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2821 Sansom Ave
F Composite 32.27
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

2821 Sansom Ave · Gadsden, AL 35904
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 352 Days on market
Built 1930 8,712 sqft lot $61/sqft · 29% above area Est $83k · 15% over ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom 2 bath home in quite neighborhood with large screened front porch, spacious back deck with fenced back yard. This home features 2 fireplaces with gas logs and a living room and den next to the kitchen, the master bath is huge with a walk in closet, plus a storage building out back.

Key facts

  • Screened front porch
  • Spacious back deck
  • Fenced back yard

Tags

SCREENED FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS BACK DECKFENCED BACK YARD2 FIREPLACESWALK IN CLOSETSTORAGE BUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($173/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $75k (21.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 5.1% in Gadsden — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#335 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Gadsden City (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #87 of 129 in AL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 119 units permitted in Etowah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Etowah County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 352 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000 (21.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 352 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.65%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$82,660
List price
$94,900
Delta
14.81%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2908 W Meighan Blvd 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,628 (+4%) 3mo $55,000 $34 82
14 Winona 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-4%) 1mo $20,000 $13 74
3424 W Meighan Blvd 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,534 (-2%) 2mo $145,000 $95 73
11 W Tuscaloosa Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,571 (+0%) 9mo $73,000 $46 66
3506 Western Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,552 (-1%) 14mo $139,900 $90 59
421 33rd St N 0.35mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,407 (-10%) 5mo $108,000 $77 56
411 Vernon St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,523 (-3%) 21mo $128,100 $84 53
20 Dwight Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,500 (-4%) 20mo $80,000 $53 44
3204 Sansom Ave 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (+15%) 18mo $189,000 $105 43
3708 Roselawn Dr 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,775 (+13%) 22mo $180,000 $101 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-14,499
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-11,594
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35904

Home prices YoY
-17.1%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$750 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $491/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$158
Net cashflow
$14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $732
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2 W Tuscaloosa Ave Gadsden, AL 2.0 1.0 1056 $750 $0.71 43d 1 0.60mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $94,900 Active 352 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 351 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 350 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 349 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 348 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,900 Active 346 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $94,900 Active 345 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 342 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 341 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 340 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 339 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $94,900 Active 336 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 335 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 334 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 333 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 332 DOM
  17. 2025-08-04
    price $94,900 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath home in quite neighborhood with large screened front porch, spacious back deck with fenced back yard. This home features 2 fireplaces with gas logs and a living room and den next to the kitchen, the master bath is huge with a walk in closet, plus a storage building out back.

  18. 2025-07-02
    listed $99,900 Active 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath home in quite neighborhood with large screened front porch, spacious back deck with fenced back yard. This home features 2 fireplaces with gas logs and a living room and den next to the kitchen, the master bath is huge with a walk in closet, plus a storage building out back.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$491 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$491 · $41/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,000
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$491
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$720
− Management
−$720
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable loss
−$1,482
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$356
After-tax cash flow
$528/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gadsden City
NCES district ID
0101620
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$29,099
Composite
21.62/100
National rank
#8292
State rank
#87 of 129 in AL

Livability — Gadsden

Score
59/100
State rank
#335
US rank
#20131

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gadsden, AL
Population (ZIP)
13,571

Population outlook (Etowah County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
100,500 people
By 2030
98,488 · -2.0%
By 2040
93,731 · -6.7%
By 2050
88,681 · -11.8%
By 2075
76,746 · -23.6%
By 2100
65,373 · -35.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Etowah

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.8% · R 77.5%
2008→2024 swing
-17.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -55.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.7 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+38.4 2008: R+38.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.06%
Current HPI
213.3981
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-04 Price Changed $94,900 VMLS
  • 2025-07-02 Listed $99,900 VMLS

Property tax history

+10.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $491 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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