215 N Archer St · Henrietta, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come see this Historic Home in Henrietta-Built in 1945, 215 N Archer has personality w/ hardwood floors, tall tray ceilings, & two striking decorative fireplaces. This 3 bed 1.5 bath home sits on a . 22 acre corner lot & offers a large eat-in kitchen w/ a gas cooktop, dishwasher, fridge & plenty of cabinets. Outside you'll love the trees, fenced backyard, carport, & storage space! Comfortable to live in now, with plenty of opportunity to restore & highlight its historic character over time. Come make it yours!
Key facts
- Gas cooktop
- Tall tray ceilings
- Large eat-in kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.5% in Henrietta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#379 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Henrietta ISD (rural): math 47% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #219 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Henrietta El (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #1,006 of 4,322 statewide, top 25%, 481 students, 53% FRL); Henrietta Middle (math 50% / reading 43%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 226 students, 48% FRL); Henrietta H S (math 37% / reading 72%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 287 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.65%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,829
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -42.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402 S Red Riv | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,266 (+1%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $107 | 72 |
| 916 N Bridge St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (+2%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $59 | 65 |
| 407 S Clay | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (+3%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $186 | 64 |
| 416 S Graham St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,208 (-4%) | 19mo | $174,000 | $144 | 61 |
| 516 E Crafton St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-2%) | 16mo | $169,000 | $137 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $11,055
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $41,613
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active
- Months of supply
- 84.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $137,000 ($97/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 65 d
- This list price
- 14% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +22.8% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76365
- Home prices YoY
- -18.4%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,210 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,021/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $390
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $438 | -5% $414 | +0% $390 | +5% $366 | +10% $342 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $294 | -5% $342 | +0% $390 | +5% $438 | +10% $485 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $433 | -0.5pp $411 | base $390 | +0.5pp $368 | +1.0pp $345 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Single-family residenceOne storySlab foundation
- Construction
- Composition roof
- Exterior features
- Covered patio/porchFenced yardCorner lot
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherGas cooktopGas ovenRefrigeratorEat-in kitchen layout
- Flooring
- CarpetHardwood
- Bathrooms
- One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (natural gas)Central airWindow air unit(s)
- Interior features
- Vaulted ceilingsEat-in kitchenDining room fireplace
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $85,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $85,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $85,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $85,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $85,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $85,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $85,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-29pricedays on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $90,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $90,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $90,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $90,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $90,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $90,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $90,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $90,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $90,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $90,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $90,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $90,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $90,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $90,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $90,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $90,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $90,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $90,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $90,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $90,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $90,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $90,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $90,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $90,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $90,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $90,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $90,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $90,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $90,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $90,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-17price $90,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 27 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,021 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,556 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$535/yr (+$45/mo · 52.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,521
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,021
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,162
- − Management
- −$1,162
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $3,518
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$844
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This historic home in Henrietta, built in 1945, requires moderate renovations to update its kitchen and bathroom, but offers a good foundation for a potential renovation project.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Major bathroom fixtures — outdated and in poor condition
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and increases value ↑
- Both update bathroom fixtures — improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henrietta ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822980
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,029
- Composite
- 40.62/100
- National rank
- #3691
- State rank
- #219 of 826 in TX
Livability — Henrietta
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #379
- US rank
- #7978
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Henrietta, TX
- County
- Clay · 9,537 people
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,668
- Household income
- $64,307
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 23% of renters
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,537 people
- By 2030
- 9,042 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 8,090 · -15.2%
- By 2050
- 7,255 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 5,834 · -38.8%
- By 2100
- 4,491 · -52.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+79.7) · D 9.9% · R 89.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.1pp toward R · 2008: -58.6pp · 2024: -79.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+79.7 2020: R+77.6 2016: R+76.6 2012: R+69.7 2008: R+58.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.62%
- Current HPI
- 158.1207
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $90,000 WFAOR
- 2026-05-11 Listed $100,000 WFAOR
- 2012-02-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,021 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…