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1529 W Ravina Park Rd
C- Composite 50.49
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$99,000

1529 W Ravina Park Rd · Decatur, IL 62526
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 776 sqft · Other public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1947 0.95 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

COUNTRY LIVING IN TOWN!! Located on . 95 of an acre this adorable 2 bedroom cottage is the perfect place to call HOME! 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom with a very functional mudroom off the back. Outside you have a 2 car detached garage with an additional wood shed!! Gazebo and picnic table to stay making the outside oasis almost complete!! This peaceful setting has soo much room to enjoy nature making this home perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Inside you will find warm rustic touches, a barn door, and a country style kitchen full of character!! EVERYTHING has been recently updated including electrical, light fixtures, faucets, and paint!! All appliances to stay including an e

Key facts

  • Wood shed
  • Picnic table
  • Gazebo

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEWOOD SHEDGAZEBOPICNIC TABLEMUDROOMCOUNTRY STYLE KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built on crawl space
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Wooded lot; Asphalt road access; Shed(s); Workshop

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven, Range, Refrigerator, Freezer
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedrooms included)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Dryer; Electric water heater; Freezer; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Washer; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $97,515 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.56%
Cash-on-cash
4.54%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-6,030
Equity at exit
$18,263
10-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$6,424
Equity at exit
$14,697

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62526

Home prices YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,054 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$167 /mo · $2,007/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $921
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1345 N Fairview Ave Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 785 $985 $1.25 43d 1 0.71mi
2148 N Graceland Ave Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $1,195 $1.38 43d 1 0.90mi
1311 N Walnut Grove Ave Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 781 $1,100 $1.41 43d 1 0.93mi
1091 N Oakcrest Ave Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 672 $950 $1.41 43d 1 0.95mi
1908 N Union St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 704 $899 $1.28 43d 1 1.25mi
1045 N Monroe St Decatur, IL 3.0 2.0 1094 $1,000 $0.91 43d 1 1.32mi
1245 N Union St Decatur, IL 3.0 2.0 1111 $995 $0.90 43d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    statusdays on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-05-27
    listed $99,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,007 · $167/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,127 · $177/mo
Expected delta
+$120/yr (+$10/mo · 6.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,646
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$2,007
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,012
− Management
−$1,012
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$305
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$73
After-tax cash flow
$1,331/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decatur SD 61
NCES district ID
1711850
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,864
Composite
3.99/100
National rank
#10059
State rank
#605 of 620 in IL

Livability — Decatur

Score
59/100
State rank
#1076
US rank
#20533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decatur, IL
County
Macon County · 78,333 people
City population
78,333
Metro
Decatur, IL
Population (ZIP)
30,483
Household income
$49,062
Rent vs Own
39.2% rent · 60.8% own
Severe rent burden
1041.0

Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,568 people
By 2030
94,973 · -4.6%
By 2040
85,250 · -14.4%
By 2050
75,920 · -23.8%
By 2075
55,962 · -43.8%
By 2100
36,468 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macon

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.21%
Current HPI
182.871
Rent YoY
Metro
Decatur, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $99,000 CIBR

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,007 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…