1500 11th St SW · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful split level home located on a large corner with an additional lot included. Downstairs has a large den and office area. A must see Located next to the Heritage Neighborhood.
Key facts
- Large corner lot
- Split level home
- Den and office area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hemphill Elementary School (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #508 of 627 statewide, top 84%, 336 students, 87% FRL); Parker High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 826 students, 90% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,455/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2161% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $120k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.65%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $182,952
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 911 Nassau Ave SW | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 1,842 (-0%) | 17mo | $128,000 | $69 | 73 |
| 1725 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,820 (-2%) | 6mo | $40,000 | $22 | 72 |
| 1816 3rd Pl SW | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (-3%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $133 | 68 |
| 1332 14th Pl SW | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,764 (-4%) | 7mo | $174,900 | $99 | 62 |
| 1813 Mandela Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,017 (+9%) | 18mo | $220,000 | $109 | 53 |
| 1808 Biko Pl | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,048 (+11%) | 23mo | $310,000 | $151 | 49 |
| 1204 15th Way SW | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,715 (-7%) | 11mo | $81,000 | $47 | 41 |
| 1112 Goldwire St SW | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,605 (-13%) | 19mo | $120,000 | $75 | 19 |
| 317 SW 9th Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,601 (-13%) | 22mo | $229,900 | $144 | 16 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-8,981
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,290
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35211
- Rents YoY
- -0.0%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,455 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $362 | -5% $322 | +0% $283 | +5% $243 | +10% $203 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $168 | -5% $225 | +0% $283 | +5% $340 | +10% $397 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $353 | -0.5pp $318 | base $283 | +0.5pp $246 | +1.0pp $209 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1408 16th St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2076 | $1,150 | $0.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 218 Olympia Dr Homewood, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 958 | $1,659 | $1.73 | 2d | 33 | 0.59mi |
| 1204 15th Way SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1715 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1149 15th St SW Birmingham, AL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2371 | $1,399 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1698 Dennison Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $1,300 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1141 15th Way SW Birmingham, AL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,400 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1136 15th St SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,395 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1698 Heron Johnson Dr Birmingham, AL | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,175 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 908 Goldwire St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2115 | $1,550 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1620 Alemeda Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,295 | $0.99 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1609 Jefferson Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1572 | $1,300 | $0.83 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2009 Hollins Dr Birmingham, AL | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1536 | $1,400 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1012 Cotton Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,000 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1501 Princeton Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1319 18th Way SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1337 | $1,345 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 820 McMillon Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $1,350 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 108 E Ann Dr SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,495 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1728 Princeton Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,300 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1217 Fulton Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1397 | $1,395 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 12 4th Ave SW Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1336 | $1,100 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 504 Francis Pl SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,223 | $0.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1213 Alabama Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1616 | $1,200 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 195 Oxmoor Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1187 | $3,300 | $2.78 | 3d | 8 | 1.48mi |
| 1816 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1395 | $1,295 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2024-11-14soldstatus $120,000
-
2024-08-12status Pending
-
2024-07-04price $139,900
-
2024-06-04$150,000 Active
-
1970-05-20soldstatus $16,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $900 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $900 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,397
- − Management
- −$1,397
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $1,160
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$278
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,112/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,924
- Household income
- $34,884
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2161.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.29%
- Current HPI
- 91.2903
- Rent YoY
- ▬ -0.01%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+627.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2024-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2024-08-12 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-07-04 Price Changed $139,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-06-04 Listed $150,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1970-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $900 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…