38 Chiswick Dr · Lindenwold, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.0/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Two story condo. Clean and well taken care of. Currently renter occupied since 2021.
Key facts
- Built 1973
- Listed 6 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/?-bath other listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $777 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 5.3% in Lindenwold — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#312 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, cost of living B; Watch: employment C-, crime D, schools F.
- Lindenwold Public School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #461 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.78%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $26,858
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $87,401
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08021
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,208 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$464
- Net cashflow
- $777
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 Chiswick Dr Unit 1 Lindenwold, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,650 | $2.39 | 1d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 9 Georgetown Rd Lindenwold, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1268 | $2,600 | $2.05 | 1d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 500 Chews Landing Rd Lindenwold, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,750 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 105 Blackwood Clementon Rd Lindenwold, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,600 | $2.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1600 Laurel Rd Lindenwold, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1800 Laurel Rd Lindenwold, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $2,072 | $2.34 | 1d | 22 | 0.51mi |
| 359 Lake Blvd Lindenwold, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $2,900 | $2.42 | 1d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1801 Broadacres Dr Clementon, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $2,032 | $2.23 | 1d | 8 | 0.93mi |
| 1109 Huntingdon Mews Clementon, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 946 | $1,750 | $1.85 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 34 Heron Pl Clementon, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1847 | $2,500 | $1.35 | 1d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1341 Blackwood Clementon Rd Clementon, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,564 | $2.77 | 1d | 26 | 1.25mi |
| 320 W Branch Ave Pine Hill, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,700 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 215 S Atlantic Ave E Stratford, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1460 | $2,445 | $1.67 | 10d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 506 S White Horse Pike Unit F104 Stratford, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,410 | $1.52 | 20d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 506 S White Horse Pike Unit F104 Stratford, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1200 Little Gloucester Rd Clementon, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $3,100 | $3.54 | 1d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 506 S White Horse Pike Unit E201 Stratford, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 506 S White Horse Pike Unit A107 Stratford, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,475 | $1.45 | 10d | 9 | 1.47mi |
| 506 S White Horse Pike Unit C005 Stratford, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,620 | $1.74 | 20d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 506 S White Horse Pike Stratford, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,500 | $1.61 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 84-char remark
-
2026-06-13$140,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,494
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,100
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,120
- − Management
- −$2,120
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $7,540
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,810
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,510/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
The home requires moderate renovations, focusing on flooring and interior paint, to improve its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major flooring — Worn carpet
- Major interior walls/paint — Paint appears faded
Value-add opportunities
- Both New flooring — Fresh carpet would improve both resale and rental value
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint would improve both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| flooring · Worn carpet | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · Paint appears faded | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both New flooring — Fresh carpet would improve both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint would improve both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lindenwold Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3408640
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,390
- Composite
- 12.54/100
- National rank
- #9622
- State rank
- #461 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Lindenwold
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #312
- US rank
- #9603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lindenwold, NJ
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 49,305
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,305
- Household income
- $68,044
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3050.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.73%
- Current HPI
- 338.8351
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.02%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $140,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…