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1700 Illinois Rd
C+ Composite 64.61
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

1700 Illinois Rd · Radcliff, KY 40160
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · SingleFamily · 17 Days on market
Built 1955 Poor condition 1.37 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Radcliff investor special. High potential investment property located at 1700 Illinois Road featuring 1.37 acres of land per PVA records. Electric utility is available at the street. The property utilizes an existing water well and an existing septic tank on the lot, though the structural, operational, and functional condition of both the well and the septic system is entirely unknown. This prime location sits immediately adjacent to new residential developments and other multi-family structures, offering excellent zoning and expansion possibilities. There is a detached structure on the lot built in 1955 that is completely abandoned, unsafe, and uninhabitable. Windows and doors are broken.

Key facts

  • 1.37 acres of land
  • Existing septic tank
  • Prime location

Tags

1.37 ACRES OF LANDEXISTING SEPTIC TANKPRIME LOCATIONMULTI-FAMILY STRUCTURESEXCELLENT ZONINGEXPANSION POSSIBILITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Home design: Single-family residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Chain link fence; Lot of about 1.37 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($846 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.5% in Radcliff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#367 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hardin County (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #47 of 165 in KY (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 946 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (464 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hardin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $64,025 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.34%
Cash-on-cash
14.45%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$2,758
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$17,694
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40160

Home prices YoY
-14.1%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$846 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$178
Net cashflow
$219

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $264 -5% $242 +0% $219 +5% $197 +10% $174
Rent -10% $152 -5% $186 +0% $219 +5% $253 +10% $286
Rate -1.0pp $252 -0.5pp $236 base $219 +0.5pp $202 +1.0pp $185

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-03
    listed $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,151
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$812
− Management
−$812
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$1,695
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$407
After-tax cash flow
$2,222/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive renovation, including removal of an unsafe structure and replacement of broken windows and doors. It has high potential for investment but needs significant work to become move-in ready.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Abandoned structure — Structurally unsafe and uninhabitable
  • Major Windows and doors — Broken and unusable

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Remove abandoned structure — Clears land and improves safety
  • Both Replace windows and doors — Improves safety and usability

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Abandoned structure · Structurally unsafe and uninhabitable Major $15,000–50,000
Windows and doors · Broken and unusable Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Remove abandoned structure — Clears land and improves safety
  • Both Replace windows and doors — Improves safety and usability

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hardin County
NCES district ID
2102490
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$50,728
Composite
31.61/100
National rank
#5945
State rank
#47 of 165 in KY

Livability — Radcliff

Score
61/100
State rank
#367
US rank
#17445

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hardin County · 77,611 people
City population
23,624
Metro
Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY
Population (ZIP)
23,624
Household income
$58,506
Rent vs Own
46.1% rent · 53.9% own
Severe rent burden
638.0

Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,573 people
By 2030
103,563 · -1.9%
By 2040
97,077 · -8.0%
By 2050
88,367 · -16.3%
By 2075
65,405 · -38.0%
By 2100
42,245 · -60.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hardin

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.7pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -29.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+30.2 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+20.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.02%
Current HPI
268.1177
Rent YoY
▲ 2.20%
Metro
Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $65,000 HKARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…