1015 S 24th St · New Castle, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$15,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special!! 2 bedroom 1 bath house that's ready for a complete rehab. Home is boarded up and there's no inside access. Property is being sold as-is with no warranties made by the seller.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; No solid waste service listed
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Wood siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Lot under 1/4 acre (approximately 0.11 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level (12x12 and 8x10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Attic access
- Laundry & utility: No heating or cooling systems listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $567 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($902 rent vs $15k).
- Recommended offer: $15k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 51.7% vs local median 4.8% in New Castle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#64 in IN, #4,219 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- New Castle Community School Corporation (town): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #229 of 301 in IN (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($15k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $4k; list at $15k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 51.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 162.05%
- DSCR
- 8.21
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $87,659
- List price
- $15,000
- Delta
- -82.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1318 S 22nd St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (-0%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $179 | 86 |
| 2318 A Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-7%) | 4mo | $23,000 | $32 | 78 |
| 2128 Grand Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 861 (+10%) | 0mo | $93,000 | $108 | 75 |
| 944 S 21st St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-7%) | 6mo | $65,000 | $89 | 74 |
| 919 S 23rd St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+4%) | 18mo | $100,000 | $123 | 73 |
| 1516 S 20th St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (-4%) | 7mo | $106,000 | $140 | 69 |
| 1418 S 20th St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 825 (+5%) | 13mo | $85,400 | $104 | 63 |
| 1914 G Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-2%) | 21mo | $74,000 | $96 | 62 |
| 238 S 24th St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 820 (+5%) | 18mo | $76,000 | $93 | 56 |
| 1302 S 23rd St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 898 (+14%) | 16mo | $52,000 | $58 | 54 |
| 2118 Vine St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+7%) | 4mo | $128,000 | $152 | 51 |
| 2003 Lincoln Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+10%) | 18mo | $101,000 | $117 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.38×
- Total profit
- $35,198
- Equity at exit
- $2,237
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.89×
- Total profit
- $83,537
- Equity at exit
- $1,297
Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47362
- Home prices YoY
- -16.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 214
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $902 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$79
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $726/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $567
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,750
- Closing costs
- $450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1216 S 19th St New Castle, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 824 | $1,000 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 940 S 15th St New Castle, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 816 | $1,075 | $1.32 | 2d | 2 | 0.62mi |
| 701 S 14th St Unit 4A New Castle, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $615 | $1.02 | 12d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1618 P Ave New Castle, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $950 | $0.89 | 2d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 417 S 12th St Unit D New Castle, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $685 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1104 Thornburg St New Castle, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $685 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $15,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $15,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $15,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $15,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $15,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $15,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $15,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $15,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $15,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $15,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $15,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $15,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $15,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $15,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $15,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $15,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04$15,000 Active 228-char remark
-
2022-09-06soldstatus $4,000 Closed 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Investor Special!! 2 bedroom 1 bath house that's ready for a complete rehab. Home is boarded up and there's no inside access. Property is being sold as-is with no warranties made by the seller.
-
2022-08-19status Pending 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Investor Special!! 2 bedroom 1 bath house that's ready for a complete rehab. Home is boarded up and there's no inside access. Property is being sold as-is with no warranties made by the seller.
-
2022-08-17$5,000 Active 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Investor Special!! 2 bedroom 1 bath house that's ready for a complete rehab. Home is boarded up and there's no inside access. Property is being sold as-is with no warranties made by the seller.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $726 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $726 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,824
- − Mortgage interest
- −$840
- − Property taxes
- −$726
- − Insurance
- −$75
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$866
- − Management
- −$866
- − Depreciation
- −$436
- Taxable income
- $7,015
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,683
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,123/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Castle Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1807440
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,717
- Composite
- 26.99/100
- National rank
- #7067
- State rank
- #229 of 301 in IN
Livability — New Castle
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #64
- US rank
- #4219
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Castle, IN
- County
- Henry County · 29,337 people
- City population
- 29,337
- Metro
- New Castle, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,337
- Household income
- $60,258
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 545.0
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,028 people
- By 2030
- 47,125 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 44,820 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 42,207 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 35,814 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 26,779 · -44.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.7) · D 25.3% · R 73.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.9pp · 2024: -47.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.7 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+3.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.70%
- Current HPI
- 228.8885
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.59%
- Metro
- New Castle, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $15,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-06 Sold (MLS) $4,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-19 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-17 Listed $5,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2024): $726 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…