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15786 Cruse St
B- Composite 68.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

15786 Cruse St · Detroit, MI 48227
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,308 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1928 4,792 sqft lot $61/sqft · at area comps Est $79k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * INVESTORS * * This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom brick bungalow would make a perfect Section 8 rental and could generate a monthly rental rate of $1,550/month! The nearly turn-key property features an updated kitchen, 2 updated full bathrooms, vinyl windows, a 3D architectural shingle roof, forced air heating, PEX & PVC plumbing, an updated 100 amp electrical panel w/ some romex wiring, a 2-car garage, and so much more! 2 bedrooms per floor with a bonus room on the 2nd floor as well. NO SELLER FINANCING, CASH OR HARD MONEY ONLY. Transfers will be subject to reporting when buyers use entities or trusts to take title to residential real estate, when the transaction is all-cash, privately financed, or HELOC.

Key facts

  • Vinyl windows
  • Pex plumbing
  • Forced air heating

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENUPDATED FULL BATHROOMSVINYL WINDOWS3D ARCHITECTURAL SHINGLE ROOFFORCED AIR HEATINGPEX PLUMBING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $532 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,473/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 2371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,709 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.84%
Cap rate
14.29%
Cash-on-cash
28.55%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,148
List price
$79,900
Delta
0.95%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16176 Tracey St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,270 (-3%) 0mo $70,000 $55 73
16183 Freeland Street St 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,224 (-6%) 3mo $150,000 $123 70
16562 Tracey St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,244 (-5%) 2mo $60,000 $48 66
15868 Whitcomb St 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,332 (+2%) 2mo $95,000 $71 59
15053 Littlefield St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,286 (-2%) 2mo $75,000 $58 59
15824 Snowden St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,127 (-14%) 0mo $61,000 $54 56
15824 Snowden St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,127 (-14%) 0mo $61,000 $54 56
16180 Snowden St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,137 (-13%) 0mo $61,000 $54 54
16516 Appoline St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,350 (+3%) 1mo $39,500 $29 54
14905 Littlefield St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,368 (+5%) 1mo $52,000 $38 54
16863 Tracey St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-8%) 2mo $165,000 $138 48
15841 Steel St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,460 (+12%) 1mo $50,000 $34 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$24,962
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
35.3%
Equity multiple
4.70×
Total profit
$82,719
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
385
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,473 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,152/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$532

Break-even live

Break-even rent $800
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,250 $0.87 16d 1 0.18mi
15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 12d 1 0.25mi
16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 10d 1 0.33mi
16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,345 $0.79 43d 1 0.33mi
15810 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,500 $1.31 24d 1 0.49mi
16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1653 $1,450 $0.88 43d 1 0.51mi
15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1080 $1,475 $1.37 16d 1 0.54mi
16151 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,525 $1.17 14d 1 0.56mi
14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1004 $1,100 $1.10 16d 1 0.59mi
15328 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 17d 1 0.63mi
14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 0.63mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 12d 1 0.63mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,375 $1.38 24d 1 0.63mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 24d 1 0.63mi
16204 Steel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,150 $1.19 43d 1 0.64mi
14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 2d 1 0.76mi
14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 43d 1 0.79mi
14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 43d 1 0.90mi
14893 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 14d 1 0.97mi
15708 Birwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1255 $1,100 $0.88 4d 1 0.98mi
14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,150 $1.03 16d 1 1.01mi
14375 Terry St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,425 $1.10 43d 1 1.04mi
18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 24d 1 1.05mi
16837 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 20d 1 1.06mi
14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,100 $1.07 24d 1 1.07mi
15375 Prevost St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 907 $1,300 $1.43 16d 1 1.07mi
15752 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1174 $1,386 $1.18 4d 1 1.08mi
15866 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1324 $1,425 $1.08 24d 1 1.14mi
15332 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 16d 1 1.23mi
18257 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1185 $1,507 $1.27 16d 1 1.23mi
16014 Hackett St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1142 $1,500 $1.31 43d 1 1.25mi
16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1516 $1,400 $0.92 20d 1 1.25mi
16889 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,100 $0.85 17d 1 1.25mi
17165 Prevost St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $2,400 $2.26 1d 1 1.27mi
17540 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 43d 1 1.27mi
14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1327 $1,350 $1.02 4d 1 1.31mi
16183 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1370 $1,400 $1.02 43d 1 1.36mi
16535 Asbury Park Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1152 $1,450 $1.26 24d 1 1.36mi
16210 Ferguson St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1493 $1,750 $1.17 3d 1 1.37mi
15736 Biltmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,200 $1.20 16d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 96 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 90 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,900 Active 85 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 84 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 81 DOM
  13. 2026-03-11
    listed $79,900 Active 719-char remark
    Show marketing remark (719 chars)

    * * INVESTORS * * This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom brick bungalow would make a perfect Section 8 rental and could generate a monthly rental rate of $1,550/month! The nearly turn-key property features an updated kitchen, 2 updated full bathrooms, vinyl windows, a 3D architectural shingle roof, forced air heating, PEX & PVC plumbing, an updated 100 amp electrical panel w/ some romex wiring, a 2-car garage, and so much more! 2 bedrooms per floor with a bonus room on the 2nd floor as well. NO SELLER FINANCING, CASH OR HARD MONEY ONLY. Transfers will be subject to reporting when buyers use entities or trusts to take title to residential real estate, when the transaction is all-cash, privately financed, or HELOC.

  14. 2026-03-11
    listed $79,900 Active 719-char remark
    Show marketing remark (719 chars)

    * * INVESTORS * * This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom brick bungalow would make a perfect Section 8 rental and could generate a monthly rental rate of $1,550/month! The nearly turn-key property features an updated kitchen, 2 updated full bathrooms, vinyl windows, a 3D architectural shingle roof, forced air heating, PEX & PVC plumbing, an updated 100 amp electrical panel w/ some romex wiring, a 2-car garage, and so much more! 2 bedrooms per floor with a bonus room on the 2nd floor as well. NO SELLER FINANCING, CASH OR HARD MONEY ONLY. Transfers will be subject to reporting when buyers use entities or trusts to take title to residential real estate, when the transaction is all-cash, privately financed, or HELOC.

  15. 2021-08-10
    soldstatus $79,000
  16. 2020-11-30
    soldstatus $32,000 Sold
  17. 2020-11-30
    soldstatus $32,000 Closed
  18. 2020-11-10
    status Pending
  19. 2020-11-10
    status Pending
  20. 2020-11-03
    price $37,000
  21. 2020-11-02
    price $37,000
  22. 2020-10-28
    price $40,000
  23. 2020-10-28
    price $40,000
  24. 2020-08-24
    price $42,000
  25. 2020-08-24
    price $42,000
  26. 2020-07-24
    listed $45,000 Active
  27. 2020-07-24
    listed $45,000 Active
  28. 2013-07-22
    soldstatus $45,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,152 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,152 · $179/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,680
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$2,152
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,414
− Management
−$1,414
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$5,499
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,320
After-tax cash flow
$5,067/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+75.6% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
  • 2020-11-30 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-11-30 Sold (MLS) $32,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-11-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-11-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-11-03 Price Changed $37,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-11-02 Price Changed $37,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-10-28 Price Changed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-10-28 Price Changed $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-08-24 Price Changed $42,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-24 Price Changed $42,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-07-24 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-07-24 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,152 · -54.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…