501 E Scharbauer Dr · Midland, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.94%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MUST SEE Completely remodeled in 2018 Perfect Starter -or- Work Home Away from Home Beautifully Decorated & amp; Fully Furnished, complete with Full Size Bed in Bedroom and Queen Sleeper Sofa in living room Sleeps 4 . Small office nook with desk and chair. Kitchen Cabinets are stocked with dishes, silverware/cookware, kitchen knives, pots/pans, baking sheets, etc. 2018 New Gas Range, Over Range Microwave and Dishwasher installed. A/C was replaced in 2020. Super Quiet Complex and Lots of Sweet Neighbors. HOA $216 cover Water/Gas/1 covered parking space/Exterior Maintenance and Exterior Insurance $148.80
Key facts
- New gas range
- Remodeled in 2018
- Over range microwave
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-story property (built in 1963)
- Construction: Built in 1963
- Exterior features: Located in the Cowden subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 4.7% in Midland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#57 in TX, #2,192 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, commute D+.
- Midland ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #477 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 452 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,504 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 12% of the median local income ($105k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Midland County population projected at +83% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.92%
- DSCR
- 2.95
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-2,832
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $3,763
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79705
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 452
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,086 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $120 | -5% $103 | +0% $86 | +5% $69 | +10% $51 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $0 | -5% $43 | +0% $86 | +5% $129 | +10% $172 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $111 | -0.5pp $99 | base $86 | +0.5pp $73 | +1.0pp $60 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1212 E Wadley Ave Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 643 | $875 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1212 E Wadley Ave Unit 938 Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 583 | $820 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1212 E Wadley Ave Unit 928 Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 583 | $820 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1212 E Wadley Ave Apt 823 Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 643 | $906 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1212 E Wadley Ave Unit 1003 Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 643 | $906 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3600 Edwards St Midland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 980 | $1,443 | $1.47 | 14d | 19 | 0.94mi |
| 507 W Estes Ave Unit 7 Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,050 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3700 N Edwards St Midland, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,291 | $1.35 | 14d | 18 | 1.13mi |
| 3700 N A St Midland, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $1,449 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $49,999 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,999 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,999 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$49,999 Active 615-char remark
-
2024-06-28price $85,000
-
2024-02-27soldstatus
-
2024-02-01$40,000
-
2023-03-05price $90,000
-
2022-11-29price $95,000
-
2022-11-21price $108,000
-
2022-11-07price $100,000
-
2022-10-18price $105,000
-
2022-08-10price $80,000
-
2022-06-27price $85,000
-
2022-06-09price $110,000
-
2022-06-08price $90,000
-
2009-01-14soldstatus
-
2008-05-29$29,900
-
2003-10-15soldstatus
-
2003-06-14$25,000
-
2003-06-12soldstatus
-
2002-12-17$10,000
-
2001-10-19soldstatus
-
2001-06-14$34,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 94% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,032
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$5,368
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,043
- − Management
- −$1,043
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $573
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$138
- After-tax cash flow
- $893/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos
This single-family home is in excellent condition with recent renovations, making it a perfect starter or work-from-home property. Landscaping improvements would further enhance its appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard can enhance curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard can enhance curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830570
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,457
- Composite
- 31.63/100
- National rank
- #5938
- State rank
- #477 of 826 in TX
Livability — Midland
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #2192
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midland, TX
- County
- Midland County · 168,494 people
- City population
- 168,494
- Metro
- Midland, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,653
- Household income
- $105,310
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1557.0
Population outlook (Midland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 220,895 people
- By 2030
- 253,667 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 325,498 · +47.4%
- By 2050
- 404,168 · +83.0%
- By 2075
- 609,802 · +176.1%
- By 2100
- 760,172 · +244.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 20% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 24% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Midland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.5) · D 19.3% · R 79.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.3pp · 2024: -60.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.5 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+61.5 2008: R+57.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -300.44%
- Current HPI
- 207.2904
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.56%
- Metro
- Midland, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+43.3% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $49,999 FSBO.com
- 2024-06-28 Price Changed $85,000 PBBOR
- 2024-02-27 Sold (MLS) — ODMLS
- 2024-02-01 Listed $40,000 ODMLS
- 2023-03-05 Price Changed $90,000 PBBOR
- 2022-11-29 Price Changed $95,000 PBBOR
- 2022-11-21 Price Changed $108,000 PBBOR
- 2022-11-07 Price Changed $100,000 PBBOR
- 2022-10-18 Price Changed $105,000 PBBOR
- 2022-08-10 Price Changed $80,000 PBBOR
- 2022-06-27 Price Changed $85,000 PBBOR
- 2022-06-09 Price Changed $110,000 PBBOR
- 2022-06-08 Price Changed $90,000 PBBOR
- 2009-01-14 Sold (MLS) — ODMLS
- 2008-05-29 Listed $29,900 ODMLS
- 2003-10-15 Sold (MLS) — ODMLS
- 2003-06-14 Listed $25,000 ODMLS
- 2003-06-12 Sold (MLS) — ODMLS
- 2002-12-17 Listed $10,000 ODMLS
- 2001-10-19 Sold (MLS) — ODMLS
- 2001-06-14 Listed $34,900 ODMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…