12141 Spartan Way #202 · Bayonet Point, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to easy, MAINTENANCE-FREE living in the desirable 55+ Hillside Condo Community! This well-maintained second-floor condo offers 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, covered parking, and a relaxed Florida lifestyle with an HOA THAT COVERS water, sewer, trash, cable, internet, exterior maintenance, roof care, pest control, and beautifully maintained grounds. Inside, you’ll find a bright open living and dining area with sliding glass doors leading to a covered, SCREENED PORCH—perfect for enjoying morning coffee or evening relaxation. The kitchen features a breakfast bar, generous cabinet space, and a spacious breakfast nook with peaceful views. The SPLIT-BEDROOMS layout provides privacy
Key facts
- En suite bathroom
- Large walk in closet
- Breakfast bar
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Condo land included; No condo fee amount listed separately
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $375; total annual fees $4,500; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee $375 (includes cable TV, internet, pool, trash, water, sewer, pest control, maintenance grounds and structure, recreational facilities, escrow reserves); Association approval required; Community amenities: clubhouse, pool, recreation facilities, shuffleboard court, community mailbox, deed restrictions; Pets allowed (max 30 lbs); Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 1 space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Condominium (residential); One story (unit on 2nd floor); Faces northeast
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of a multi-unit building
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Front porch; Rear porch; Screened porch; Balcony; Sliding doors; On-site storage shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range (stove); Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 5.3% in Bayonet Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#485 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D+, schools F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 790 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 323 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 323 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.26%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-9,436
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-7,477
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34667
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 790
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,678 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $475/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$375
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $231
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $299 | -5% $265 | +0% $231 | +5% $197 | +10% $163 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $99 | -5% $165 | +0% $231 | +5% $298 | +10% $364 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $292 | -0.5pp $262 | base $231 | +0.5pp $200 | +1.0pp $169 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12041 Hoosier Ct #204 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 12041 Hoosier Ct #204 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 18d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 12027 Hoosier Ct #203 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 7616 Danube Dr Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,350 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 7602 Danube Dr Unit 7602 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,600 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 7924 Halsey Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 7924 Halsey Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 12200 Hudson Ridge Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,468 | $1.33 | 3d | 10 | 0.43mi |
| 11630 Paige Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,680 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 7433 Greystone Dr #7433 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 11610 Meadow Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,570 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 11611 Constance Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,540 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 11611 Constance Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,540 | $1.57 | 12d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7539 Gulf Highlands Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,550 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8304 Mill Creek Ln Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7715 Sue Ellen Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,495 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 8312 Mill Creek Ln Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,600 | $1.39 | 0d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8312 Mill Creek Ln Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,600 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 7608 Sue Ellen Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,400 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 7804 Topay Ln Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,795 | $1.60 | 0d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 12702 Social Dr Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,500 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 12809 College Hill Dr Hudson, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,780 | $1.60 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7530 Judith Cres Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,695 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7530 Judith Cres Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7520 Hawthorn Dr Unit NA Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 7520 Hawthorn Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 7531 Greybirch Ter Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 7300 Country Club Dr Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,400 | $1.51 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 11241 Yewtree Ave Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,950 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 8161 Braddock Cir #1 Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 18d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 11635 Salmon Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 816 | $1,500 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 8305 Sandwedge Cir Unit A Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 11138 Yellowwood Ln Unit NA Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7540 Venice Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $1,775 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7724 Tyson Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7705 Ilex Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $2,000 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 12221 Holbrook Dr Bayonet Point, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 761 | $1,685 | $2.21 | 0d | 58 | 1.07mi |
| 7213 Seward Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 11103 Harding Dr Unit 2 Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,450 | $1.91 | 20d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 12535 3rd Isle Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $2,600 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $375 · $4,500/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashinternetcablelandscapingexterior maint.
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-03-30price $120,000
-
2026-01-09price $127,000
-
2025-08-17price $128,000
-
2025-07-30$130,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $475 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $996 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- +$521/yr (+$43/mo · 109.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,131
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$475
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,610
- − Management
- −$1,610
- − HOA
- −$4,500
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $1,122
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$269
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,507/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bayonet Point
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #485
- US rank
- #8934
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bayonet Point, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,689
- Household income
- $51,280
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 946.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.96%
- Current HPI
- 307.5552
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.26%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-7.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $120,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $127,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-17 Price Changed $128,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-30 Listed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $475 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…