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169 Balboa Dr
B- Composite 65.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.4/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

169 Balboa Dr · Palm Springs, CA 92264
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,060 sqft · Manufactured · 180 Days on market
Built 1963 Fair condition $94/sqft · 7% above area Est $94k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious double wide mobilehome in Safari Park, a very sought after Palm Springs location. Home has a very large bedroom, walk-in closet, wardrobe closet, ensuite bath with a new tile and glass walk in shower with 3 heads on wall selector (rainhead, wand, and conventional), and a bench seat. Hall bathroom with a walk-in shower. All new flooring. Carpeted bedroom and hardwood floors. Central Air & Heating! Large corner lot with 2 covered areas. One carport and another side patio.

Key facts

  • Large corner lot
  • Ensuite bath
  • Carport

Tags

WALK IN CLOSETENSUITE BATHLARGE CORNER LOTCARPORTSIDE PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.3% vs local median 2.7% in Palm Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#348 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 492 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.56%
Cap rate
22.29%
Cash-on-cash
57.13%
DSCR
3.54
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,595
List price
$100,000
Delta
6.84%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
147 Camarillo St 0.10mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (+4%) 2mo $58,000 $53 83
179 Balboa 0.05mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,060 (0%) 15mo $215,000 $203 80
171 Balboa Dr 0.02mi 1/1.0 945 (-11%) 1mo $95,000 $101 76
235 Newport 0.13mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (+2%) 13mo $125,000 $116 74
86 Santa Monica St 0.06mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,070 (+1%) 22mo $118,000 $110 72
54 Santa Maria 0.11mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,000 (-6%) 14mo $147,000 $147 69
257 Del Mar 0.12mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+13%) 1mo $125,000 $104 67
7 Carmel 0.16mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,120 (+6%) 15mo $143,000 $128 65
46 Santa Maria 0.14mi 1/2.0 920 (-13%) 11mo $95,000 $103 62
226 Newport Dr 0.09mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+13%) 18mo $111,000 $93 53
144 Jupiter St 0.24mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (+9%) 20mo $225,000 $195 53
136 Laguna 0.04mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (+13%) 24mo $30,000 $25 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.2%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$61,231
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
56.3%
Equity multiple
5.78×
Total profit
$133,786
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92264

Rents YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
492
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,562 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$538
Net cashflow
$1,333

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2391 Mira Monte Cir W Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1180 $2,850 $2.42 43d 1 0.32mi
2350 Miramonte Cir E Unit A Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1264 $3,000 $2.37 24d 1 0.36mi
2350 Miramonte Cir E Unit E Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1241 $4,500 $3.63 43d 1 0.36mi
2601 S Broadmoor Dr Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1178 $2,050 $1.74 43d 2 0.56mi
2441 S Birdie Way Unit E Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1438 $3,250 $2.26 24d 1 0.59mi
4850 N Winners Cir Unit A Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1275 $2,700 $2.12 16d 1 0.61mi
1700 S Araby Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 871 $2,217 $2.54 1d 3 0.72mi
5225 E Waverly Dr #66 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 2.0 887 $3,600 $4.06 43d 1 0.73mi
5300 E Waverly Dr Unit C4 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 1.5 768 $1,900 $2.47 2d 1 0.80mi
5301 E Waverly Dr #192 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 979 $2,300 $2.35 24d 1 0.86mi
5301 E Waverly Dr #120 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 2.0 887 $2,800 $3.16 43d 1 0.86mi
5300 E Waverly Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 768 $1,750 $2.28 24d 2 0.89mi
5301 E Waverly Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 2.0 933 $2,100 $2.25 18d 2 0.93mi
5301 E Waverly Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 2.0 933 $2,100 $2.25 15d 2 0.93mi
2800 Lawrence Crossley Rd Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 905 $2,022 $2.23 43d 1 1.03mi
2700 Lawrence Crossley Rd Unit B15 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 885 $1,950 $2.20 43d 1 1.04mi
2700 Lawrence Crossley Rd #18 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 885 $2,050 $2.32 18d 1 1.04mi
2701 E Mesquite Ave Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1175 $2,898 $2.47 15d 4 1.30mi
2701 E Mesquite Ave Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1175 $3,435 $2.92 20d 4 1.30mi
2701 E Mesquite Ave Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1175 $2,982 $2.54 24d 5 1.30mi
2010 Lawrence Crossley Rd Unit 8 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 1.5 993 $1,895 $1.91 14d 1 1.32mi
2700 E Mesquite Ave Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1175 $3,025 $2.57 43d 2 1.32mi
6071 Hazeltine Plz Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1168 $3,200 $2.74 43d 1 1.46mi
3737 E Calle De Carlos Unit 3 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 705 $1,499 $2.13 20d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 180 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 179 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 178 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 177 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 175 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 174 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 171 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 170 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 169 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 166 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 165 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 164 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 163 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 162 DOM
  15. 2025-12-20
    listed $100,000 Active 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    Spacious double wide mobilehome in Safari Park, a very sought after Palm Springs location. Home has a very large bedroom, walk-in closet, wardrobe closet, ensuite bath with a new tile and glass walk in shower with 3 heads on wall selector (rainhead, wand, and conventional), and a bench seat. Hall bathroom with a walk-in shower. All new flooring. Carpeted bedroom and hardwood floors. Central Air & Heating! Large corner lot with 2 covered areas. One carport and another side patio.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,747
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,460
− Management
−$2,460
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$15,317
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,676
After-tax cash flow
$12,321/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This double-wide mobile home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, with a focus on exterior siding and interior walls. Upgrades to the exterior and interior will significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
  • Major interior walls — Peeling paint
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — Dated fixtures

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Resale Replace dated bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the bathroom

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Significant wear and tear Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · Peeling paint Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · Dated fixtures Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $30,500–103,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Resale Replace dated bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the bathroom

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Palm Springs

Score
66/100
State rank
#348
US rank
#11850

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palm Springs, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
46,786
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
19,899
Household income
$77,688
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
1215.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 6% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 13% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -489.04%
Current HPI
357.0969
Rent YoY
▼ -0.43%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-12-20 Listed $100,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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