3401 E 153rd St S · Bixby, OK
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$345,747
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This move-in-ready home in Henson Square is now offered at a lower purchase price. Now under construction in Henson Square , a gated Bixby community with exclusive amenities like a private dog park and scenic pavilion, this Owen floor plan by Simmons Homes is the perfect blend of smart design, modern finishes, and everyday comfort . With four well-sized bedrooms arranged in a split layout , this home offers the flexibility to create a home office, guest room, or hobby space -whatever fits your lifestyle. The open-concept living, kitchen, and dining areas are anchored by 10-foot ceilings , creating a bright and spacious environment ideal for entertaining or relaxing. The kitchen is a true standout, featuring: Custom-built Pure White cabinets to the ceiling A wood vent hood and large island with a hidden built-in microwave White quartz countertops and a stunning herringbone tile backsplash in a mix of silver, gray, and pearl Chrome hardware and brushed nickel pendant lighting for a crisp, modern look The entire interior feels fresh and refined, with Reserved White walls and Pure White trim , offering a bright, airy palette throughout the home. In the primary suite , you'll find a peaceful retreat complete with: A spacious en-suite bath featuring a dual vanity , marble shower , enclosed toilet , and built-in linen storage A huge vaulted walk-in closet designed with extra overhead space for out-of-season storage Additional features include: Herringbone tile flooring in the. ..
Key facts
- Private dog park
- Large island
- Scenic pavilion
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $346k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-490 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $275k (20.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (30.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $240k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.8% in Bixby — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#24 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bixby (suburban): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #15 of 270 in OK (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Central Es (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #213 of 845 statewide, top 28%, 646 students, 0% FRL); Bixby Ms (math 37% / reading 30%, grade F, #33 of 345 statewide, top 10%, 1,216 students, 0% FRL); Bixby Hs (math 42% / reading 48%, grade D-, #13 of 447 statewide, top 3%, 2,102 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 19% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 1085 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 402 days — a 12% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 402 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.07%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 12.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $389,567
- List price
- $345,747
- Delta
- -11.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3421 E 153rd St S | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,880 (+4%) | 4mo | $353,317 | $188 | 84 |
| 3456 E 154th St S | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,865 (+4%) | 1mo | $359,900 | $193 | 82 |
| 3574 E 155th St S | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,858 (+3%) | 0mo | $375,000 | $202 | 77 |
| 15484 S 34th EastAvenue | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 1,870 (+4%) | 11mo | $364,900 | $195 | 73 |
| 15385 S 37th Ct S | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 2,031 (+13%) | 4mo | $385,000 | $190 | 65 |
| 3402 E 153rd St S | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,535 (-15%) | 9mo | $336,229 | $219 | 63 |
| 15404 S 34th EastAvenue | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,046 (+14%) | 10mo | $388,250 | $190 | 58 |
| 3805 E 154th Pl S | 0.28mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,001 (+11%) | 4mo | $400,000 | $200 | 56 |
| 15485 S 36th EastAvenue | 0.24mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,034 (+13%) | 4mo | $393,900 | $194 | 55 |
| 3424 E 156th St S | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 2,051 (+14%) | 8mo | $374,900 | $183 | 55 |
| 15486 S 38th EastAvenue | 0.30mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,034 (+13%) | 8mo | $379,900 | $187 | 49 |
| 15608 S 36th EastCourt S | 0.35mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,034 (+13%) | 10mo | $359,000 | $176 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-86,353
- Equity at exit
- $51,552
- IRR
- -22.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.15×
- Total profit
- $-111,798
- Equity at exit
- $29,894
Cash invested: $96,809 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 48 active · 15 under contract
- Months of supply
- 16.9 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $354,806 ($187/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 390 d
- This list price
- 42% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +15.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 74008
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 1085
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,405 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,813
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$432 /mo · $5,186/yr
- Insurance
- −$144
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$505
- Net cashflow
- $-490
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-251 | -5% $-370 | +0% $-490 | +5% $-609 | +10% $-729 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-680 | -5% $-585 | +0% $-490 | +5% $-395 | +10% $-300 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-316 | -0.5pp $-402 | base $-490 | +0.5pp $-579 | +1.0pp $-670 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,437
- Closing costs
- $10,372
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3441 E 153rd St S Bixby, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 63d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 3401 E 153rd St S Bixby, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1815 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3442 E 153rd St S Bixby, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1915 | $2,250 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3462 E 153rd St S Bixby, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1815 | $2,450 | $1.35 | 61d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 4681 E 148th Pl S Bixby, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 7d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 14837 S Toledo Pl Bixby, OK | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1939 | $2,200 | $1.13 | 63d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 14734 S Urbana Ave Bixby, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2020 | $2,500 | $1.24 | 98d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 14695 S Toledo Pl Bixby, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,750 | $1.28 | 63d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 14727 S Urbana Ave Bixby, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2145 | $2,500 | $1.17 | 111d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 14727 S Urbana Ave Bixby, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2145 | $3,000 | $1.40 | 119d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 14727 S Urbana Ave Bixby, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2145 | $2,300 | $1.07 | 76d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 14320 S New Haven Ave Bixby, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1757 | $2,200 | $1.25 | 80d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 14310 S New Haven Ave Bixby, OK | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1866 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 6d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with annual fee of $600
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity availableNatural gas availableCable availablePhone available
- Home design
- Single-storySlab foundation
- Construction
- Wood frame constructionAsphalt/fiberglass roofBuilt by builderHome warranty included
- Exterior features
- South-facingNo safety shelter
Interior
- Kitchen
- OvenRangeStove
- Flooring
- Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (gas)Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- Quartz and stone countersVinyl windows
- Laundry & utility
- Gas water heater
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-28days on market $345,747 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $345,747 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $345,747 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $345,747 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $345,747 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $345,747 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $345,747 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $345,747 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $345,747 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $345,747 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $345,747 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $345,747 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $345,747 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $345,747 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $345,747 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $345,747 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $345,747 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $345,747 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $345,747 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $345,747 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $345,747 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $345,747 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $345,747 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $345,747 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $345,747 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-08-03pricestatusdays on market $345,747 Active 377 DOM
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2026-07-09statusdays on market $361,853 Pending 29 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $361,853 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $361,853 Active 27 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $361,853 Active 26 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $361,853 Active 24 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $361,853 Active 23 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $361,853 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $361,853 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $361,853 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $361,853 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $361,853 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $361,853 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $361,853 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $361,853 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $361,853 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $361,853 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $361,853 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $361,853 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $361,853 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $361,853 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $361,853 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-10pricedays on market $361,853 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-09days on market $345,747 Active 322 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,856
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,367
- − Property taxes
- −$5,186
- − Insurance
- −$1,729
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,308
- − Management
- −$2,308
- − Depreciation
- −$10,058
- Taxable loss
- −$12,101
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,904
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,972/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in-ready home in Henson Square offers a modern and well-maintained living space with ample natural light and a spacious floor plan.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
- Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can attract more buyers ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bixby
- NCES district ID
- 4004500
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,727
- Composite
- 34.9/100
- National rank
- #5081
- State rank
- #15 of 270 in OK
Livability — Bixby
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #6029
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bixby, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 723,846 people
- City population
- 389,418
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,006
- Household income
- $104,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.20%
- Current HPI
- 195.2538
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.34%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $361,853 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-06-08 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $345,747 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $345,747 Zillow
- 2025-12-20 Price Changed $353,853 Zillow
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $353,853 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-12-08 Listed $361,853 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-07-22 Listed $361,853 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…