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31 Fessenden St
B- Composite 67.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

31 Fessenden St · Mount Clemens, MI 48043
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,400 sqft · SingleFamily · 13 Days on market
Built 1950 5,227 sqft lot Est $239k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent investor opportunity in a great Mt Clemens neighborhood. Perfect for a flip, rental or even someone looking to use some elbow grease and enjoy instant equity. The home is turn key but could use some updates, etc. Home features forced central air and A/C, has 4 bedrooms or 3 and enclosed office space. Nice deep basement. All info and measurements are approximations so be sure to verify. Listing Broker is owner

Key facts

  • Forced central air
  • Deep basement
  • 5,227 sq ft lot

Tags

MT CLEMENS NEIGHBORHOODFORCED CENTRAL AIRDEEP BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Paved driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.5% in Mount Clemens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#120 in MI, #2,918 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities D+.
  • Mount Clemens Community School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #532 of 540 in MI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 66 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $140k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.09%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$239,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
44 Fessenden St 0.04mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,337 (-4%) 7mo $118,000 $88 77
104 Riverside Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,386 (-1%) 8mo $240,000 $173 70
60 Riverside Dr 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,522 (+9%) 3mo $260,000 $171 66
53 Eastman St 0.18mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-14%) 1mo $240,000 $200 60
127 Jones St 0.65mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,360 (-3%) 5mo $33,500 $25 53
75 Church St 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,380 (-1%) 5mo $305,000 $221 53
263 N Walnut St 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,325 (-5%) 3mo $132,000 $100 53
129 South Ave 0.71mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,450 (+4%) 1mo $274,000 $189 51
9 Queen St 0.72mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,480 (+6%) 1mo $264,000 $178 47
55 Meadle St 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (+11%) 7mo $245,500 $157 43
167 N Broadway St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-14%) 6mo $185,000 $154 43
24503 Crocker Blvd 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,530 (+9%) 4mo $255,000 $167 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$5,491
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$71,212
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48043

Rents YoY
10.8%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,734 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$281 /mo · $3,376/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$364
Net cashflow
$297

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,359
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
40 Ferrin Pl Mount Clemens, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,700 $1.21 1d 1 0.90mi
15 Washington St Unit 2 Mt Clemens, MI 3.0 1.0 1396 $1,400 $1.00 43d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $139,900 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,900 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,376 · $281/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,376 · $281/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,812
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$3,376
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,665
− Management
−$1,665
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$1,500
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$360
After-tax cash flow
$3,202/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Clemens Community School District
NCES district ID
2624690
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,632
Composite
6.25/100
National rank
#10005
State rank
#532 of 540 in MI

Livability — Mount Clemens

Score
77/100
State rank
#120
US rank
#2918

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Clemens, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
15,429
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
15,429
Household income
$52,161
Rent vs Own
40.2% rent · 59.8% own
Severe rent burden
610.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 22% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.74%
Current HPI
260.7139
Rent YoY
▲ 10.82%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+254.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-03-28 Sold (MLS) $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-03-28 Sold (MLS) $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-03-19 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2016-03-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-03-10 Listed $39,500 REALCOMP
  • 2016-03-10 Listed $39,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+11.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,376 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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