6246 Lake Spgs · Mason, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- Schools +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$319,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rare opportunity to own a better than new 3BR/2BA condo in Mason's sought-after Lake Springs community. This Drees Tamarack model features soaring 9ft ceilings throughout and a vaulted 23x13 living area for a grand, open feel. The home boasts a 2024 total kitchen remodel with premium granite countertops, new cabinetry, and all-new stainless steel appliances. Peace of mind is guaranteed with a new HOA-maintained roof (2024), high-efficiency HVAC (2020) and a new 2024 washer and dryer included. Enjoy a private balcony, garage, and resort-style amenities including a pool and clubhouse. Located in top-rated Mason City Schools-truly turn-key!
Key facts
- High efficiency hvac
- New cabinetry
- $349 HOA
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($197/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $314k (2.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $282k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in Mason — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#43 in OH, #590 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute F.
- Mason City (suburban): math 81% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #33 of 656 in OH (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Mason Early Childhood Center Elementary School (2,085 students, 10% FRL); Mason Middle School (math 77% / reading 80%, grade A+, #58 of 654 statewide, top 9%, 1,662 students, 8% FRL); William Mason High School (math 74% / reading 86%, grade A, #31 of 781 statewide, top 4%, 3,414 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 8% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $203k; list at $320k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.22%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $266,821
- List price
- $319,900
- Delta
- 19.89%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-48,971
- Equity at exit
- $47,698
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-33,771
- Equity at exit
- $27,659
Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45040
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,136 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$301 /mo · $3,617/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$349
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$659
- Net cashflow
- $16
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $198 | -5% $107 | +0% $16 | +5% $-74 | +10% $-165 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-231 | -5% $-107 | +0% $16 | +5% $140 | +10% $264 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $178 | -0.5pp $98 | base $16 | +0.5pp $-66 | +1.0pp $-151 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,975
- Closing costs
- $9,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6342 Coverage CT Mason, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1676 | $3,250 | $1.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 105 Boyd Ln Mason, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $4,995 | $3.36 | 18d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 996 Brookcrest Dr Mason, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $2,100 | $1.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1041 Sheffield Dr Mason, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1086 | $2,350 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $349 · $4,188/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $319,900 Contingency Pending 123 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $319,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $319,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $319,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $319,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $319,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $319,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $319,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $319,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $319,900 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $319,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $319,900 Active 103 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $319,900 Active 102 DOM
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2026-03-28price $319,900 645-char remark
Show marketing remark (645 chars)
Rare opportunity to own a better than new 3BR/2BA condo in Mason's sought-after Lake Springs community. This Drees Tamarack model features soaring 9ft ceilings throughout and a vaulted 23x13 living area for a grand, open feel. The home boasts a 2024 total kitchen remodel with premium granite countertops, new cabinetry, and all-new stainless steel appliances. Peace of mind is guaranteed with a new HOA-maintained roof (2024), high-efficiency HVAC (2020) and a new 2024 washer and dryer included. Enjoy a private balcony, garage, and resort-style amenities including a pool and clubhouse. Located in top-rated Mason City Schools-truly turn-key!
-
2026-02-18$324,900 Active 645-char remark
Show marketing remark (645 chars)
Rare opportunity to own a better than new 3BR/2BA condo in Mason's sought-after Lake Springs community. This Drees Tamarack model features soaring 9ft ceilings throughout and a vaulted 23x13 living area for a grand, open feel. The home boasts a 2024 total kitchen remodel with premium granite countertops, new cabinetry, and all-new stainless steel appliances. Peace of mind is guaranteed with a new HOA-maintained roof (2024), high-efficiency HVAC (2020) and a new 2024 washer and dryer included. Enjoy a private balcony, garage, and resort-style amenities including a pool and clubhouse. Located in top-rated Mason City Schools-truly turn-key!
-
2020-12-09soldstatus $203,000
-
2020-11-25soldstatus $203,000 Sold 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Everything NEW! HVAC 2020, all flooring 2020, freshly painted, newly refreshed kitchen w/new countertops & painted cabinets, both toilets brand new. Do nothing but move into this better than new condo in great location of Mason.
-
2020-10-21historical Contingency Pending 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Everything NEW! HVAC 2020, all flooring 2020, freshly painted, newly refreshed kitchen w/new countertops & painted cabinets, both toilets brand new. Do nothing but move into this better than new condo in great location of Mason.
-
2020-10-20$198,500 Active 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Everything NEW! HVAC 2020, all flooring 2020, freshly painted, newly refreshed kitchen w/new countertops & painted cabinets, both toilets brand new. Do nothing but move into this better than new condo in great location of Mason.
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2005-03-08soldstatus $139,500
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2005-03-01soldstatus $139,500
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2005-01-17$138,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,617 · $301/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,304 · $359/mo
- Expected delta
- +$687/yr (+$57/mo · 19.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,636
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,919
- − Property taxes
- −$3,617
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,011
- − Management
- −$3,011
- − HOA
- −$4,188
- − Depreciation
- −$9,306
- Taxable loss
- −$5,015
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,204
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,401/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mason City
- NCES district ID
- 3905045
- Math proficiency
- 81% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 81% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $91,430
- Composite
- 72.46/100
- National rank
- #200
- State rank
- #33 of 656 in OH
Livability — Mason
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #590
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mason, OH
- County
- Warren County · 196,906 people
- City population
- 59,518
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,518
- Household income
- $133,240
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 562.0
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,603 people
- By 2030
- 259,345 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 277,666 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 289,599 · +16.5%
- By 2075
- 311,681 · +25.4%
- By 2100
- 302,738 · +21.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Asian 19% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 6% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.5) · D 33.8% · R 65.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.5 2020: R+30.8 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -210.08%
- Current HPI
- 234.0754
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.51%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+131.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $319,900 Cincy MLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $324,900 Cincy MLS
- 2020-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $203,000 Public Records
- 2020-11-25 Sold (MLS) $203,000 Cincy MLS
- 2020-10-21 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2020-10-20 Listed $198,500 Cincy MLS
- 2005-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $139,500 Public Records
- 2005-03-01 Sold (MLS) $139,500 Cincy MLS
- 2005-01-17 Listed $138,500 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,617 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…