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51 Grande Camino Way
D+ Composite 45.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

51 Grande Camino Way · Lakewood Park, FL 34951
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,458 sqft · SingleFamily · 20 Days on market
Built 1985 Good condition $844/mo HOA · 35% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Owner says bring on all offer. All will be considered. Needs to sell ASAP. This could be your opportunity. One of the Biggest homes in Neighborhood. Nice quiet street. Community with all the amenities you you could want. Elegant and large 2 bed 2 bath home. Tastefully updated to meet the needs of any buyer. Expansive living space. All the expensive things are done, New Roof, New Barrier in crawl space, New AC and more. SS appliances. See attached list for all updates. Don't miss your chance at this great home. REPAIRS PERFORMED ON HOME " NEW ROOF IN 2020 " NEW 40 GALLON WATER HEATER 2019 " NEW 4 TON AIR CONDITIONER 2019 " TWO NEW TOILET BOWLS (HIGHER THAN NORMAL) 2024 &

Key facts

  • New floors
  • Ss appliances
  • New ac

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW ACSS APPLIANCESNEW STOVE TOP RANGENEW FLOORSNEW PAINTED KITCHEN CABINETS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease of $844 per month (expires 2026-10-31)
  • HOA & community: Association: Spanish Lakes; Monthly association fee: $844; Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, heated pool, pool, golf course, tennis courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball, shuffleboard, billiard room, cafe/restaurant, and other recreation facilities; Association fee covers cable TV, grounds maintenance, trash, common areas, golf, and pool service; Senior community; Pets allowed (pet restrictions possible)

Exterior

  • Parking: Total 4 parking spaces; Attached carport (1 covered); 2 open driveway spaces; Concrete driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service; Cable available; Electricity available; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide, modular); Single-story; Entry level on level 1; Faces west; Resale condition
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Brick skirt; Mobile home remains
  • Exterior features: Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric cooktop; Freezer
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central individual cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Kitchen island; Casement windows; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $697 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.1% vs local median 5.7% in Lakewood Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#719 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 292 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,387/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 140% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,151 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.78%
Cap rate
23.05%
Cash-on-cash
59.85%
DSCR
3.66
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$278,478
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16 Danzar 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,439 (-1%) 4mo $165,000 $115 80
18 Montoya 0.44mi 2/2.0 1,446 (-1%) 5mo $289,000 $200 74
21 Lavilla Way 0.43mi 2/2.0 1,446 (-1%) 7mo $269,000 $186 73
2385 6th Ave SW 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (-1%) 4mo $286,000 $199 69
11 Villa Blanca 0.31mi 1/1.5 (-1) 1,305 (-10%) 8mo $249,000 $191 55
604 24th St SW 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,570 (+8%) 9mo $404,000 $257 54
11 Villa Del Norte 0.37mi 1/1.5 (-1) 1,305 (-10%) 7mo $249,000 $191 52
6505 Citrus Park Blvd 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,548 (+6%) 9mo $345,000 $223 51
3 Quito 0.63mi 1/1.5 (-1) 1,305 (-10%) 2mo $249,000 $191 44
2445 8th Ave SW 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,313 (-10%) 6mo $165,000 $126 44
751 Highland Dr SW 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,278 (-12%) 1mo $222,000 $174 42
5 Villa Maria 0.75mi 1/1.5 (-1) 1,305 (-10%) 8mo $249,000 $191 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.0%
Equity multiple
3.64×
Total profit
$36,854
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
63.9%
Equity multiple
7.55×
Total profit
$91,499
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34951

Home prices YoY
-23.6%
Active inventory
292
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,387 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$844
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$501
Net cashflow
$697

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,505
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2450 8th Ave SW Vero Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1388 $2,100 $1.51 21d 1 0.62mi
2320 Water Oaks Ln Unit 111 Vero Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1811 $3,500 $1.93 21d 1 0.64mi
5642 Sunberry Cir Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1377 $1,950 $1.42 23d 1 0.82mi
985 23rd Pl SW Vero Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1176 $2,200 $1.87 21d 1 0.88mi
6906 Ocala Ave Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1175 $1,955 $1.66 14d 1 0.97mi
3766 Harborside Ave Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1308 $2,160 $1.65 14d 1 1.12mi
7503 Paso Robles Blvd Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1260 $2,000 $1.59 23d 1 1.13mi
7500 Pensacola Rd Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1125 $2,150 $1.91 14d 1 1.15mi
254 Hawthorne Ln Vero Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1703 $2,900 $1.70 21d 1 1.27mi
335 Hawthorne Ln Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1587 $1,800 $1.13 21d 1 1.29mi
7403 Winter Garden Pkwy Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1372 $2,200 $1.60 21d 1 1.32mi
2066 5th Ct SE Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1415 $3,850 $2.72 21d 1 1.35mi
5510 Shannon Dr Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1594 $2,350 $1.47 14d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$844 · $10,128/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 679-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $49,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $52,500 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $52,500 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $52,500 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $52,500 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $52,500 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $52,500 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $52,500 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $52,500 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $52,500 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $52,500 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $52,500 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $52,500 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $52,500 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $52,500 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $52,500 Active 2 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    remarks 664-char remark
  19. 2026-05-30
    listed $52,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,644
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,292
− Management
−$2,292
− HOA
−$10,128
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$8,688
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,085
After-tax cash flow
$6,278/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with recent updates, including a new roof, kitchen appliances, and bathrooms. It is move-in ready with a good curb appeal and is located in a quiet neighborhood with community amenities.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Window cleaning — Improves natural light and overall appearance.
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Window cleaning — Improves natural light and overall appearance.
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lakewood Park

Score
63/100
State rank
#719
US rank
#15407

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lakewood Park, FL
County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
17,148
Household income
$63,122
Rent vs Own
11.7% rent · 88.3% own
Severe rent burden
140.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.06%
Current HPI
343.1376
Rent YoY
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+78.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $52,500 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $54,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-01-16 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2026-01-14 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $59,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-10-01 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2025-06-16 Price Changed $69,990 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-04-01 Listed $74,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2014-03-14 Listed $29,400 RAIRCMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…