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125 S Neosho St
D- Composite 37.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0

$125,000

125 S Neosho St · Council Grove, KS 66846
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 886 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 161 Days on market
Built 1920 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

?Cute home or investment property! Located by the Council Grove High School, just south of historic downtown Council Grove and next to the Flint Hills Nature Trail. This home features all of the living space on the main floor, but has a full unfinished basement as well. New flooring throughout, new paint, and more. There is a detached garage with updated siding and garage door, a covered front porch and it sits on a level lot. Come take a look today!

Key facts

  • New drywall
  • Hvac
  • New flooring

Tags

NEW DRYWALLELECTRICAL IMPROVEMENTSHVACNEW WINDOWSVINYL SIDINGNEW FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Air purifier included

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage; Garage(s) on property
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electricity available; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Built with a partially finished basement
  • Exterior features: Deck; Gravel road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Natural gas heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Partially finished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-191 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $97k (22.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (31.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#22 in KS, #2,091 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, commute F.
  • Morris County (rural): math 39% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #34 of 169 in KS (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Council Grove Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #273 of 684 statewide, top 45%, 352 students, 56% FRL); Council Grove Junior Senior High School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #32 of 327 statewide, top 13%, 350 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 35% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Morris County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
  • Morris County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $125k implies a 495% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,122 (31.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.46%
Cash-on-cash
-6.56%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$17,538
Equity at exit
$71,797
10-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$63,187
Equity at exit
$124,714

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66846

Home prices YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$851 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$179
Net cashflow
$-191

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $97,307
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-105 -5% $-148 +0% $-191 +5% $-235 +10% $-278
Rent -10% $-259 -5% $-225 +0% $-191 +5% $-158 +10% $-124
Rate -1.0pp $-128 -0.5pp $-160 base $-191 +0.5pp $-224 +1.0pp $-257

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 161 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 159 DOM
  3. 2026-06-12
    days on market $125,000 Active 158 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 155 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 154 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 153 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,000 Active 151 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 149 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 148 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 147 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 146 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 145 DOM
  13. 2026-01-05
    listed $125,000 Active
  14. 2024-08-12
    soldstatus Closed 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    ?Cute home or investment property! Located by the Council Grove High School, just south of historic downtown Council Grove and next to the Flint Hills Nature Trail. This home features all of the living space on the main floor, but has a full unfinished basement as well. New flooring throughout, new paint, and more. There is a detached garage with updated siding and garage door, a covered front porch and it sits on a level lot. Come take a look today!

  15. 2024-07-29
    status Pending 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    ?Cute home or investment property! Located by the Council Grove High School, just south of historic downtown Council Grove and next to the Flint Hills Nature Trail. This home features all of the living space on the main floor, but has a full unfinished basement as well. New flooring throughout, new paint, and more. There is a detached garage with updated siding and garage door, a covered front porch and it sits on a level lot. Come take a look today!

  16. 2024-06-25
    listed $59,900 Active 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    ?Cute home or investment property! Located by the Council Grove High School, just south of historic downtown Council Grove and next to the Flint Hills Nature Trail. This home features all of the living space on the main floor, but has a full unfinished basement as well. New flooring throughout, new paint, and more. There is a detached garage with updated siding and garage door, a covered front porch and it sits on a level lot. Come take a look today!

  17. 1997-10-01
    soldstatus $21,000
  18. 1995-03-01
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 44% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,215
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$817
− Management
−$817
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$4,558
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,094
After-tax cash flow
$-1,203/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morris County
NCES district ID
2005280
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$44,531
Composite
33.97/100
National rank
#5325
State rank
#34 of 169 in KS

Livability — Council Grove

Score
79/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#2091

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Council Grove, KS
Population (ZIP)
3,331

Population outlook (Morris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,249 people
By 2030
5,035 · -4.1%
By 2040
4,640 · -11.6%
By 2050
4,331 · -17.5%
By 2075
3,990 · -24.0%
By 2100
3,696 · -29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Morris

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.6) · D 25.8% · R 72.4% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -46.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.6 2020: R+47.9 2016: R+46.9 2012: R+41.4 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.13%
Current HPI
197.7492
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+197.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $125,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-08-12 Sold (MLS) FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-07-29 Pending FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-06-25 Listed $59,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
  • 1995-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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