40 E Ransom St · Port Allegany, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$98,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming in-town home situated on a level . 20-acre lot with plenty of potential! This property features a convenient first-floor bedroom and 1/2bath, with two additional bedrooms located upstairs. The home offers low-maintenance vinyl siding and a durable metal roof. Spacious yard provides room for gardening, outdoor entertaining, or future improvements. Conveniently located close to town amenities, shopping, and schools. A great opportunity for homeowners or investors looking to add their personal touch!
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- First-floor bedroom
- Metal roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Lot about 0.2 acre
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Gas water heater; 8 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#804 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Port Allegany SD (rural): math 26% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #433 of 539 in PA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in McKean County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- McKean County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.93%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $20,563
- Equity at exit
- $39,699
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $60,634
- Equity at exit
- $57,701
Cash invested: $27,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16743
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,120 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,429/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $206
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $262 | -5% $234 | +0% $206 | +5% $178 | +10% $150 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $117 | -5% $162 | +0% $206 | +5% $250 | +10% $294 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $256 | -0.5pp $231 | base $206 | +0.5pp $180 | +1.0pp $154 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,725
- Closing costs
- $2,967
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $98,900 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $98,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $109,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$119,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,429 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,496 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$67/yr (+$6/mo · 4.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,442
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,540
- − Property taxes
- −$1,429
- − Insurance
- −$494
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,075
- − Management
- −$1,075
- − Depreciation
- −$2,877
- Taxable income
- $951
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$228
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,244/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Port Allegany SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219530
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,306
- Composite
- 27.8/100
- National rank
- #6890
- State rank
- #433 of 539 in PA
Livability — Port Allegany
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #804
- US rank
- #8184
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Allegany, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,960
Population outlook (McKean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,518 people
- By 2030
- 39,290 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 36,438 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 33,556 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 27,682 · -31.7%
- By 2100
- 21,726 · -46.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McKean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.2) · D 26.0% · R 73.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.3pp · 2024: -47.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.2 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+28.2 2008: R+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.13%
- Current HPI
- 135.0654
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $119,900 NMPA
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,429 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…