1501 27th St N · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.1/10.0
$16,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a Tax Deed Property via Sold Quit Claim Deed Fire Damaged to Roof/Attic Do your Due Diligence 205-739-9007 Priced to Sell Quickly willing to Negotiate
Key facts
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1930; Single-family property
- Construction: Originally constructed in 1930
- Exterior features: Located in the Norwood subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $16k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $16k).
- Cap rate 86.9% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $111 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $480 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 9.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 86.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 287.91%
- DSCR
- 13.81
- GRM
- 0.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $146,528
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1431 28th St N | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,746 (-9%) | 6mo | $209,900 | $120 | 65 |
| 1617 27th St N | 0.12mi | 3/3.0 | 1,750 (-9%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $140 | 64 |
| 1555 Druid Hill Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,935 (+0%) | 14mo | $90,000 | $47 | 59 |
| 1615 31st St N | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-7%) | 17mo | $240,000 | $133 | 55 |
| 1601 31st St N | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,776 (-8%) | 12mo | $95,000 | $53 | 52 |
| 1932 Portage Ave | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,996 (+4%) | 16mo | $82,823 | $41 | 47 |
| 1617 20th St N | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,774 (-8%) | 12mo | $135,000 | $76 | 42 |
| 1900 N 15th Ct | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,748 (-9%) | 12mo | $45,000 | $26 | 40 |
| 2618 17th Ave N | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,660 (-14%) | 23mo | $285,000 | $172 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.71×
- Total profit
- $65,888
- Equity at exit
- $2,386
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 33.50×
- Total profit
- $145,618
- Equity at exit
- $1,383
Cash invested: $4,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35234
- Home prices YoY
- -3.8%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 0.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,501 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$84
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$20 /mo · $240/yr
- Insurance
- −$7
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $1,075
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,000
- Closing costs
- $480
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1319 31st St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2074 | $1,345 | $0.65 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2108 25th St N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2223 28th St N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1836 | $1,300 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1906 15th Ct N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1311 | $1,000 | $0.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1900 15th Ct N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1748 | $1,425 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1720 34th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1861 | $2,200 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1608 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3601 Norwood Blvd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $1,323 | $0.85 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1742 17th St N Unit 2 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 600 24th St N Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1098 | $1,499 | $1.36 | 2d | 13 | 1.00mi |
| 2807 34th St N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $1,100 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 600 19th St N Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1398 | $4,560 | $3.26 | 19d | 83 | 1.22mi |
| 600 19th St N Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1120 | $3,550 | $3.17 | 16d | 30 | 1.22mi |
| 600 19th St N Unit 211 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $3,250 | $1.95 | 12d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 600 19th St N Apt 202 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $3,050 | $2.44 | 12d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1317 11th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2024 2nd Ave N #1801 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $2,500 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2311 Morris Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $5,000 | $2.50 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2311 Morris Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $5,000 | $2.50 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-26$16,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,007
- − Mortgage interest
- −$896
- − Property taxes
- −$240
- − Insurance
- −$80
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,441
- − Management
- −$1,441
- − Depreciation
- −$465
- Taxable income
- $13,444
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,227
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,672/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- City population
- 210,422
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,828
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 80% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.89%
- Current HPI
- 250.4724
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $16,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…