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340 Buffalo Cir SE
D Composite 41.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.3/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,500

340 Buffalo Cir SE · Albuquerque, NM 87123
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 11 Days on market
Built 2006 Good condition 5,000 sqft lot Est $94k · at est. $675/mo HOA · 44% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is a very nice remodeled double wide in a All Ages Mobile Home Community close to I-40, Four Hills Mobile Home park. Lot rent is currently $779 a month, excluding utilities. This home is located on one the of largest lots in the community. Home boasts a large north facing covered 8X20 deck, large 3 car carport, Morgan storage shed, fruit trees, professional landscaped, back yard, mostly fenced and gated for your pets. The park offers 3 Swimming Pools, playgrounds, and community rooms.

Key facts

  • 3 car carport
  • Morgan storage shed
  • Largest lots

Tags

REMODELED DOUBLE WIDELARGEST LOTSNORTH FACING COVERED DECK3 CAR CARPORTMORGAN STORAGE SHEDFRUIT TREES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of Four Hills Mobile Home Park; Monthly association fee of $675; HOA includes clubhouse, common areas and pool(s)

Exterior

  • Parking: Private road access (asphalt)
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Northwest facing; Resale; Double wide mobile home (Chapparal model, 40' x 28')
  • Construction: Built by Clayon; Board and batten siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Private entrance; Private yard; Covered patio; Patio; Shed(s), storage and workshop; Back yard fencing and wall; Sprinklers in rear; Landscaped; Corner lot; Planned unit development; Few trees; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing gas range; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Refrigerated (central) cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Dual sinks; Main level primary; Tub/shower; Walk-in closet(s); Double pane, insulated metal windows
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $94k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-116 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $78k (17.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.7% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
  • Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $653 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
Recommended offer $77,771 (17.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
4.82%
Cash-on-cash
-5.24%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$94,080
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
625 Fox Ln SE 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,066 (-5%) 2mo $90,000 $84 72
612 Trading Post Trl SE 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,196 (+7%) 7mo $120,000 $100 70
624 Trading Post Trl SE 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,280 (+14%) 23mo $84,900 $66 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-32.6%
Equity multiple
-0.01×
Total profit
$-26,736
Equity at exit
$14,090
10-year hold
IRR
-96.8%
Equity multiple
-0.83×
Total profit
$-48,365
Equity at exit
$8,171

Cash invested: $26,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87123

Rents YoY
-2.1%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,535 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$496
Tax est. 1.5%
$118 /mo · $1,418/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$675
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$-116

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,681
Max offer price $77,771
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-50 -5% $-83 +0% $-116 +5% $-148 +10% $-181
Rent -10% $-237 -5% $-176 +0% $-116 +5% $-55 +10% $6
Rate -1.0pp $-68 -0.5pp $-92 base $-116 +0.5pp $-140 +1.0pp $-165

