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7947 E St Rt 41
C- Composite 52.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • Schools +6.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,000

7947 E St Rt 41 · Troy, OH 45373
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,684 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1920 5,227 sqft lot Est $320k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience the charm of country living with the convenience of proximity to town. Delight in your morning coffee on the inviting front porch. The updated kitchen features a large island, perfect for casual dining, complemented by a formal dining room and modern appliances. The home includes a downstairs bedroom, two additional bedrooms upstairs, and a loft with a built-in office. The spacious family room is enhanced by numerous windows, allowing for abundant natural light. The fenced backyard provides privacy for enjoying campfires with family and friends, along with raised garden beds. A 22x22 detached garage offers additional storage and utility. Located in the sought-after Miami East sch

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Modern appliances
  • Large island

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENLARGE ISLANDFORMAL DINING ROOMMODERN APPLIANCESDOWNSTAIRS BEDROOMLOFT WITH BUILT-IN OFFICE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property is for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached two-car garage
  • Utilities: Well water; Water available
  • Home design: Residential zoning
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Second-floor bedroom (13 x 12); Second-floor bedroom (15 x 12); Main-level bedroom (12 x 9)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Heating: Baseboard, Forced air, Natural gas
  • Interior features: Crawl space and partial, unfinished basement; Utility room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($422/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (23.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (23.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.7% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#345 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Miami East Local (rural): math 75% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #70 of 656 in OH (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Miami East Elementary (math 79% / reading 76%, grade A, #213 of 1,584 statewide, top 14%, 630 students, 0% FRL); Miami East Junior High School (math 78% / reading 78%, grade A+, #61 of 654 statewide, top 10%, 305 students, 45% FRL); Miami East High School (math 57% / reading 87%, grade B+, #89 of 781 statewide, top 12%, 478 students, 9% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 287 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 326 units permitted in Miami County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $245k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $187,539 (23.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.62%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$319,960
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
910 S Alcony Conover Rd 0.09mi 4/2.0 1,792 (+6%) 7mo $340,000 $190 75
1295 Lehman Rd 0.40mi 4/2.0 1,504 (-11%) 20mo $255,000 $170 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.4%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-33,618
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-9,912
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45373

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
287
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,875 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $714/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,831
Max offer price $245,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $174 -5% $105 +0% $35 +5% $-34 +10% $-104
Rent -10% $-113 -5% $-39 +0% $35 +5% $109 +10% $183
Rate -1.0pp $159 -0.5pp $97 base $35 +0.5pp $-28 +1.0pp $-93

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $245,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $245,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $265,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $265,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $265,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $265,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $265,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $265,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $265,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $265,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $265,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    price $265,000 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $275,000 Active 7 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $275,000 Active 6 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 5 DOM
  18. 2026-05-26
    listed $275,000 Active
  19. 2022-06-24
    soldstatus $115,000
  20. 2020-02-26
    soldstatus $71,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$714 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,268 · $189/mo
Expected delta
+$1,554/yr (+$129/mo · 217.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,505
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$714
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,800
− Management
−$1,800
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$3,886
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$933
After-tax cash flow
$1,355/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami East Local
NCES district ID
3904862
Math proficiency
75% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$62,317
Composite
66.34/100
National rank
#424
State rank
#70 of 656 in OH

Livability — Troy

Score
73/100
State rank
#345
US rank
#5621

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Miami County · 85,667 people
City population
37,565
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
37,565
Household income
$75,742
Rent vs Own
28.7% rent · 71.3% own
Severe rent burden
1134.0

Population outlook (Miami County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
107,816 people
By 2030
108,896 · +1.0%
By 2040
109,581 · +1.6%
By 2050
108,110 · +0.3%
By 2075
101,523 · -5.8%
By 2100
85,787 · -20.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.6pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+44.3 2016: R+45.6 2012: R+35.6 2008: R+28.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -158.93%
Current HPI
211.5279
Rent YoY
▲ 5.06%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+287.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $275,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2022-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2020-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $714 · -46.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…