9118 Boca Gardens Pkwy Unit F · Boca Raton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.7/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
$549,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SPACIOUS CORNER UNIT SURROUNDED BY LAKE VIEWS - NEW A/C, MICRO AND WATER HEATER - SECURITY SYSTEM - 2 CAR GARAGE - 2 SCREENED PATIOS. WON'T LAST!!
Key facts
- $477 HOA
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1991
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with breed restrictions
- HOA & community: Has association; Monthly HOA fee; Association amenities include basketball court, jogging path, management, parking, manager on site, sidewalks; HOA fee covers cable TV, grounds maintenance, security, and trash
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener; 2 covered spaces; Guest parking
- Security: Closed circuit cameras; Smoke detectors; Gated community (no guard); Security patrol
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Cable available; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: Townhouse; Two stories; Resale condition; Faces west
- Construction: Concrete construction; Composition/shingle roof
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch; Corner lot; Waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Trash compactor
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom; One bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; High ceilings; Kitchen island; Walk-in closet(s); Sliding windows
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $549k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-881 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $393k (28.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $380k (30.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $380k (30.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 2.8% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Whispering Pines Elementary School (math 62% / reading 69%, grade B+, #500 of 2,144 statewide, top 24%, 1,015 students, 25% FRL); Omni Middle School (math 66% / reading 66%, grade A-, #93 of 571 statewide, top 16%, 1,128 students, 29% FRL); Olympic Heights Community High (math 52% / reading 64%, grade C, #120 of 667 statewide, top 18%, 2,602 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 52% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 63% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palm Beach average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 324 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $59k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $55k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$94k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($533k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $220k; list at $549k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.88%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 12.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $240,385
- Equity at exit
- $494,583
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.86×
- Total profit
- $747,067
- Equity at exit
- $1,066,586
Cash invested: $153,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33496
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 324
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,805 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,879
- Tax from tax record
- −$302 /mo · $3,622/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- HOA
- −$477
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$799
- Net cashflow
- $-881
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,250
- Closing costs
- $16,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9190 Boca Gardens Pkwy Unit B Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1845 | $3,500 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 9203 Boca Gardens Cir S Unit D Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2088 | $3,300 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 9104 Affirmed Ln Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $3,210 | $2.54 | 2d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 9708 Erica Ct Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $4,800 | $3.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 9392 Affirmed Ln Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $3,200 | $1.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 9448 Saddlebrook Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $3,500 | $2.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 9448 Saddlebrook Dr Unit 9448 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $3,500 | $2.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 8705 Via Giula #4 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $3,500 | $2.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 8705 Via Giula #4 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $3,400 | $2.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 18730 Stewart Cir #5 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $2,500 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 9585 Affirmed Ln Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $3,950 | $2.25 | 5d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9713 Boca Gardens Pkwy Unit D Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1325 | $3,995 | $3.02 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 9732 Saddlebrook Dr Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $3,235 | $2.33 | 11d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 8550 Via Romana #2 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1778 | $3,500 | $1.97 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 8550 Via Romana #2 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1778 | $3,500 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 8550 Via Romana Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1778 | $3,500 | $1.97 | 11d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 9110 Fairbanks Ln #4 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $2,400 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 9590 Islamorada Ter Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2064 | $5,000 | $2.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 9505 Aegean Dr Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2133 | $4,200 | $1.97 | 8d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 9841 Ridgecreek Rd Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $4,500 | $3.