252 Wachtel Ave · Lemay, MO
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled at 252 Wachtel AVE, STLS MO 63125, this single-family residence in STLS County presents a unique opportunity to own a piece of history. The residence offers a glimpse into a bygone era. this property offers a canvas upon which to create your ideal living space. Seize the chance to own a residence with character.
Key facts
- 7,248 sq ft lot
- Built 1903
- Listed 296 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.2% in Lemay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#213 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools D+.
- Hancock Place (suburban): math 30% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #251 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 297 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $135k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 297 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.76%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,284
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -22.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8523 Idaho Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,392 (-5%) | 4mo | $129,900 | $93 | 71 |
| 720 Erskine Ave | 0.30mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,504 (+3%) | 8mo | $49,900 | $33 | 69 |
| 8708 S Grand Ave | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,277 (-13%) | 1mo | $189,000 | $148 | 65 |
| 3806 Waller Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.5 | 1,401 (-4%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $153 | 65 |
| 329 Goetz Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,497 (+2%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $23 | 63 |
| 527 Hoffmeister Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,388 (-5%) | 8mo | $168,900 | $122 | 59 |
| 212 Espenschied St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,562 (+7%) | 5mo | $119,900 | $77 | 57 |
| 9533 Gentry Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,491 (+2%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $111 | 56 |
| 8111 Southpark Ct | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-4%) | 1mo | $174,900 | $125 | 55 |
| 116 Horn Ave | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,264 (-14%) | 1mo | $167,500 | $133 | 53 |
| 8309 Minnesota Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 1,292 (-12%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $108 | 51 |
| 3733 Comstock Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,633 (+12%) | 8mo | $262,000 | $160 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-11,803
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,819
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63125
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,429 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,823/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $157
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $234 | -5% $196 | +0% $157 | +5% $119 | +10% $81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $45 | -5% $101 | +0% $157 | +5% $214 | +10% $270 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $225 | -0.5pp $192 | base $157 | +0.5pp $122 | +1.0pp $87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 Waller Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,075 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 304 Bayless Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 0d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 229 Horn Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1301 | $1,871 | $1.44 | 0d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 349 Lagro Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $1,500 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 336 Lagro Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $1,250 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 8125 Michigan Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 797 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 8215 Pennsylvania Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 7924 Michigan Ave Unit 2F St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,195 | $0.96 | 4d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 813 W Courtois St Apt C St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 815 W Courtois St St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $795 | $0.88 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 807 W Courtois St Apt D St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $925 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 812 Schirmer St Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $795 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 152 W Etta Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,274 | $1.36 | 8d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 127 E Holden Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3945 Crosby Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,083 | $1.89 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7417 Vermont Ave Unit 103 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1069 | $1,500 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7417 Vermont Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1144 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 0d | 8 | 0.99mi |
| 9809 S Broadway Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1288 | $1,450 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7109 Eugene Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,495 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3857 Boulevard Heights Ct Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1697 | $2,250 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7024 Pennsylvania Ave Unit F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1081 | $930 | $0.86 | 17d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 6915 Alabama Ave Unit 1st Floor St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4610 Heege Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1205 | $1,485 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 7428 Morganford Rd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,500 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 9954 Meadow Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 5d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 6730 Vermont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $1,600 | $1.04 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6800 Virginia Ave Unit 1 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,475 | $0.98 | 19d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 9964 Meadow Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $775 | $0.82 | 8d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 9963 Meadow Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,701 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 293 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $135,000 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Nestled at 252 Wachtel AVE, STLS MO 63125, this single-family residence in STLS County presents a unique opportunity to own a piece of history. The residence offers a glimpse into a bygone era. this property offers a canvas upon which to create your ideal living space. Seize the chance to own a residence with character.
-
2026-04-09status Active 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Nestled at 252 Wachtel AVE, STLS MO 63125, this single-family residence in STLS County presents a unique opportunity to own a piece of history. The residence offers a glimpse into a bygone era. this property offers a canvas upon which to create your ideal living space. Seize the chance to own a residence with character.
-
2026-03-11status Pending 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Nestled at 252 Wachtel AVE, STLS MO 63125, this single-family residence in STLS County presents a unique opportunity to own a piece of history. The residence offers a glimpse into a bygone era. this property offers a canvas upon which to create your ideal living space. Seize the chance to own a residence with character.
-
2026-01-14status Active 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Nestled at 252 Wachtel AVE, STLS MO 63125, this single-family residence in STLS County presents a unique opportunity to own a piece of history. The residence offers a glimpse into a bygone era. this property offers a canvas upon which to create your ideal living space. Seize the chance to own a residence with character.
-
2025-12-08price $140,000 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Nestled at 252 Wachtel AVE, STLS MO 63125, this single-family residence in STLS County presents a unique opportunity to own a piece of history. The residence offers a glimpse into a bygone era. this property offers a canvas upon which to create your ideal living space. Seize the chance to own a residence with character.
-
2025-08-07price $154,900 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Nestled at 252 Wachtel AVE, STLS MO 63125, this single-family residence in STLS County presents a unique opportunity to own a piece of history. The residence offers a glimpse into a bygone era. this property offers a canvas upon which to create your ideal living space. Seize the chance to own a residence with character.
-
2025-07-16$158,000 Active 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Nestled at 252 Wachtel AVE, STLS MO 63125, this single-family residence in STLS County presents a unique opportunity to own a piece of history. The residence offers a glimpse into a bygone era. this property offers a canvas upon which to create your ideal living space. Seize the chance to own a residence with character.
-
2025-04-18$158,600 Active
-
2025-04-18historical
-
2005-07-25soldstatus $90,000
-
1991-07-01soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,823 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,823 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,823
- − Insurance
- −$1,342
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,372
- − Management
- −$1,372
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$247
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$59
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,949/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hancock Place
- NCES district ID
- 2913620
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,890
- Composite
- 27.08/100
- National rank
- #7048
- State rank
- #251 of 324 in MO
Livability — Lemay
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #213
- US rank
- #10652
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lemay, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 33,294
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,294
- Household income
- $61,624
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 631.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- American 9% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 11% Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.27%
- Current HPI
- 234.3792
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $140,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $154,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-16 Listed $158,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-18 Listed $158,600 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-18 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 1991-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.8%/yrLatest (2022): $1,823 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…