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,625
Closing costs
$2,835
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
221 Hanosh Ct SE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 44d 1 0.14mi
301 Western Skies Dr SE Albuquerque, NM 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 806 $1,511 $1.87 4d 17 0.19mi
309 Whispering Sands Ct SE Unit 3 Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 825 $1,200 $1.45 24d 1 0.34mi
328 Via Vista St SE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1460 $2,075 $1.42 4d 1 0.34mi
200 Figueroa St NE Albuquerque, NM 1.0–2.0 1.0 734 $1,207 $1.64 4d 10 0.35mi
12021 Skyline Rd NE Albuquerque, NM 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 875 $1,592 $1.82 4d 17 0.36mi
408 Rainbow Ct SE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 24d 1 0.44mi
405 Dorado Ct SE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 45d 1 0.44mi
405 Dorado Ct SE Unit D Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 44d 1 0.44mi
221 Shirley St NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.5 1250 $1,750 $1.40 4d 1 0.45mi
11208 Deer Lodge Pl SE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,950 $1.38 44d 1 0.50mi
12736 Singing Arrow Ave SE Unit C Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 24d 1 0.51mi
521 Nathan St SE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1060 $1,895 $1.79 20d 1 0.56mi
11104 Vistazo Pl SE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1353 $1,950 $1.44 24d 1 0.56mi
915 Tony Sanchez Dr SE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1180 $2,295 $1.94 4d 1 0.68mi
12004 Zia Rd NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1323 $2,145 $1.62 4d 7 0.70mi
12032 Copper Ave NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.5 1090 $1,900 $1.74 4d 1 0.77mi
12008 Copper Ave NE Unit C Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 827 $1,250 $1.51 4d 1 0.77mi
517 Ida Pl NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.5 1058 $2,000 $1.89 22d 1 0.77mi
13150 Wenonah Ave SE Albuquerque, NM 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 789 $1,633 $2.07 4d 16 0.78mi
628 Marquis Ct NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1099 $2,800 $2.55 44d 1 0.84mi
12624 Copper Ave NE Apt 3 Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 900 $995 $1.11 44d 1 0.84mi
701 Stephen Moody St SE Albuquerque, NM 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 814 $1,715 $2.11 4d 10 0.98mi
12412 Grand Ave NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1022 $1,850 $1.81 45d 1 1.00mi
187 Vista Point Ct NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.5 1262 $1,975 $1.56 24d 1 1.00mi
12509 Nambe Ave NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.5 1272 $1,800 $1.42 24d 1 1.03mi
13412 Turquoise Ave NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1425 $1,900 $1.33 24d 1 1.04mi
13615 Shaffer Ct SE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 3.0 1341 $2,700 $2.01 4d 1 1.07mi
557 Tramway Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 891 $1,405 $1.58 4d 9 1.08mi
187 Monte Largo Dr NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 787 $1,050 $1.33 44d 1 1.09mi
187 Monte Largo Dr NE Apt 1 Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 787 $1,050 $1.33 24d 1 1.09mi
10404 Griffith Park Dr NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1287 $2,100 $1.63 4d 1 1.12mi
717 Grace St NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.5 1040 $1,875 $1.80 24d 1 1.21mi
12201 Lomas Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 44d 6 1.32mi
12301 Lomas Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM 1.0–2.0 1.0 756 $1,325 $1.75 15d 9 1.33mi
12601 Lomas Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 24d 1 1.33mi
12601 Lomas Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 4d 2 1.33mi
12621 Lomas Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.5 800 $1,250 $1.56 44d 1 1.35mi
12621 Lomas Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.5 800 $1,115 $1.39 4d 1 1.35mi
14124 Copper Ave NE Albuquerque, NM 1.0–2.0 1.0 770 $1,350 $1.75 24d 11 1.42mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$675 · $8,100/yr
Likely covers
landscapingpoolsecurity

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,500 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $94,500 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    remarks 495-char remark
  9. 2026-06-08
    listed $89,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 3 d/yr ≥91°F today · 8 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,417
− Mortgage interest
−$5,293
− Property taxes
−$1,418
− Insurance
−$472
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,473
− Management
−$1,473
− HOA
−$8,100
− Depreciation
−$2,749
Taxable loss
−$2,562
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$615
After-tax cash flow
$-772/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This remodeled double-wide manufactured home in a mobile home community is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Painting and landscaping improvements can significantly enhance its value for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can significantly improve the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the overall curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can significantly improve the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the overall curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albuquerque Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500060
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 30.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 45.00%
Median HH income
$48,151
Composite
53.29/100
National rank
#1487
State rank
#3 of 29 in NM

Livability — Albuquerque

Score
72/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#6219

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albuquerque, NM
County
Bernalillo County · 647,165 people
City population
647,165
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
Population (ZIP)
42,252
Household income
$64,359
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
1657.0

Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
704,528 people
By 2030
711,723 · +1.0%
By 2040
714,522 · +1.4%
By 2050
709,274 · +0.7%
By 2075
680,015 · -3.5%
By 2100
619,879 · -12.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 44% White 40% Two or more races 18% Native American 6% Asian 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bernalillo

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.2% · R 38.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-0.3pp no change · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 21.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.0 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -231.76%
Current HPI
233.3553
Rent YoY
▼ -2.10%
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $89,900 Southwest MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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