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38 Chiswick Dr
B- Composite 67.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.0/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

38 Chiswick Dr · Lindenwold, NJ 08021
2 bd · None ba · 1,267 sqft · Other · 6 Days on market
Built 1973 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Two story condo. Clean and well taken care of. Currently renter occupied since 2021.

Key facts

  • Built 1973
  • Listed 6 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/?-bath other listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $777 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 5.3% in Lindenwold — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#312 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, cost of living B; Watch: employment C-, crime D, schools F.
  • Lindenwold Public School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #461 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
12.95%
Cash-on-cash
23.78%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.02% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$26,858
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$87,401
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08021

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
237
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,208 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$464
Net cashflow
$777

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
51 Chiswick Dr Unit 1 Lindenwold, NJ 3.0 2.0 1110 $2,650 $2.39 1d 1 0.06mi
9 Georgetown Rd Lindenwold, NJ 3.0 2.5 1268 $2,600 $2.05 1d 1 0.11mi
500 Chews Landing Rd Lindenwold, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 875 $1,750 $2.00 24d 1 0.25mi
105 Blackwood Clementon Rd Lindenwold, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,600 $2.00 16d 1 0.45mi
1600 Laurel Rd Lindenwold, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 900 $1,600 $1.78 24d 1 0.45mi
1800 Laurel Rd Lindenwold, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 885 $2,072 $2.34 1d 22 0.51mi
359 Lake Blvd Lindenwold, NJ 3.0 2.0 1196 $2,900 $2.42 1d 1 0.69mi
1801 Broadacres Dr Clementon, NJ 2.0 1.0–2.0 910 $2,032 $2.23 1d 8 0.93mi
1109 Huntingdon Mews Clementon, NJ 2.0 2.0 946 $1,750 $1.85 15d 1 0.95mi
34 Heron Pl Clementon, NJ 3.0 1.5 1847 $2,500 $1.35 1d 1 0.96mi
1341 Blackwood Clementon Rd Clementon, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 925 $2,564 $2.77 1d 26 1.25mi
320 W Branch Ave Pine Hill, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 882 $1,700 $1.93 24d 1 1.26mi
215 S Atlantic Ave E Stratford, NJ 3.0 1.0 1460 $2,445 $1.67 10d 1 1.41mi
506 S White Horse Pike Unit F104 Stratford, NJ 2.0 1.0 930 $1,410 $1.52 20d 1 1.43mi
506 S White Horse Pike Unit F104 Stratford, NJ 2.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 3d 1 1.43mi
1200 Little Gloucester Rd Clementon, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 875 $3,100 $3.54 1d 1 1.46mi
506 S White Horse Pike Unit E201 Stratford, NJ 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 3d 1 1.46mi
506 S White Horse Pike Unit A107 Stratford, NJ 2.0 1.0 1015 $1,475 $1.45 10d 9 1.47mi
506 S White Horse Pike Unit C005 Stratford, NJ 2.0 1.0 930 $1,620 $1.74 20d 1 1.47mi
506 S White Horse Pike Stratford, NJ 2.0 1.0 930 $1,500 $1.61 22d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 84-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $140,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,494
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,100
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,120
− Management
−$2,120
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$7,540
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,810
After-tax cash flow
$7,510/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 40/100 Moderate rehab

The home requires moderate renovations, focusing on flooring and interior paint, to improve its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major flooring — Worn carpet
  • Major interior walls/paint — Paint appears faded

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New flooring — Fresh carpet would improve both resale and rental value
  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint would improve both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
flooring · Worn carpet Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · Paint appears faded Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New flooring — Fresh carpet would improve both resale and rental value
  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint would improve both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lindenwold Public School District
NCES district ID
3408640
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$42,390
Composite
12.54/100
National rank
#9622
State rank
#461 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Lindenwold

Score
68/100
State rank
#312
US rank
#9603

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living B Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lindenwold, NJ
County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
49,305
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
49,305
Household income
$68,044
Rent vs Own
53.3% rent · 46.7% own
Severe rent burden
3050.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.73%
Current HPI
338.8351
Rent YoY
▲ 3.02%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $140,000 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…