4311 Santovito St · Pahrump, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Huge 4.5 Acres land with well and power to fulfill dream-suitable for handyman's desire use with lots of space for storage. Space for RV was set by previous owner. Located at the popular south side of Pahrump. Well is 150 ft deep, septic tank was pumped 2 years ago.
Key facts
- 4.5 acre lot
- 4 garage spots
- Built 1992
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($422/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (22.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $232k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.4% in Pahrump — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#30 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Nye County School District (rural): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #16 of 17 in NV (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes.
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Nye County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask is 3% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $225k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.50%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $422,966
- List price
- $299,000
- Delta
- -29.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4641 Honey Locust Dr | 0.38mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,916 (+5%) | 1mo | $388,000 | $203 | 68 |
| 4601 E Honey Locust Dr | 0.35mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,090 (+15%) | 1mo | $445,000 | $213 | 53 |
| 4751 Honey Locust Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,969 (+8%) | 9mo | $379,000 | $192 | 46 |
| 4881 E Stoneham St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,686 (-7%) | 16mo | $339,900 | $202 | 42 |
| 4861 Stoneham St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,980 (+9%) | 17mo | $360,000 | $182 | 39 |
| 4780 Parkwood Dr | 0.53mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,090 (+15%) | 14mo | $465,000 | $222 | 34 |
| 6621 S Parkwood Ct | 0.68mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,090 (+15%) | 9mo | $470,000 | $225 | 31 |
| 4880 Marywood Ct | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 2,087 (+15%) | 16mo | $470,000 | $225 | 30 |
| 4971 E Sandalwood Dr | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 | 2,080 (+14%) | 16mo | $494,950 | $238 | 29 |
| 6631 S Parkwood Ct | 0.68mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,090 (+15%) | 12mo | $487,845 | $233 | 29 |
| 4900 Ridgewood Dr | 0.61mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,090 (+15%) | 16mo | $446,000 | $213 | 28 |
| 4821 E Sandalwood Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,080 (+14%) | 18mo | $465,000 | $224 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $34,732
- Equity at exit
- $130,829
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $124,625
- Equity at exit
- $198,857
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89061
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 281
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,317 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,233/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$487
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $204 | -5% $120 | +0% $35 | +5% $-49 | +10% $-134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-148 | -5% $-56 | +0% $35 | +5% $127 | +10% $218 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $186 | -0.5pp $111 | base $35 | +0.5pp $-42 | +1.0pp $-121 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3529 E Malheur Ave Pahrump, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1753 | $1,835 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-12days on market $299,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $299,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-04-06status Active 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Huge 4.5 Acres land with well and power to fulfill dream-suitable for handyman's desire use with lots of space for storage. Space for RV was set by previous owner. Located at the popular south side of Pahrump. Well is 150 ft deep, septic tank was pumped 2 years ago.
-
2025-12-01price $299,000 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Huge 4.5 Acres land with well and power to fulfill dream-suitable for handyman's desire use with lots of space for storage. Space for RV was set by previous owner. Located at the popular south side of Pahrump. Well is 150 ft deep, septic tank was pumped 2 years ago.
-
2025-11-30$290,000 Active 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Huge 4.5 Acres land with well and power to fulfill dream-suitable for handyman's desire use with lots of space for storage. Space for RV was set by previous owner. Located at the popular south side of Pahrump. Well is 150 ft deep, septic tank was pumped 2 years ago.
-
2025-11-30historical $290,000 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Huge 4.5 Acres land with well and power to fulfill dream-suitable for handyman's desire use with lots of space for storage. Space for RV was set by previous owner. Located at the popular south side of Pahrump. Well is 150 ft deep, septic tank was pumped 2 years ago.
