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42 & 566 42 Kinney / 566 Piermont St Duplex
B- Composite 68.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

42 & 566 42 Kinney / 566 Piermont St · Piermont, NY 10968
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,546 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1920 1,742 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Drive by Only Short sale. Sold as is. The two unit building straddles 2 streets 1 apartment on 42 Kinney. The other on 566 Piermont

Key facts

  • 1,742 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 10 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $972 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $486/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $350k).
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 0.4% in Piermont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#571 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • South Orangetown Central School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #183 of 590 in NY (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: William O Schaefer Elementary School (576 students, 18% FRL); South Orangetown Middle School (math 39% / reading 65%, grade C+, #241 of 729 statewide, top 35%, 633 students, 20% FRL); Tappan Zee High School (math 94% / reading 92%, grade A+, #147 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 953 students, 22% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 59% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Orangetown Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($145k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $275k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $350,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
9.82%
Cash-on-cash
12.58%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$5,779
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$87,135
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 10968

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,337 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$1,207 /mo · $14,489/yr
Insurance
$146
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,121
Net cashflow
$972

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,107
Max offer price $350,000
Occupancy floor 77%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $5,337

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
351 Piermont Ave Piermont, NY 3.0 1.5 1694 $5,295 $3.13 1d 1 0.41mi
306 Piermont Ave Piermont, NY 3.0 2.0 1375 $3,950 $2.87 18d 1 0.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2025-09-16
    status Pending
  2. 2025-09-05
    listed $350,000 Active
  3. 2003-05-21
    soldstatus $275,000
  4. 1975-02-17
    soldstatus $78,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$14,489 · $1,207/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$14,489 · $1,207/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$64,044
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$14,489
− Insurance
−$2,416
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,124
− Management
−$5,124
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable income
$7,104
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,705
After-tax cash flow
$9,959/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Orangetown Central School District
NCES district ID
3627450
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$102,606
Composite
55.22/100
National rank
#1270
State rank
#183 of 590 in NY

Livability — Piermont

Score
67/100
State rank
#571
US rank
#10275

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Piermont, NY
County
Rockland County · 98,828 people
City population
2,456
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
2,456
Household income
$145,000
Rent vs Own
33.2% rent · 66.8% own
Severe rent burden
82.0

Population outlook (Rockland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
339,642 people
By 2030
345,987 · +1.9%
By 2040
357,178 · +5.2%
By 2050
362,456 · +6.7%
By 2075
367,281 · +8.1%
By 2100
328,211 · -3.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 5% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
12% · South Korea, Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Korean 6% Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockland

2024 margin
R (+11.8) · D 44.1% · R 55.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -11.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.8 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+5.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.10%
Current HPI
223.2897
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+348.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-16 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $350,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $275,000 Public Records
  • 1975-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $14,489 · +49.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…