399 $1,950 $1.39 7d 1 0.88mi
14837 S Toledo Pl Bixby, OK 3.0 3.0 1939 $2,200 $1.13 63d 1 0.90mi
14734 S Urbana Ave Bixby, OK 4.0 2.0 2020 $2,500 $1.24 98d 1 0.94mi
14695 S Toledo Pl Bixby, OK 3.0 2.0 1364 $1,750 $1.28 63d 1 0.95mi
14727 S Urbana Ave Bixby, OK 3.0 2.0 2145 $2,500 $1.17 111d 1 0.97mi
14727 S Urbana Ave Bixby, OK 3.0 2.0 2145 $3,000 $1.40 119d 1 0.97mi
14727 S Urbana Ave Bixby, OK 3.0 2.0 2145 $2,300 $1.07 76d 1 0.97mi
14320 S New Haven Ave Bixby, OK 4.0 2.0 1757 $2,200 $1.25 80d 1 1.04mi
14310 S New Haven Ave Bixby, OK 4.0 3.0 1866 $2,000 $1.07 6d 1 1.05mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Homeowners association with annual fee of $600

Exterior

Parking
Attached 2-car garage
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerElectricity availableNatural gas availableCable availablePhone available
Home design
Single-storySlab foundation
Construction
Wood frame constructionAsphalt/fiberglass roofBuilt by builderHome warranty included
Exterior features
South-facingNo safety shelter

Interior

Kitchen
OvenRangeStove
Flooring
Vinyl flooring
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heating (gas)Central air conditioning
Interior features
Quartz and stone countersVinyl windows
Laundry & utility
Gas water heater

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-28
    days on market $345,747 Active 402 DOM
  2. 2026-08-27
    days on market $345,747 Active 401 DOM
  3. 2026-08-26
    days on market $345,747 Active 400 DOM
  4. 2026-08-25
    days on market $345,747 Active 399 DOM
  5. 2026-08-24
    days on market $345,747 Active 398 DOM
  6. 2026-08-23
    days on market $345,747 Active 397 DOM
  7. 2026-08-22
    days on market $345,747 Active 396 DOM
  8. 2026-08-21
    days on market $345,747 Active 395 DOM
  9. 2026-08-20
    days on market $345,747 Active 394 DOM
  10. 2026-08-19
    days on market $345,747 Active 393 DOM
  11. 2026-08-18
    days on market $345,747 Active 392 DOM
  12. 2026-08-17
    days on market $345,747 Active 391 DOM
  13. 2026-08-16
    days on market $345,747 Active 390 DOM
  14. 2026-08-15
    days on market $345,747 Active 389 DOM
  15. 2026-08-14
    days on market $345,747 Active 388 DOM
  16. 2026-08-13
    days on market $345,747 Active 387 DOM
  17. 2026-08-12
    days on market $345,747 Active 386 DOM
  18. 2026-08-11
    days on market $345,747 Active 385 DOM
  19. 2026-08-10
    days on market $345,747 Active 384 DOM
  20. 2026-08-09
    days on market $345,747 Active 383 DOM
  21. 2026-08-08
    days on market $345,747 Active 382 DOM
  22. 2026-08-07
    days on market $345,747 Active 381 DOM
  23. 2026-08-06
    days on market $345,747 Active 380 DOM
  24. 2026-08-05
    days on market $345,747 Active 379 DOM
  25. 2026-08-04
    days on market $345,747 Active 378 DOM
  26. 2026-08-03
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $345,747 Active 377 DOM
  27. 2026-07-09
    statusdays on market $361,853 Pending 29 DOM
  28. 2026-07-07
    days on market $361,853 Active 28 DOM
  29. 2026-07-06
    days on market $361,853 Active 27 DOM
  30. 2026-07-05
    days on market $361,853 Active 26 DOM
  31. 2026-07-03
    days on market $361,853 Active 24 DOM
  32. 2026-07-02
    days on market $361,853 Active 23 DOM
  33. 2026-07-01
    days on market $361,853 Active 22 DOM
  34. 2026-06-30
    days on market $361,853 Active 21 DOM
  35. 2026-06-29
    days on market $361,853 Active 20 DOM
  36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $361,853 Active 19 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $361,853 Active 18 DOM
  38. 2026-06-27
    days on market $361,853 Active 17 DOM
  39. 2026-06-25
    days on market $361,853 Active 15 DOM
  40. 2026-06-22
    days on market $361,853 Active 13 DOM
  41. 2026-06-21
    days on market $361,853 Active 12 DOM
  42. 2026-06-18
    days on market $361,853 Active 9 DOM
  43. 2026-06-17
    days on market $361,853 Active 8 DOM
  44. 2026-06-16
    days on market $361,853 Active 7 DOM
  45. 2026-06-15
    days on market $361,853 Active 6 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $361,853 Active 4 DOM
  47. 2026-06-13
    days on market $361,853 Active 3 DOM
  48. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on marketlisting id $361,853 Active 1 DOM
  49. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  50. 2026-06-09
    days on marketlisting id $345,747 Active 322 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,856
− Mortgage interest
−$19,367
− Property taxes
−$5,186
− Insurance
−$1,729
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,308
− Management
−$2,308
− Depreciation
−$10,058
Taxable loss
−$12,101
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,904
After-tax cash flow
$-2,972/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This move-in-ready home in Henson Square offers a modern and well-maintained living space with ample natural light and a spacious floor plan.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value
  • Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can attract more buyers
  • Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental value
F Composite school gradezoned avg 37/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Central Es F OK #213/845 Nat'l #24,950/41,679 Middle Bixby Ms F OK #33/345 Nat'l #7,937/14,009 High Bixby Hs D- OK #13/447 Nat'l #6,809/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bixby
NCES district ID
4004500
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$75,727
Composite
34.9/100
National rank
#5081
State rank
#15 of 270 in OK
B Composite livability gradescore 72/100

Livability — Bixby

Score
72/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#6029

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bixby, OK
County
Tulsa County · 723,846 people
City population
389,418
Metro
Tulsa, OK
Population (ZIP)
34,006
Household income
$104,000
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
10% of renters

Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
723,846 people
By 2030
766,033 · +5.8%
By 2040
851,386 · +17.6%
By 2050
938,389 · +29.6%
By 2075
1,166,011 · +61.1%
By 2100
1,350,277 · +86.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa

2024 margin
R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $361,853 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-06-08 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $345,747 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $345,747 Zillow
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $353,853 Zillow
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $353,853 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-12-08 Listed $361,853 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-07-22 Listed $361,853 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…