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2841 42nd Ave N
B Composite 70.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$89,900

2841 42nd Ave N · Birmingham, AL 35207
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,160 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1999 6,969 sqft lot $78/sqft · 152% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2841 42nd Ave N in Birmingham, Alabama is a one-story residential home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with approximately 1,160 square feet of living space. Located in a quiet North Birmingham neighborhood, the property sits on a modest lot and offers convenient access to nearby major roads, making travel to other parts of Birmingham simple. The surrounding area includes established homes, local parks, and everyday amenities, providing a comfortable neighborhood setting while still being close to shopping, schools, and services

Key facts

  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • Built 1999
  • Listed 97 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,809 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.72%
Cash-on-cash
12.23%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$35,676
List price
$89,900
Delta
151.99%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4200 29th St N 0.04mi 3/1.5 1,159 (-0%) 12mo $30,000 $26 86
2912 41st Ave N 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-11%) 5mo $35,000 $34 68
2808 38th Ave N 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,176 (+1%) 11mo $20,000 $17 66
4005 N 28th Pl 0.33mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,227 (+6%) 24mo $72,000 $59 50
3429 31st Pl 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,120 (-3%) 19mo $30,000 $27 43
4941 Cheek Rd 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,284 (+11%) 13mo $14,500 $11 35
5001 Lewisburg Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,002 (-14%) 24mo $130,000 $130 27
3426 31st Pl N 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-13%) 23mo $8,500 $8 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
3.59×
Total profit
$65,314
Equity at exit
$80,989
10-year hold
IRR
28.7%
Equity multiple
8.13×
Total profit
$179,528
Equity at exit
$174,656

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35207

Home prices YoY
18.7%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,112 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,353/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$256

Break-even live

Break-even rent $787
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $307 -5% $282 +0% $256 +5% $231 +10% $206
Rent -10% $169 -5% $213 +0% $256 +5% $300 +10% $344
Rate -1.0pp $302 -0.5pp $279 base $256 +0.5pp $233 +1.0pp $209

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3016 33rd Ct N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1012 $1,100 $1.09 44d 1 0.69mi
3373 33rd Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,150 $1.26 4d 1 0.92mi
3376 34th St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 928 $1,200 $1.29 12d 1 0.95mi
3376 34th St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 928 $1,200 $1.29 24d 1 0.95mi
3376 34th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 928 $1,200 $1.29 3d 1 1.11mi
2129 30th Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,000 $0.96 24d 1 1.14mi
2015 36th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1468 $1,190 $0.81 24d 1 1.21mi
3708 42nd Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 876 $950 $1.08 44d 1 1.25mi
2129 30th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,000 $0.96 44d 1 1.31mi
1709 36th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 970 $1,350 $1.39 44d 1 1.44mi
1721 35th Ave N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1184 $875 $0.74 44d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $89,900 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $94,900 Active 89 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 87 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 86 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 81 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 80 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 79 DOM
  14. 2026-05-15
    price $99,900 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    2841 42nd Ave N in Birmingham, Alabama is a one-story residential home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with approximately 1,160 square feet of living space. Located in a quiet North Birmingham neighborhood, the property sits on a modest lot and offers convenient access to nearby major roads, making travel to other parts of Birmingham simple. The surrounding area includes established homes, local parks, and everyday amenities, providing a comfortable neighborhood setting while still being close to shopping, schools, and services

  15. 2026-03-13
    listed $109,900 Active 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    2841 42nd Ave N in Birmingham, Alabama is a one-story residential home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with approximately 1,160 square feet of living space. Located in a quiet North Birmingham neighborhood, the property sits on a modest lot and offers convenient access to nearby major roads, making travel to other parts of Birmingham simple. The surrounding area includes established homes, local parks, and everyday amenities, providing a comfortable neighborhood setting while still being close to shopping, schools, and services

  16. 2024-03-11
    soldstatus $404,410,000
  17. 2017-01-13
    soldstatus $641,500
  18. 2017-01-13
    soldstatus $5,001,000
  19. 2016-04-21
    historical 354-char remark
    Show marketing remark (354 chars)

    !!!HUGE PRICE REDUCTION!!! 3 YEAR WARRANTY ON NEW ROOF!!! DON'T MISS OUT, COME SEE IT TODAY!!!! NEWLY RENOVATED, MOVE RIGHT IN! HOME IS ROOMIER THAN SQUARE FOOTAGE INDICATES. QUIET AREA, CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN BUT AWAY FROM ALL THE NOISE. BRAND NEW * * ROOF * * , CARPETS, PAINT, AC UNIT TO BE INSTALLED, FRESH LOOKING AND READY FOR YOU TO CALL IT HOME!

  20. 2016-04-08
    soldstatus $52,000
  21. 2016-04-07
    soldstatus $52,000 Sold 354-char remark
    Show marketing remark (354 chars)

    !!!HUGE PRICE REDUCTION!!! 3 YEAR WARRANTY ON NEW ROOF!!! DON'T MISS OUT, COME SEE IT TODAY!!!! NEWLY RENOVATED, MOVE RIGHT IN! HOME IS ROOMIER THAN SQUARE FOOTAGE INDICATES. QUIET AREA, CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN BUT AWAY FROM ALL THE NOISE. BRAND NEW * * ROOF * * , CARPETS, PAINT, AC UNIT TO BE INSTALLED, FRESH LOOKING AND READY FOR YOU TO CALL IT HOME!

  22. 2016-01-27
    price $64,900 354-char remark
    Show marketing remark (354 chars)

    !!!HUGE PRICE REDUCTION!!! 3 YEAR WARRANTY ON NEW ROOF!!! DON'T MISS OUT, COME SEE IT TODAY!!!! NEWLY RENOVATED, MOVE RIGHT IN! HOME IS ROOMIER THAN SQUARE FOOTAGE INDICATES. QUIET AREA, CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN BUT AWAY FROM ALL THE NOISE. BRAND NEW * * ROOF * * , CARPETS, PAINT, AC UNIT TO BE INSTALLED, FRESH LOOKING AND READY FOR YOU TO CALL IT HOME!

  23. 2016-01-07
    listed $78,900 Active 354-char remark
    Show marketing remark (354 chars)

    !!!HUGE PRICE REDUCTION!!! 3 YEAR WARRANTY ON NEW ROOF!!! DON'T MISS OUT, COME SEE IT TODAY!!!! NEWLY RENOVATED, MOVE RIGHT IN! HOME IS ROOMIER THAN SQUARE FOOTAGE INDICATES. QUIET AREA, CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN BUT AWAY FROM ALL THE NOISE. BRAND NEW * * ROOF * * , CARPETS, PAINT, AC UNIT TO BE INSTALLED, FRESH LOOKING AND READY FOR YOU TO CALL IT HOME!

  24. 2013-03-29
    soldstatus $10,200
  25. 2012-08-28
    listed $10,000
  26. 2006-07-10
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,353 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,353 · $113/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,339
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,353
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,067
− Management
−$1,067
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$1,751
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$420
After-tax cash flow
$2,658/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
City population
210,422
Population (ZIP)
6,824

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 35.95%
Current HPI
228.5664
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $99,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $109,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $404,410,000 Public Records
  • 2017-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $5,001,000 Public Records
  • 2017-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $641,500 Public Records
  • 2016-04-21 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2016-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 2016-04-07 Sold (MLS) $52,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2016-01-27 Price Changed $64,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2016-01-07 Listed $78,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2013-03-29 Sold (MLS) $10,200 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2012-08-28 Listed $10,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2006-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,353 · +123.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…