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 9975 Boca Gardens Trl Unit A Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $3,300 | $2.59 | 8d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8146 Windgate Dr Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $5,000 | $3.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 9850 Ridgecreek Rd Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $3,600 | $2.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 18428 Via Di Regina #18428 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $3,900 | $2.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 9636 Tavernier Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $4,200 | $2.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9387 Richmond Cir Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1849 | $4,100 | $2.22 | 11d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 9928 Moss Pond Dr Unit 9928 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1843 | $4,500 | $2.44 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 9928 Moss Pond Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1843 | $4,500 | $2.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 9928 Moss Pond Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1843 | $4,500 | $2.44 | 12d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 18475 Via Di Sorrento Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $4,095 | $2.65 | 8d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 18434 Via Di Sorrento Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $3,495 | $2.36 | 8d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 17345 Sea Blossom Way Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2240 | $10,500 | $4.69 | 18d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4278 NW 65th Rd Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $16,500 | $10.27 | 11d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 18298 102nd Way S Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1853 | $6,500 | $3.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6540 NW 42nd Way Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2301 | $2,250 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9680 Lancaster Pl Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $4,850 | $3.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5855 NW 42nd Way Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2395 | $13,900 | $5.80 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 9718 Lancaster Pl Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1773 | $4,400 | $2.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 19323 Carolina Cir Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2300 | $4,150 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9940 Liberty Rd Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1674 | $5,500 | $3.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $477 · $5,724/yr
- Likely covers
- watersecurity
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-03-18status Active
-
2026-02-28status Pending
-
2026-02-27$549,000 Active
-
2026-02-27historical
-
2026-02-26historical $549,000
-
2015-12-17soldstatus $220,000
-
2009-02-15historical
-
2008-02-15$269,900
-
2004-08-09soldstatus $240,000
-
2004-07-30soldstatus $240,000 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
SPACIOUS CORNER UNIT SURROUNDED BY LAKE VIEWS - NEW A/C, MICRO AND WATER HEATER - SECURITY SYSTEM - 2 CAR GARAGE - 2 SCREENED PATIOS. WON'T LAST!!
-
2004-07-01historical 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
SPACIOUS CORNER UNIT SURROUNDED BY LAKE VIEWS - NEW A/C, MICRO AND WATER HEATER - SECURITY SYSTEM - 2 CAR GARAGE - 2 SCREENED PATIOS. WON'T LAST!!
-
2004-05-16$250,000 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
SPACIOUS CORNER UNIT SURROUNDED BY LAKE VIEWS - NEW A/C, MICRO AND WATER HEATER - SECURITY SYSTEM - 2 CAR GARAGE - 2 SCREENED PATIOS. WON'T LAST!!
-
2002-09-03soldstatus $185,000
-
2002-08-15soldstatus $185,000
-
2002-07-03historical
-
2002-06-14$189,900
-
1999-11-22soldstatus $135,000
-
1999-11-12soldstatus $135,000
-
1999-10-13historical
-
1999-07-17$139,000
-
1991-11-25soldstatus $140,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,622 · $302/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,557 · $380/mo
- Expected delta
- +$935/yr (+$78/mo · 25.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,656
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,753
- − Property taxes
- −$3,622
- − Insurance
- −$2,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,652
- − Management
- −$3,652
- − HOA
- −$5,724
- − Depreciation
- −$15,971
- Taxable loss
- −$20,463
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,911
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,660/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Boca Raton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #3070
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 250,102
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,579
- Household income
- $114,885
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 464.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 13% Romanian 9% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.48%
- Current HPI
- 313.9058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.31%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+292.1% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-18 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-28 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $549,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-27 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-26 Coming Soon $549,000 Beaches MLS
- 2015-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2009-02-15 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2008-02-15 Listed $269,900 Beaches MLS
- 2004-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2004-07-30 Sold (MLS) $240,000 Beaches MLS
- 2004-07-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2004-05-16 Listed $250,000 Beaches MLS
- 2002-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
- 2002-08-15 Sold (MLS) $185,000 Beaches MLS
- 2002-07-03 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2002-06-14 Listed $189,900 Beaches MLS
- 1999-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 1999-11-12 Sold (MLS) $135,000 Beaches MLS
- 1999-10-13 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 1999-07-17 Listed $139,000 Beaches MLS
- 1991-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,622 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…