125 S Neosho St · Council Grove, KS
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.44%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
?Cute home or investment property! Located by the Council Grove High School, just south of historic downtown Council Grove and next to the Flint Hills Nature Trail. This home features all of the living space on the main floor, but has a full unfinished basement as well. New flooring throughout, new paint, and more. There is a detached garage with updated siding and garage door, a covered front porch and it sits on a level lot. Come take a look today!
Key facts
- New drywall
- Hvac
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Air purifier included
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage; Garage(s) on property
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electricity available; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Built with a partially finished basement
- Exterior features: Deck; Gravel road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Natural gas heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Partially finished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-191 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $97k (22.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (31.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $85k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#22 in KS, #2,091 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, commute F.
- Morris County (rural): math 39% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #34 of 169 in KS (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Council Grove Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #273 of 684 statewide, top 45%, 352 students, 56% FRL); Council Grove Junior Senior High School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #32 of 327 statewide, top 13%, 350 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 35% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Morris County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- Morris County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $125k implies a 495% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.56%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $17,538
- Equity at exit
- $71,797
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $63,187
- Equity at exit
- $124,714
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66846
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $851 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$179
- Net cashflow
- $-191
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-105 | -5% $-148 | +0% $-191 | +5% $-235 | +10% $-278 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-259 | -5% $-225 | +0% $-191 | +5% $-158 | +10% $-124 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-128 | -0.5pp $-160 | base $-191 | +0.5pp $-224 | +1.0pp $-257 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $125,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-01-05$125,000 Active
-
2024-08-12soldstatus Closed 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
?Cute home or investment property! Located by the Council Grove High School, just south of historic downtown Council Grove and next to the Flint Hills Nature Trail. This home features all of the living space on the main floor, but has a full unfinished basement as well. New flooring throughout, new paint, and more. There is a detached garage with updated siding and garage door, a covered front porch and it sits on a level lot. Come take a look today!
-
2024-07-29status Pending 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
?Cute home or investment property! Located by the Council Grove High School, just south of historic downtown Council Grove and next to the Flint Hills Nature Trail. This home features all of the living space on the main floor, but has a full unfinished basement as well. New flooring throughout, new paint, and more. There is a detached garage with updated siding and garage door, a covered front porch and it sits on a level lot. Come take a look today!
-
2024-06-25$59,900 Active 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
?Cute home or investment property! Located by the Council Grove High School, just south of historic downtown Council Grove and next to the Flint Hills Nature Trail. This home features all of the living space on the main floor, but has a full unfinished basement as well. New flooring throughout, new paint, and more. There is a detached garage with updated siding and garage door, a covered front porch and it sits on a level lot. Come take a look today!
-
1997-10-01soldstatus $21,000
-
1995-03-01soldstatus $42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 44% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,215
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$817
- − Management
- −$817
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$4,558
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,094
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,203/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morris County
- NCES district ID
- 2005280
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,531
- Composite
- 33.97/100
- National rank
- #5325
- State rank
- #34 of 169 in KS
Livability — Council Grove
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #2091
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Council Grove, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,331
Population outlook (Morris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,249 people
- By 2030
- 5,035 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 4,640 · -11.6%
- By 2050
- 4,331 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 3,990 · -24.0%
- By 2100
- 3,696 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Morris
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.6) · D 25.8% · R 72.4% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -46.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.6 2020: R+47.9 2016: R+46.9 2012: R+41.4 2008: R+34.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.13%
- Current HPI
- 197.7492
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+197.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-05 Listed $125,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-08-12 Sold (MLS) — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-07-29 Pending — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-06-25 Listed $59,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 1995-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…