1700 Illinois Rd · Radcliff, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Radcliff investor special. High potential investment property located at 1700 Illinois Road featuring 1.37 acres of land per PVA records. Electric utility is available at the street. The property utilizes an existing water well and an existing septic tank on the lot, though the structural, operational, and functional condition of both the well and the septic system is entirely unknown. This prime location sits immediately adjacent to new residential developments and other multi-family structures, offering excellent zoning and expansion possibilities. There is a detached structure on the lot built in 1955 that is completely abandoned, unsafe, and uninhabitable. Windows and doors are broken.
Key facts
- 1.37 acres of land
- Existing septic tank
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Chain link fence; Lot of about 1.37 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($846 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.5% in Radcliff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#367 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Hardin County (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #47 of 165 in KY (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 946 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (464 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hardin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.45%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $2,758
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $17,694
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40160
- Home prices YoY
- -14.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $846 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $219
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $264 | -5% $242 | +0% $219 | +5% $197 | +10% $174 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $152 | -5% $186 | +0% $219 | +5% $253 | +10% $286 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $252 | -0.5pp $236 | base $219 | +0.5pp $202 | +1.0pp $185 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03$65,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$812
- − Management
- −$812
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $1,695
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$407
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,222/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
This property requires extensive renovation, including removal of an unsafe structure and replacement of broken windows and doors. It has high potential for investment but needs significant work to become move-in ready.
Repairs flagged
- Major Abandoned structure — Structurally unsafe and uninhabitable
- Major Windows and doors — Broken and unusable
Value-add opportunities
- Both Remove abandoned structure — Clears land and improves safety
- Both Replace windows and doors — Improves safety and usability
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Abandoned structure · Structurally unsafe and uninhabitable | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Windows and doors · Broken and unusable | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Remove abandoned structure — Clears land and improves safety ↑
- Both Replace windows and doors — Improves safety and usability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hardin County
- NCES district ID
- 2102490
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,728
- Composite
- 31.61/100
- National rank
- #5945
- State rank
- #47 of 165 in KY
Livability — Radcliff
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #17445
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hardin County · 77,611 people
- City population
- 23,624
- Metro
- Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,624
- Household income
- $58,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 638.0
Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,573 people
- By 2030
- 103,563 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 97,077 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 88,367 · -16.3%
- By 2075
- 65,405 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 42,245 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hardin
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -29.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+30.2 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+20.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.02%
- Current HPI
- 268.1177
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Metro
- Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $65,000 HKARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…