19 Worcester Dr · Bella Vista, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
$229,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated Seller! Great starter home on Bella Vista's east side. This adorable home features a screened in porch that over looks the wooded, secluded yard. New roof with architectural singles, furnace, laminate floors, and paint throughout within the last 3 years. Walk in closets, open living and dining area all sitting on a corner lot makes this home the perfect (and affordable!) choice for a first time home buyer. Sitting room on Master has it's own closet, could be potential third bedroom.
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- Laminate floors
- Paint throughout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-194 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (12.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (23.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 475 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $230k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.62%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $237,120
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Tenbury Ln | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 1,239 (-1%) | 4mo | $163,500 | $132 | 87 |
| 18 Worcester Dr | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (+6%) | 2mo | $254,000 | $192 | 81 |
| 30 Worcester Dr | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,121 (-10%) | 0mo | $213,000 | $190 | 76 |
| 6 Redditch Ln | 0.36mi | 2/1.5 | 1,262 (+1%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $194 | 73 |
| 2 Teme Ln | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,104 (-12%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $154 | 66 |
| 3 Sudbury Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-4%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $229 | 66 |
| 24 Evesham Ln | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,168 (-6%) | 10mo | $212,000 | $182 | 57 |
| 9 Bishampton Ln | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,416 (+14%) | 9mo | $329,000 | $232 | 56 |
| 7 Woodbridge Dr | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,104 (-12%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $168 | 50 |
| 4 Ipswich Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,352 (+8%) | 6mo | $212,000 | $157 | 48 |
| 11 Fowey Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,336 (+7%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $195 | 47 |
| 3 Leicester Dr | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,104 (-12%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $159 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-3,678
- Equity at exit
- $83,158
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $29,629
- Equity at exit
- $114,191
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72714
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 475
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,766 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$287 /mo · $3,450/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $-194
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Bewdley Cir Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,650 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,999 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $229,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $229,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $229,999 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$229,999 Active
-
2019-04-02soldstatus $118,500
-
2019-03-29soldstatus $118,500 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Motivated Seller! Great starter home on Bella Vista's east side. This adorable home features a screened in porch that over looks the wooded, secluded yard. New roof with architectural singles, furnace, laminate floors, and paint throughout within the last 3 years. Walk in closets, open living and dining area all sitting on a corner lot makes this home the perfect (and affordable!) choice for a first time home buyer. Sitting room on Master has it's own closet, could be potential third bedroom.
-
2018-10-26$127,900 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Motivated Seller! Great starter home on Bella Vista's east side. This adorable home features a screened in porch that over looks the wooded, secluded yard. New roof with architectural singles, furnace, laminate floors, and paint throughout within the last 3 years. Walk in closets, open living and dining area all sitting on a corner lot makes this home the perfect (and affordable!) choice for a first time home buyer. Sitting room on Master has it's own closet, could be potential third bedroom.
-
2017-09-25soldstatus $106,975
-
2017-09-21soldstatus $106,975 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Welcome Home to this wonderful Bella Vista Cottage on a corner lot with beautiful trees. New Roof with 30 yr Architectural Shingles, New flooring in Kitchen, Dining, & Living rooms. Freshly painted Interior and Exterior. Large Open Living/Dining area. There is a bonus room with closet. Large Walk In Closets in both bedrooms. Storage in carport and under home. Enjoy your coffee on the screened in porch and enjoy your beautiful yard.
-
2017-07-17$104,975 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Welcome Home to this wonderful Bella Vista Cottage on a corner lot with beautiful trees. New Roof with 30 yr Architectural Shingles, New flooring in Kitchen, Dining, & Living rooms. Freshly painted Interior and Exterior. Large Open Living/Dining area. There is a bonus room with closet. Large Walk In Closets in both bedrooms. Storage in carport and under home. Enjoy your coffee on the screened in porch and enjoy your beautiful yard.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,194
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,450
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,696
- − Management
- −$1,696
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$6,371
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,529
- After-tax cash flow
- $-801/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bentonville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503060
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,721
- Composite
- 51.85/100
- National rank
- #1661
- State rank
- #3 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bella Vista
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #11129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bella Vista, AR
- County
- Benton County · 259,241 people
- City population
- 31,638
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,350
- Household income
- $103,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 61.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.38%
- Current HPI
- 307.5796
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+119.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $229,999 FSBO.com
- 2019-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $118,500 Public Records
- 2019-03-29 Sold (MLS) $118,500 NWARMLS
- 2018-10-26 Listed $127,900 NWARMLS
- 2017-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $106,975 Public Records
- 2017-09-21 Sold (MLS) $106,975 NWARMLS
- 2017-07-17 Listed $104,975 NWARMLS
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $386 · -19.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…