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1576 W 13th St
C+ Composite 60.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.1/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$92,000

1576 W 13th St · Jacksonville, FL 32209
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1959 4,356 sqft lot Est $87k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home just minutes from downtown Jacksonville! This well-maintained property features concrete block construction, and a 2021 water heater for added peace of mind. Rental-ready with strong income potential or ideal for an owner-occupant. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, entertainment, and major commuter routes. Seller is not offering seller financing. Cash or hard money preferred. No assignable contracts. Don't miss this great opportunity!

Key facts

  • Rental ready
  • 2021 water heater
  • 4,356 sq ft lot

Tags

CONCRETE BLOCK CONSTRUCTION2021 WATER HEATERRENTAL READYSTRONG INCOME POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Used as single-family residential
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.1 acres; No private pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Electric oven; Electric range

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $44k; list at $92k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,620 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.39%
Cash-on-cash
11.06%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$87,264
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1526 W 14th St 0.08mi 3/1.0 916 (+6%) 3mo $95,000 $104 84
1753 W 12th St 0.22mi 3/1.0 827 (-4%) 4mo $45,000 $54 79
1593 W 11th St 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 920 (+6%) 6mo $125,000 $136 74
1751 W 20th St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 880 (+2%) 2mo $27,500 $31 71
2715 Myrtle Ave N 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (+4%) 3mo $98,000 $109 66
2031 Danson St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (0%) 6mo $72,000 $83 56
1901 Pullman Ct 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 969 (+12%) 0mo $98,000 $101 54
1480 N Myrtle Ave N 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 916 (+6%) 2mo $60,000 $66 53
1279 W 20th St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 962 (+11%) 1mo $87,500 $91 50
1339 Hart St 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 818 (-5%) 4mo $199,017 $243 46
1536 W 3rd St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 776 (-10%) 1mo $107,000 $138 44
1149 W 20th St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (-11%) 4mo $60,000 $78 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,073
Equity at exit
$13,717
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$13,396
Equity at exit
$7,954

Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32209

Home prices YoY
-22.1%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
394
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,092 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$482
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,250/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$237

Break-even live

Break-even rent $791
Max offer price $92,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,000
Closing costs
$2,760
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1525 W 15th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 24d 1 0.15mi
1538 Ella St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 24d 1 0.25mi
2310 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 726 $600 $0.83 24d 1 0.27mi
2306 Fairfax St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 900 $700 $0.78 24d 1 0.27mi
2306 Fairfax St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $650 $0.93 24d 1 0.27mi
2312 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 726 $650 $0.90 17d 1 0.27mi
1923 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 616 $835 $1.36 15d 1 0.29mi
1824 W 14th St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 674 $775 $1.15 24d 1 0.30mi
1845 W 13th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 24d 1 0.32mi
1570 Mc Conihe St Unit B Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 714 $875 $1.23 24d 1 0.33mi
1537 W 7th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 8d 1 0.36mi
1537 7th St W Unit B Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 24d 1 0.37mi
1593 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 805 $922 $1.15 24d 1 0.40mi
1526 W 22nd St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 624 $900 $1.44 16d 1 0.43mi
1901 Pullman Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 969 $1,295 $1.34 8d 1 0.44mi
1359 W 20th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 901 $1,134 $1.26 17d 1 0.45mi
2811 N Myrtle Ave #1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 855 $1,121 $1.31 4d 1 0.45mi
1776 Spires Ave Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,125 $1.41 4d 1 0.47mi
2210 Pullman Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 940 $1,050 $1.12 3d 1 0.48mi
1645 W 23rd St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,275 $1.40 24d 1 0.51mi
1934 Ella St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1045 $1,095 $1.05 20d 1 0.52mi
1666 Myrtle Ave N Unit 1666 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $925 $1.32 24d 1 0.52mi
1478 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 960 $1,225 $1.28 24d 1 0.56mi
1478 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 960 $1,225 $1.28 4d 1 0.56mi
1460 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 675 $875 $1.30 12d 1 0.57mi
1460 W 5th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 12d 1 0.57mi
2116 McMillan St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,425 $1.27 21d 1 0.58mi
2016 McMillan St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 812 $650 $0.80 24d 1 0.59mi
2904 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 952 $1,100 $1.16 24d 1 0.60mi
1640 W 4th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1119 $1,675 $1.50 20d 1 0.61mi
2604 McMillan St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,100 $1.21 21d 1 0.61mi
1788 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 948 $1,295 $1.37 24d 1 0.61mi
1363 W 24th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 660 $995 $1.51 4d 1 0.61mi
2036 W 11th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.5 698 $1,250 $1.79 21d 1 0.64mi
1971 W 22nd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1094 $1,095 $1.00 8d 1 0.64mi
2040 W 15th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1036 $1,050 $1.01 24d 1 0.65mi
1625 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 2d 1 0.65mi
1625 W 26th St Unit 4 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 24d 1 0.65mi
1625 W 26th St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 24d 1 0.65mi
2532 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 24d 1 0.65mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $92,000 Pending 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $92,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $92,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $92,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $92,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-05-18
    listed $98,000 Active
  7. 2024-04-12
    historical $1,011
  8. 2024-03-20
    price $1,011
  9. 2024-02-22
    price $1,022
  10. 2024-02-06
    price $1,032
  11. 2024-01-25
    price $1,098
  12. 2024-01-18
    price $1,246
  13. 2024-01-11
    listed $1,283
  14. 2021-09-14
    soldstatus $44,000
  15. 1972-07-03
    soldstatus $11,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,250 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,250 · $104/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,099
− Mortgage interest
−$5,153
− Property taxes
−$1,250
− Insurance
−$460
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,048
− Management
−$1,048
− Depreciation
−$2,676
Taxable income
$1,463
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$351
After-tax cash flow
$2,497/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
34,657
Household income
$30,514
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2921.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.92%
Current HPI
189.5977
Rent YoY
▲ 1.81%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+752.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $98,000 realMLS
  • 2024-04-12 Rental Removed $1,011 RENT.
  • 2024-03-20 Price Changed $1,011 RENT.
  • 2024-02-22 Price Changed $1,022 RENT.
  • 2024-02-06 Price Changed $1,032 RENT.
  • 2024-01-25 Price Changed $1,098 RENT.
  • 2024-01-18 Price Changed $1,246 RENT.
  • 2024-01-11 Listed for Rent $1,283 RENT.
  • 2021-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
  • 1972-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $11,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,250 · +30.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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