-
2023-10-26soldstatus $225,000 Closed 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Huge 4 1/2 acre lot ready for you to make it your own! This one is a true blank slate and there are so many options, a personal retreat, horse property, build a whole new custom home! How about gardens, mini tracks, or space for multiple homes. This just has all the potential. Located on the south side of Pahrump and with gorgeous mature huge trees, mountain views, extra garage space, and more. Don't wait on this opportunity to get this steal of a deal and get started on your dream property.
-
2023-10-26soldstatus $225,000
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Huge 4 1/2 acre lot ready for you to make it your own! This one is a true blank slate and there are so many options, a personal retreat, horse property, build a whole new custom home! How about gardens, mini tracks, or space for multiple homes. This just has all the potential. Located on the south side of Pahrump and with gorgeous mature huge trees, mountain views, extra garage space, and more. Don't wait on this opportunity to get this steal of a deal and get started on your dream property.
-
2023-10-20historical Active Under Contract 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Huge 4 1/2 acre lot ready for you to make it your own! This one is a true blank slate and there are so many options, a personal retreat, horse property, build a whole new custom home! How about gardens, mini tracks, or space for multiple homes. This just has all the potential. Located on the south side of Pahrump and with gorgeous mature huge trees, mountain views, extra garage space, and more. Don't wait on this opportunity to get this steal of a deal and get started on your dream property.
-
2023-08-03status Active 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Huge 4 1/2 acre lot ready for you to make it your own! This one is a true blank slate and there are so many options, a personal retreat, horse property, build a whole new custom home! How about gardens, mini tracks, or space for multiple homes. This just has all the potential. Located on the south side of Pahrump and with gorgeous mature huge trees, mountain views, extra garage space, and more. Don't wait on this opportunity to get this steal of a deal and get started on your dream property.
-
2023-04-13$225,000 Active 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Huge 4 1/2 acre lot ready for you to make it your own! This one is a true blank slate and there are so many options, a personal retreat, horse property, build a whole new custom home! How about gardens, mini tracks, or space for multiple homes. This just has all the potential. Located on the south side of Pahrump and with gorgeous mature huge trees, mountain views, extra garage space, and more. Don't wait on this opportunity to get this steal of a deal and get started on your dream property.
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2022-11-25historical
-
2022-07-28price $275,000
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2022-07-12price $299,000
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2022-04-26$345,000 Active
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2006-05-16soldstatus $225,000
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2006-05-16soldstatus $225,000
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2005-11-17$299,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,233 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,764 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- +$531/yr (+$44/mo · 43.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,805
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$1,233
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,224
- − Management
- −$2,224
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable loss
- −$4,818
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,156
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,579/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nye County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200360
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,447
- Composite
- 22.43/100
- National rank
- #8110
- State rank
- #16 of 17 in NV
Livability — Pahrump
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #9226
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pahrump, NV
- County
- Nye County · 47,491 people
- City population
- 47,491
- Metro
- Pahrump, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,141
- Household income
- $77,991
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 52.0
Population outlook (Nye County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,727 people
- By 2030
- 38,812 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 33,952 · -16.6%
- By 2050
- 29,393 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 21,122 · -48.1%
- By 2100
- 14,400 · -64.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 8% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nye
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.0% · R 70.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- Current HPI
- 266.2633
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pahrump, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
-0.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Relisted — GLVAR
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $299,000 GLVAR
- 2025-11-30 Listed $290,000 GLVAR
- 2025-11-30 Coming Soon $290,000 GLVAR
- 2023-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 2023-10-26 Sold (MLS) $225,000 GLVAR
- 2023-10-20 Contingent — GLVAR
- 2023-08-03 Relisted — GLVAR
- 2023-04-13 Listed $225,000 GLVAR
- 2022-11-25 Listing Removed — GLVAR
- 2022-07-28 Price Changed $275,000 GLVAR
- 2022-07-12 Price Changed $299,000 GLVAR
- 2022-04-26 Listed $345,000 GLVAR
- 2006-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 2006-05-16 Sold (MLS) $225,000 GLVAR
- 2005-11-17 Listed $299,900 GLVAR
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,233 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…