10139 Beechdale St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$86,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * * * PROPERTY HAS THE CERTIFICATE OF COMPLIANCE WITH THE CITY OF DETROIT * * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS!!!! GREAT MONEY MAKER RENTED WITH GOOD PAYING TENANTS !!!!! DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * *
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1924
- Listed 4 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($595 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.11%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $37,362
- List price
- $86,000
- Delta
- 130.18%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10139 Maplelawn St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (+10%) | 17mo | $15,000 | $16 | 68 |
| 11337 Steel St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 880 (+6%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $40 | 66 |
| 10351 Aurora St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 742 (-11%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $67 | 63 |
| 10347 Cedarlawn St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 750 (-10%) | 16mo | $5,000 | $7 | 57 |
| 9359 Steel St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 802 (-4%) | 15mo | $40,000 | $50 | 52 |
| 9366 Steel St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (+8%) | 10mo | $59,000 | $66 | 51 |
| 12050 Birwood St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 770 (-8%) | 15mo | $52,000 | $68 | 50 |
| 9265 Birwood St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 908 (+9%) | 14mo | $57,000 | $63 | 49 |
| 11695 Kentucky St | 0.36mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 912 (+10%) | 14mo | $25,000 | $27 | 49 |
| 11318 Littlefield St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 877 (+5%) | 5mo | $57,500 | $66 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $66,146
- Equity at exit
- $77,476
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.46×
- Total profit
- $179,590
- Equity at exit
- $167,079
Cash invested: $24,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48204
- Home prices YoY
- 18.5%
- Active inventory
- 244
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,090 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$451
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $854/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $303
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,500
- Closing costs
- $2,580
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10345 Crocuslawn Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 10303 Morley St #1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 9353 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $999 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 12775 Plymouth Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $825 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 9022 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,364 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 13717 Keal St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 799 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8544 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 8283 Pinehurst St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 12032 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,423 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 12019 Stoepel St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $943 | $0.94 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 8353 Alpine St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 9917 Woodside St Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 12415 Monica St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 9789 Chenlot St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 12663 Stoepel St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 17d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 12663 Stoepel St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,430 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2926 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 13620 Tuller St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,374 | $1.29 | 12d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $845 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $86,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $86,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $86,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-15$86,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-15remarks 322-char remark
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2026-06-15days on market $86,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $86,000 Active 270 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $86,000 Active 269 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $86,000 Active 266 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $86,000 Active 265 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $86,000 Active 264 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $86,000 Active 261 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $86,000 Active 260 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $86,000 Active 258 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $86,000 Active 257 DOM
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2026-02-20price $86,000 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
* * * * PROPERTY HAS THE CERTIFICATE OF COMPLIANCE WITH THE CITY OF DETROIT * * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS!!!! GREAT MONEY MAKER RENTED WITH GOOD PAYING TENANTS !!!!! DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * *
-
2026-02-19price $86,000 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
* * * * PROPERTY HAS THE CERTIFICATE OF COMPLIANCE WITH THE CITY OF DETROIT * * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS!!!! GREAT MONEY MAKER RENTED WITH GOOD PAYING TENANTS !!!!! DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * *
-
2025-09-12$88,000 Active 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
* * * * PROPERTY HAS THE CERTIFICATE OF COMPLIANCE WITH THE CITY OF DETROIT * * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS!!!! GREAT MONEY MAKER RENTED WITH GOOD PAYING TENANTS !!!!! DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * *
-
2025-09-12$88,000 Active 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
* * * * PROPERTY HAS THE CERTIFICATE OF COMPLIANCE WITH THE CITY OF DETROIT * * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS!!!! GREAT MONEY MAKER RENTED WITH GOOD PAYING TENANTS !!!!! DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * *
-
2021-08-05soldstatus $81,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $854 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,089 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$235/yr (+$20/mo · 27.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,083
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,817
- − Property taxes
- −$854
- − Insurance
- −$430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,047
- − Management
- −$1,047
- − Depreciation
- −$2,502
- Taxable income
- $2,386
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$573
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,696
- Household income
- $34,468
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1418.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 36.51%
- Current HPI
- 234.0465
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+5.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $86,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $86,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-12 Listed $88,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-12 Listed $88,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $81,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $854 · -7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…