1038 Saint Charles St · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cottage style home 2 bedroom 1 bath, central air/heat, fenced in backyard. Close to interstate and shopping!
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; City electric
- Home design: Single family residence
- Construction: Wood siding frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; City street frontage (paved)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric stove; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Formica counters; Aluminum-framed windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $532 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Woodvale Elementary School (math 56% / reading 59%, grade C+, #76 of 646 statewide, top 12%, 890 students, 56% FRL); Paul Breaux Middle School (math 30% / reading 37%, grade F, #100 of 218 statewide, top 47%, 680 students, 68% FRL); Northside High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #186 of 265 statewide, top 73%, 655 students, 83% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $481 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 5692% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $58k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.83%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $92,728
- List price
- $69,500
- Delta
- -25.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1038 Saint Charles St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,046 (+2%) | 1mo | $57,750 | $55 | 96 |
| 404 Attakapas Rd | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 979 (-4%) | 1mo | $71,000 | $73 | 63 |
| 213 Attakapas Rd | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,034 (+1%) | 20mo | $161,040 | $156 | 57 |
| 105 Chag St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,062 (+4%) | 16mo | $52,500 | $49 | 56 |
| 617 S Sterling St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (-7%) | 13mo | $40,000 | $42 | 50 |
| 717 S Sterling St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,109 (+8%) | 10mo | $123,000 | $111 | 49 |
| 730 Saint Charles St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-12%) | 12mo | $105,000 | $117 | 44 |
| 1013 E Vermillion St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-12%) | 2mo | $48,000 | $53 | 42 |
| 508 S Sterling St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,076 (+5%) | 18mo | $141,000 | $131 | 40 |
| 518 S Magnolia St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (+7%) | 16mo | $155,000 | $142 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $28,337
- Equity at exit
- $10,363
- IRR
- 42.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.82×
- Total profit
- $93,889
- Equity at exit
- $6,009
Cash invested: $19,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70501
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,246 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$364
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $698/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $532
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $572 | -5% $552 | +0% $532 | +5% $513 | +10% $493 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $434 | -5% $483 | +0% $532 | +5% $582 | +10% $631 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $567 | -0.5pp $550 | base $532 | +0.5pp $514 | +1.0pp $496 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,375
- Closing costs
- $2,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 908 Saint Charles St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 114 Choctaw Rd Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1030 9th St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1002 E Simcoe St Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 801 General Mouton Ave Unit 3 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1404 General Mouton Ave Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,495 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 402 Lamar St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 770 | $825 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1426 General Mouton Ave Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,495 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 405 E Convent St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $1,125 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3600 E Simcoe St Lafayette, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 14d | 5 | 1.04mi |
| 300 Roosevelt St Unit A Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,750 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 908 Lamar St Unit 108 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,025 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 330 General Mouton Ave Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 305 General Mouton Ave Unit B Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,250 | $1.67 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 300 General Mouton Ave #6 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 213 General Gardner Ave Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 701 W Taft St #7 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1142 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 423 Sampson St Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $950 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 319 Tissington St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $775 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 109 Perth PL Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,625 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 117 Perth PL Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,625 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 313 Hobson St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 615 Lafayette St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 610 Sunset Dr Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 173-char remark
-
2026-05-13price $69,500 173-char remark
-
2026-04-30$74,500 Active 173-char remark
-
2014-01-13soldstatus $28,450 108-char remark
Show marketing remark (108 chars)
Cottage style home 2 bedroom 1 bath, central air/heat, fenced in backyard. Close to interstate and shopping!
-
2013-11-02$28,000 108-char remark
Show marketing remark (108 chars)
Cottage style home 2 bedroom 1 bath, central air/heat, fenced in backyard. Close to interstate and shopping!
-
2007-08-06$79,000
-
2006-06-30soldstatus $69,900
-
2006-05-26$69,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $698 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $698 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,893
- − Property taxes
- −$698
- − Insurance
- −$348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,196
- − Management
- −$1,196
- − Depreciation
- −$2,022
- Taxable income
- $5,595
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,343
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,046/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,465
- Household income
- $33,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2089.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.63%
- Current HPI
- 81.2963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-98.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed for Rent $1,200 TENANTCLOUD
- 2026-06-03 Sold (MLS) $57,750 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $69,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $74,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-01-13 Sold (MLS) $28,450 AcadianaMLS
- 2013-11-02 Listed $28,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2007-08-06 Listed $79,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2006-06-30 Sold (MLS) $69,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2006-05-26 Listed $69,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $698 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…