5775 Cedar Dr · West Siloam Springs, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Builder ready to get this one off the books! Construction completed by the end of the month! Charming 2 bedroom 2 bathroom 1176 sq ft home on approximately . 50 acre lot. This home has the perfect floor plan with comfortable and well-sized bedrooms, kitchen and spacious laundry room. Granite, walk in closets, and covered front porch makes this the perfect home. All on an over-sized lot with mature trees for shade, and plenty of space for gardening or outdoor activities. Located just 5 minutes from the AR/OK line.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Over-sized lot
- Space for gardening
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Home warranty included
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Located near a fire station
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Septic (septic tank) available
- Home design: Single-story; New construction; Crawlspace foundation; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Construction: Built as new construction; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Gravel driveway; Cleared, level lot; Public road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Granite counters
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Granite counters
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#318 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Moseley (rural): math 20% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #418 of 513 in OK (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 51 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Delaware County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.38%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $243,432
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5817 Cedar | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,156 (-2%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $190 | 86 |
| 5771 Cedar Dr | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,037 (-12%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $207 | 77 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $52,714
- Equity at exit
- $96,673
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.50×
- Total profit
- $150,212
- Equity at exit
- $148,985
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74338
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,413 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$507
- Net cashflow
- $420
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $569 | -5% $495 | +0% $420 | +5% $346 | +10% $272 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $230 | -5% $325 | +0% $420 | +5% $516 | +10% $611 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $529 | -0.5pp $475 | base $420 | +0.5pp $365 | +1.0pp $308 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21remarks 519-char remark
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $215,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $224,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $224,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $224,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $224,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-04-16status Active
-
2026-04-03historical
-
2025-12-03price $224,900
-
2025-11-02$235,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,956
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,316
- − Management
- −$2,316
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $1,725
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$414
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,631/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moseley
- NCES district ID
- 4020430
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,121
- Composite
- 19.83/100
- National rank
- #13893
- State rank
- #418 of 513 in OK
Livability — West Siloam Springs
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #318
- US rank
- #18248
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Siloam Springs, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,306
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,302 people
- By 2030
- 40,888 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 39,802 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 38,839 · -6.0%
- By 2075
- 37,438 · -9.4%
- By 2100
- 34,910 · -15.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Native American 24% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Portuguese 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.2% · R 79.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.8pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.5 2016: R+54.1 2012: R+41.3 2008: R+33.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-4.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — NWARMLS
- 2026-04-03 Delisted — NWARMLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $224,900 NWARMLS
- 2025-11-02 Listed $235,000 NWARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…