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2104 Elm Ave
B Composite 74.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

2104 Elm Ave · Portsmouth, VA 23704
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,688 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1910 $104/sqft · 33% below area Est $262k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

FIXER UPPER!!!!! SELLING AS IS WHERE IS This home has lots of potential. NEEDS WORK , Anderson windows, some laminate flooring, upgraded electrical box, new heating system, HVAC 4 YRS. OLD BUT NOT HOOKED UP HOT WATER HEATER 5 YRS OLD, all sewage and pipes all new. Needs WORK AND A ROOF SELLING "AS IS WHERE IS

Key facts

  • Anderson windows
  • New sewage and pipes
  • New heating system

Tags

ANDERSON WINDOWSUPGRADED ELECTRICAL BOXNEW HEATING SYSTEMNEW SEWAGE AND PIPES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage; 1 additional parking space
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
  • Home design: Detached colonial; 2 stories; Crawl foundation; Simple ownership
  • Construction: Aluminum exterior siding; Crawlspace foundation; Asphalt shingle and slate roofing
  • Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Chain link fence; Fenced yard; Asphalt shingle and slate roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom; First-floor bedroom with full bathroom; Additional bedroom on first floor
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced hot air heating; Window/wall cooling
  • Interior features: Gas fireplace; Wood-burning fireplace; Fireplace (gas and wood); 7 total rooms; Fixer upper
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer; Dryer hookup; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $593 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Brighton Elementary (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,069 of 1,108 statewide, top 97%, 411 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 60% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Portsmouth City Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,189/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1727% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $175k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.36%
Cash-on-cash
14.53%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$262,500
List price
$175,000
Delta
-33.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2506 Oak St 0.19mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,700 (+1%) 2mo $278,000 $164 82
1801 Elm Ave 0.18mi 4/2.5 1,608 (-5%) 2mo $290,000 $180 80
1908 Elm Ave 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,554 (-8%) 2mo $230,000 $148 80
908 Lincoln St 0.27mi 4/2.0 1,554 (-8%) 1mo $281,900 $181 73
2121 Effingham St 0.37mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,650 (-2%) 1mo $280,000 $170 71
2317 Chestnut St 0.31mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,560 (-8%) 1mo $260,000 $167 65
2016 Evergreen Pl 0.60mi 4/2.5 1,800 (+7%) 1mo $307,000 $171 58
2108 Evergreen Pl 0.60mi 4/2.5 1,800 (+7%) 2mo $280,000 $156 58
2331 Azalea Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,872 (+11%) 0mo $283,900 $152 56
1415 Des Moines Ave 0.51mi 4/2.5 1,890 (+12%) 1mo $335,000 $177 54
1912 Deep Creek Blvd 0.51mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,496 (-11%) 2mo $240,000 $160 47
2407 Lincoln St 0.58mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,896 (+12%) 3mo $294,000 $155 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$10,102
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$60,231
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23704

Home prices YoY
-4.6%
Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,189 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,742/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$593

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,438
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2111 Atlanta Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1418 $2,395 $1.69 43d 1 0.06mi
2215 Atlanta Ave Portsmouth, VA 4.0 1.0 1628 $2,150 $1.32 7d 1 0.11mi
1915 Lansing Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.0 1085 $1,675 $1.54 3d 1 0.26mi
919 Jefferson St Portsmouth, VA 4.0 2.5 2026 $2,500 $1.23 23d 1 0.28mi
1915 Des Moines Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,700 $1.59 23d 1 0.31mi
1915 Des Moines Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,700 $1.59 16d 1 0.31mi
1508 Richmond Ave Portsmouth, VA 4.0 2.0 1600 $2,000 $1.25 3d 1 0.33mi
1314 Summit Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.5 1152 $1,750 $1.52 43d 1 0.37mi
1440 Lasalle Ave Portsmouth, VA 4.0 2.0 1493 $2,500 $1.67 23d 1 0.38mi
1409 Wilcox Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,500 $1.39 43d 1 0.49mi
2810 Roanoke Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,100 $1.91 43d 1 0.57mi
2304 Nashville Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.5 1226 $1,395 $1.14 43d 1 0.64mi
1321 Columbia St Unit 1533640P Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1582 $5,609 $3.55 7d 1 0.66mi
1447 Talley Cir Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1440 $2,000 $1.39 23d 1 0.68mi
20149 County St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1738 $2,400 $1.38 43d 1 0.73mi
622 Effingham St Portsmouth, VA 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1027 $1,797 $1.75 23d 2 0.84mi
1100 High St Portsmouth, VA 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1003 $1,545 $1.54 2d 5 0.85mi
1914 King St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1332 $2,200 $1.65 44d 1 0.96mi
414 London St Unit 3 Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,595 $1.00 23d 1 1.15mi
213 Beacon Rd Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1280 $2,300 $1.80 23d 1 1.16mi
3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,995 $1.74 3d 1 1.17mi
3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,995 $1.74 10d 1 1.17mi
511 Hampton Pl Unit A Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 2100 $2,950 $1.40 43d 1 1.23mi
528 Hampton Pl Unit 3 Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1650 $2,000 $1.21 17d 1 1.24mi
303 Effingham St Unit S-2F Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1122 $1,950 $1.74 23d 1 1.28mi
303 Effingham St Portsmouth, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 863 $1,950 $2.26 16d 11 1.28mi
2211 North St Portsmouth, VA 4.0 1.5 1500 $2,100 $1.40 16d 1 1.28mi
129 Elm Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.5 1160 $2,600 $2.24 43d 1 1.34mi
148 Owens St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,350 $1.57 23d 1 1.37mi
1611 McDaniel St Unit A Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,950 $1.30 7d 1 1.38mi
10 Parkside Pl Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,095 $1.16 17d 1 1.43mi
1522 Barron St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1920 $2,795 $1.46 20d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    listed $175,000 Active 316-char remark
  2. 2022-05-20
    historical
  3. 2022-03-18
    price $165,000
  4. 2021-10-21
    listed $180,000 Active
  5. 2017-02-02
    status Under Contract
  6. 2017-01-07
    listed $29,900 Active
  7. 2004-12-02
    soldstatus $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,742 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,742 · $145/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,265
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,742
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,101
− Management
−$2,101
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$4,552
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,092
After-tax cash flow
$6,027/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Portsmouth City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103000
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -40.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$46,152
Composite
39.01/100
National rank
#4071
State rank
#107 of 131 in VA

Livability — Portsmouth

Score
73/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#5381

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Portsmouth, VA
County
Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
City population
96,366
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
19,207
Household income
$49,583
Rent vs Own
59.8% rent · 40.2% own
Severe rent burden
1727.0

Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
96,730 people
By 2030
96,760 · +0.0%
By 2040
96,573 · -0.2%
By 2050
95,606 · -1.2%
By 2075
93,579 · -3.3%
By 2100
83,756 · -13.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.69%
Current HPI
322.7335
Rent YoY
▲ 3.31%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+94.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending REINMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $175,000 REINMLS
  • 2022-05-20 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2022-03-18 Price Changed $165,000 REINMLS
  • 2021-10-21 Listed $180,000 REINMLS
  • 2017-02-02 Pending REINMLS
  • 2017-01-07 Listed $29,900 REINMLS
  • 2004-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,742 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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