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211 Spring Run
C+ Composite 61.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

211 Spring Run · Clifton Springs, NY 14432
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily · 50 Days on market
Built 1984 Fair condition $47/sqft · 29% above area Est $39k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 211 Spring run. This Ritz Craft was manufactured in 1984 but has had many updates. Roof was replaced in 2015, Insulated 2014, Refrigerator 2014, 6" of spray foam sprayed under the home in 2015. Furnace was installed 11-14-17, hot water talk 2015, home has been freshly painted and more! Enjoy the beautifully landscaped large lot!

Key facts

  • Attached side porch
  • Built 1984
  • Listed 50 days

Tags

ATTACHED SIDE PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease amount: $670
  • HOA & community: Has land lease

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Public water available
  • Home design: Single-story; Double-wide mobile home (Ritz Craft); Resale condition; Rectangular lot
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Insulated concrete forms; Blown-in insulation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Gravel driveway; Shed(s) / storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living/dining room; Bedroom on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#261 in NY, #4,132 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Phelps-Clifton Springs Central School District (rural): math 31% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #526 of 590 in NY (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $50k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $48,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
16.90%
Cash-on-cash
37.88%
DSCR
2.69
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$38,669
List price
$49,900
Delta
29.05%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3093 State Route 96 0.27mi 2/1.0 1,196 (+13%) 22mo $45,000 $38 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.9%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$20,019
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
40.8%
Equity multiple
4.84×
Total profit
$53,664
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14432

Home prices YoY
-4.4%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$995 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$441

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $49,900 Pending 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,900 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $49,900 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $52,000 175-char remark
  16. 2026-05-05
    price $54,500 175-char remark
  17. 2026-04-28
    listed $54,999 Active 175-char remark
  18. 2021-07-31
    soldstatus $24,500 Closed Sale or Rented 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Welcome to 211 Spring run. This Ritz Craft was manufactured in 1984 but has had many updates. Roof was replaced in 2015, Insulated 2014, Refrigerator 2014, 6" of spray foam sprayed under the home in 2015. Furnace was installed 11-14-17, hot water talk 2015, home has been freshly painted and more! Enjoy the beautifully landscaped large lot!

  19. 2021-07-27
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Welcome to 211 Spring run. This Ritz Craft was manufactured in 1984 but has had many updates. Roof was replaced in 2015, Insulated 2014, Refrigerator 2014, 6" of spray foam sprayed under the home in 2015. Furnace was installed 11-14-17, hot water talk 2015, home has been freshly painted and more! Enjoy the beautifully landscaped large lot!

  20. 2021-07-12
    listed $22,000 Active 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Welcome to 211 Spring run. This Ritz Craft was manufactured in 1984 but has had many updates. Roof was replaced in 2015, Insulated 2014, Refrigerator 2014, 6" of spray foam sprayed under the home in 2015. Furnace was installed 11-14-17, hot water talk 2015, home has been freshly painted and more! Enjoy the beautifully landscaped large lot!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,938
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$955
− Management
−$955
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$4,783
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,148
After-tax cash flow
$4,145/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This single-family home requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, including roof, siding, and landscaping. Fresh paint and landscaping improvements can significantly boost its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Signs of wear and potential leaks
  • Major siding — Weathered and peeling
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — Fresh paint can significantly improve curb appeal and value
  • Both landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can enhance curb appeal and attract potential buyers
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A functional HVAC system is crucial for rental properties

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Signs of wear and potential leaks Major $15,000–50,000
siding · Weathered and peeling Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · Overgrown and unkempt Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — Fresh paint can significantly improve curb appeal and value
  • Both landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can enhance curb appeal and attract potential buyers
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A functional HVAC system is crucial for rental properties

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Phelps-Clifton Springs Central School District
NCES district ID
3622890
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$55,189
Composite
33.69/100
National rank
#5384
State rank
#526 of 590 in NY

Livability — Clifton Springs

Score
75/100
State rank
#261
US rank
#4132

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
5,583
Population (ZIP)
5,583

Population outlook (Ontario County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,230 people
By 2030
111,401 · +0.2%
By 2040
109,535 · -1.5%
By 2050
104,895 · -5.7%
By 2075
92,999 · -16.4%
By 2100
73,723 · -33.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 9% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ontario

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 50.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -1.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.2 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.6 2012: R+1.6 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.01%
Current HPI
283.0276
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+126.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $49,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $49,500 UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $52,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $54,500 UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $54,999 UNYREIS
  • 2021-07-31 Sold (MLS) $24,500 UNYREIS
  • 2021-07-27 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2021-07-12 Listed $22,000 UNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…