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6246 Lake Spgs
D- Composite 39.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • Schools +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$319,900

6246 Lake Spgs · Mason, OH 45040
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,415 sqft · Condo public records · 123 Days on market
Built 2000 $226/sqft · 20% above area Est $267k · 20% over $349/mo HOA · 11% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Rare opportunity to own a better than new 3BR/2BA condo in Mason's sought-after Lake Springs community. This Drees Tamarack model features soaring 9ft ceilings throughout and a vaulted 23x13 living area for a grand, open feel. The home boasts a 2024 total kitchen remodel with premium granite countertops, new cabinetry, and all-new stainless steel appliances. Peace of mind is guaranteed with a new HOA-maintained roof (2024), high-efficiency HVAC (2020) and a new 2024 washer and dryer included. Enjoy a private balcony, garage, and resort-style amenities including a pool and clubhouse. Located in top-rated Mason City Schools-truly turn-key!

Key facts

  • High efficiency hvac
  • New cabinetry
  • $349 HOA

Tags

TOTAL KITCHEN REMODELPREMIUM GRANITE COUNTERTOPSNEW CABINETRYSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESNEW HOA MAINTAINED ROOFHIGH EFFICIENCY HVAC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($197/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $314k (2.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $282k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in Mason — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#43 in OH, #590 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute F.
  • Mason City (suburban): math 81% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #33 of 656 in OH (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Mason Early Childhood Center Elementary School (2,085 students, 10% FRL); Mason Middle School (math 77% / reading 80%, grade A+, #58 of 654 statewide, top 9%, 1,662 students, 8% FRL); William Mason High School (math 74% / reading 86%, grade A, #31 of 781 statewide, top 4%, 3,414 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 8% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $203k; list at $320k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $281,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.22%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$266,821
List price
$319,900
Delta
19.89%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-48,971
Equity at exit
$47,698
10-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-33,771
Equity at exit
$27,659

Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45040

Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,136 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$301 /mo · $3,617/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$349
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$659
Net cashflow
$16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,116
Max offer price $319,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $198 -5% $107 +0% $16 +5% $-74 +10% $-165
Rent -10% $-231 -5% $-107 +0% $16 +5% $140 +10% $264
Rate -1.0pp $178 -0.5pp $98 base $16 +0.5pp $-66 +1.0pp $-151

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,975
Closing costs
$9,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6342 Coverage CT Mason, OH 3.0 2.5 1676 $3,250 $1.94 45d 1 0.39mi
105 Boyd Ln Mason, OH 4.0 2.0 1485 $4,995 $3.36 18d 1 0.81mi
996 Brookcrest Dr Mason, OH 3.0 2.0 1073 $2,100 $1.96 45d 1 1.11mi
1041 Sheffield Dr Mason, OH 3.0 1.5 1086 $2,350 $2.16 25d 1 1.35mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$349 · $4,188/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $319,900 Contingency Pending 123 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $319,900 Active 120 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $319,900 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $319,900 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $319,900 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $319,900 Active 115 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $319,900 Active 111 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $319,900 Active 110 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $319,900 Active 109 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $319,900 Active 105 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $319,900 Active 104 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $319,900 Active 103 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $319,900 Active 102 DOM
  14. 2026-03-28
    price $319,900 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    Rare opportunity to own a better than new 3BR/2BA condo in Mason's sought-after Lake Springs community. This Drees Tamarack model features soaring 9ft ceilings throughout and a vaulted 23x13 living area for a grand, open feel. The home boasts a 2024 total kitchen remodel with premium granite countertops, new cabinetry, and all-new stainless steel appliances. Peace of mind is guaranteed with a new HOA-maintained roof (2024), high-efficiency HVAC (2020) and a new 2024 washer and dryer included. Enjoy a private balcony, garage, and resort-style amenities including a pool and clubhouse. Located in top-rated Mason City Schools-truly turn-key!

  15. 2026-02-18
    listed $324,900 Active 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    Rare opportunity to own a better than new 3BR/2BA condo in Mason's sought-after Lake Springs community. This Drees Tamarack model features soaring 9ft ceilings throughout and a vaulted 23x13 living area for a grand, open feel. The home boasts a 2024 total kitchen remodel with premium granite countertops, new cabinetry, and all-new stainless steel appliances. Peace of mind is guaranteed with a new HOA-maintained roof (2024), high-efficiency HVAC (2020) and a new 2024 washer and dryer included. Enjoy a private balcony, garage, and resort-style amenities including a pool and clubhouse. Located in top-rated Mason City Schools-truly turn-key!

  16. 2020-12-09
    soldstatus $203,000
  17. 2020-11-25
    soldstatus $203,000 Sold 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    Everything NEW! HVAC 2020, all flooring 2020, freshly painted, newly refreshed kitchen w/new countertops & painted cabinets, both toilets brand new. Do nothing but move into this better than new condo in great location of Mason.

  18. 2020-10-21
    historical Contingency Pending 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    Everything NEW! HVAC 2020, all flooring 2020, freshly painted, newly refreshed kitchen w/new countertops & painted cabinets, both toilets brand new. Do nothing but move into this better than new condo in great location of Mason.

  19. 2020-10-20
    listed $198,500 Active 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    Everything NEW! HVAC 2020, all flooring 2020, freshly painted, newly refreshed kitchen w/new countertops & painted cabinets, both toilets brand new. Do nothing but move into this better than new condo in great location of Mason.

  20. 2005-03-08
    soldstatus $139,500
  21. 2005-03-01
    soldstatus $139,500
  22. 2005-01-17
    listed $138,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,617 · $301/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,304 · $359/mo
Expected delta
+$687/yr (+$57/mo · 19.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,636
− Mortgage interest
−$17,919
− Property taxes
−$3,617
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,011
− Management
−$3,011
− HOA
−$4,188
− Depreciation
−$9,306
Taxable loss
−$5,015
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,204
After-tax cash flow
$1,401/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mason City
NCES district ID
3905045
Math proficiency
81% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
81% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$91,430
Composite
72.46/100
National rank
#200
State rank
#33 of 656 in OH

Livability — Mason

Score
85/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#590

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mason, OH
County
Warren County · 196,906 people
City population
59,518
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
59,518
Household income
$133,240
Rent vs Own
22.3% rent · 77.7% own
Severe rent burden
562.0

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,603 people
By 2030
259,345 · +4.3%
By 2040
277,666 · +11.7%
By 2050
289,599 · +16.5%
By 2075
311,681 · +25.4%
By 2100
302,738 · +21.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Asian 19% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
77% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 6% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.5) · D 33.8% · R 65.3%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -31.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.5 2020: R+30.8 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+36.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.08%
Current HPI
234.0754
Rent YoY
▲ 3.51%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+131.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $319,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $324,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2020-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $203,000 Public Records
  • 2020-11-25 Sold (MLS) $203,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2020-10-21 Contingent Cincy MLS
  • 2020-10-20 Listed $198,500 Cincy MLS
  • 2005-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $139,500 Public Records
  • 2005-03-01 Sold (MLS) $139,500 Cincy MLS
  • 2005-01-17 Listed $138,500 Cincy MLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,617 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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