1529 W Ravina Park Rd · Decatur, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
COUNTRY LIVING IN TOWN!! Located on . 95 of an acre this adorable 2 bedroom cottage is the perfect place to call HOME! 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom with a very functional mudroom off the back. Outside you have a 2 car detached garage with an additional wood shed!! Gazebo and picnic table to stay making the outside oasis almost complete!! This peaceful setting has soo much room to enjoy nature making this home perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Inside you will find warm rustic touches, a barn door, and a country style kitchen full of character!! EVERYTHING has been recently updated including electrical, light fixtures, faucets, and paint!! All appliances to stay including an e
Key facts
- Wood shed
- Picnic table
- Gazebo
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built on crawl space
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Wooded lot; Asphalt road access; Shed(s); Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven, Range, Refrigerator, Freezer
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedrooms included)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Dryer; Electric water heater; Freezer; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Washer; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.54%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-6,030
- Equity at exit
- $18,263
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $6,424
- Equity at exit
- $14,697
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62526
- Home prices YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,054 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,007/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $105
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1345 N Fairview Ave Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $985 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2148 N Graceland Ave Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,195 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1311 N Walnut Grove Ave Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 781 | $1,100 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1091 N Oakcrest Ave Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $950 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1908 N Union St Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $899 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1045 N Monroe St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1094 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1245 N Union St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $995 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19statusdays on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $99,000 Active Under Contract 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$99,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,007 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,127 · $177/mo
- Expected delta
- +$120/yr (+$10/mo · 6.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,646
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$2,007
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,012
- − Management
- −$1,012
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable loss
- −$305
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$73
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,331/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur SD 61
- NCES district ID
- 1711850
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,864
- Composite
- 3.99/100
- National rank
- #10059
- State rank
- #605 of 620 in IL
Livability — Decatur
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1076
- US rank
- #20533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decatur, IL
- County
- Macon County · 78,333 people
- City population
- 78,333
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,483
- Household income
- $49,062
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1041.0
Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,568 people
- By 2030
- 94,973 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 85,250 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 75,920 · -23.8%
- By 2075
- 55,962 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 36,468 · -63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macon
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.21%
- Current HPI
- 182.871
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $99,000 CIBR
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2024): $2,007 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…