🏗️ New Construction
Colonial 28 Sunny Acres Plan · Somerset, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Cash flow +3.4/30.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -2.1
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come tour this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home! This home is in great condition and includes a fireplace, 2 car garage, sun room and more. Call the office to schedule your tour today!
Key facts
- Listed 1003 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-443 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $81k (4.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $71k (16.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $71k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,031 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Somerset Area SD (town): math 40% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #185 of 539 in PA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Maple Ridge El Sch (522 students, 53% FRL); Somerset Area Jr-Sr Hs (math 39% / reading 66%, grade C-, #110 of 437 statewide, top 25%, 1,088 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 1004 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 1004 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.49% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.05%
- DSCR
- 0.42
- GRM
- 17.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,591
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -41.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163 Mancini Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-7%) | 24mo | $85,000 | $54 | 62 |
| 180 Audrey Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-10%) | 25mo | $94,900 | $63 | 57 |
| 171 Holly Ln | 1.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,760 (+5%) | 0mo | $216,000 | $123 | 55 |
| 134 Evergreen Dr | 1.35mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,800 (+7%) | 8mo | $159,900 | $89 | 40 |
| 408 Byers Rd | 1.15mi | 3/3.0 | 1,908 (+14%) | 9mo | $219,000 | $115 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -40.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.27×
- Total profit
- $-51,826
- Equity at exit
- $21,708
- IRR
- -66.3%
- Equity multiple
- -1.00×
- Total profit
- $-81,455
- Equity at exit
- $12,588
Cash invested: $40,765 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 13 active
- Median asking
- $144,000 ($87/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 897 d
- This list price
- 15% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -0.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 15501
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $712 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$763
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$182 /mo · $2,184/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$150
- Net cashflow
- $-443
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-343 | -5% $-393 | +0% $-443 | +5% $-494 | +10% $-544 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-500 | -5% $-472 | +0% $-443 | +5% $-415 | +10% $-387 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-370 | -0.5pp $-406 | base $-443 | +0.5pp $-481 | +1.0pp $-520 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,398
- Closing costs
- $4,368
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 272 Nicole Ln Somerset, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 922 | $925 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.03mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $85,000 Active 1004 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $85,000 Active 1003 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $85,000 Active 1002 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $85,000 Active 1001 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $85,000 Active 1000 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $85,000 Active 999 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $85,000 Active 996 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $85,000 Active 994 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $85,000 Active 992 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $85,000 Active 990 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $85,000 Active 989 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $85,000 Active 988 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $85,000 Active 987 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $85,000 Active 986 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $85,000 Active 985 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $85,000 Active 983 DOM
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2026-07-17days on market $85,000 Active 982 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $85,000 Active 980 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $85,000 Active 979 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $85,000 Active 978 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $85,000 Active 977 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $85,000 Active 976 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $85,000 Active 975 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $85,000 Active 974 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $85,000 Active 972 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $85,000 Active 971 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $85,000 Active 970 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $85,000 Active 969 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $85,000 Active 968 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $85,000 Active 967 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $85,000 Active 966 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $85,000 Active 965 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $85,000 Active 964 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $85,000 Active 963 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $85,000 Active 962 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $85,000 Active 961 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $85,000 Active 957 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 956 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 955 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 953 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 952 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 951 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 950 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 948 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 947 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 944 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 943 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 942 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 941 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 938 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,547
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,155
- − Property taxes
- −$2,184
- − Insurance
- −$728
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$684
- − Management
- −$684
- − Depreciation
- −$4,235
- Taxable loss
- −$8,123
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,950
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,372/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, and freshen the interior. The home is in fair condition with good curb appeal and a good roof, making it a good investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
- Minor bathroom fixtures — standard fixtures
- Moderate kitchen appliances — outdated and worn
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen appliances — modern appliances improve both resale and rental value ↑
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace dated flooring — new flooring improves both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Somerset Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221840
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,226
- Composite
- 42.47/100
- National rank
- #3216
- State rank
- #185 of 539 in PA
Livability — Somerset
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1031
- US rank
- #11472
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Somerset · 71,318 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,447
- Household income
- $55,797
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,318 people
- By 2030
- 68,555 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 62,447 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 56,437 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 44,453 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 32,408 · -54.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Black 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Somerset
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.42%
- Current HPI
- 160.9752
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2023-11-08 Listed $85,000 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…