🏗️ New Construction
9197 SW 47th Ct · Liberty Triangle, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.6/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- DSCR +0.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$323,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Virtually Staged. Under Construction. Welcome to the epitome of modern living in this two-story, 5-bedroom home with an open-concept downstairs. The ground floor seamlessly integrates the living, dining, and kitchen areas creating a spacious and inviting atmosphere. The primary bedroom is located upstairs, with an ensuite bathroom and walk-in closets. The kitchen is well-equipped with a stainless-steel range, microwave, built-in dishwashe. The laundry room has a washer and dryer hook up. This home offers a perfect blend of shared living spaces and private retreats. Welcome home to a perfect synthesis of style and practicality.
Key facts
- 4,600 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2026
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $324k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-803 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $272k (16.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (22.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $252k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hammett Bowen Jr. Elementary School (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 867 students, 54% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,365 students, 54% FRL); West Port High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,906 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.6%/yr); 1071 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,517/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($314k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.87%
- DSCR
- 0.61
- GRM
- 12.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $388,049
- List price
- $323,990
- Delta
- -18.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9161 SW 47th Ct | 0.00mi | 5/3.0 | 2,447 (0%) | 0mo | $313,990 | $128 | 100 |
| 9221 SW 47th Ct | 0.00mi | 5/3.0 | 2,447 (0%) | 0mo | $309,000 | $126 | 100 |
| 9238 SW 47th Ct | 0.03mi | 5/3.0 | 2,447 (0%) | 1mo | $313,490 | $128 | 97 |
| 9101 SW 47th Ct | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,260 (-8%) | 0mo | $309,000 | $137 | 80 |
| 4642 SW 100th Ln | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,407 (-2%) | 0mo | $470,000 | $195 | 77 |
| 5033 SW 97th Ln | 0.28mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,280 (-7%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $145 | 69 |
| 9589 SW 51st Cir | 0.46mi | 5/2.0 | 2,336 (-4%) | 2mo | $424,900 | $182 | 65 |
| 4561 SW 91st Lane Rd | 0.72mi | 5/3.5 | 2,686 (+10%) | 2mo | $356,150 | $133 | 46 |
| 10400 SW 45th Ct | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,155 (-12%) | 2mo | $370,000 | $172 | 44 |
| 10411 SW 42nd Ave | 0.72mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,230 (-9%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $184 | 43 |
| 10160 SW 39th Ter | 0.72mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,230 (-9%) | 2mo | $405,999 | $182 | 43 |
| 4519 SW 91st Lane Rd | 0.75mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,200 (-10%) | 1mo | $329,800 | $150 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -35.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.12×
- Total profit
- $-121,320
- Equity at exit
- $57,859
- IRR
- -72.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.84×
- Total profit
- $-199,607
- Equity at exit
- $33,551
Cash invested: $108,654 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 33 active · 31 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.2 mo (16%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $389,000 ($167/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 46 d
- This list price
- 18% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -5.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34476
- Rents YoY
- -2.6%
- Active inventory
- 1071
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,517 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,035
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$485 /mo · $5,821/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$110
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$529
- Net cashflow
- $-803
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-535 | -5% $-669 | +0% $-803 | +5% $-937 | +10% $-1,072 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,002 | -5% $-903 | +0% $-803 | +5% $-704 | +10% $-605 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-608 | -0.5pp $-705 | base $-803 | +0.5pp $-904 | +1.0pp $-1,006 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,012
- Closing costs
- $11,641
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4937 SW 98th Pl Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,400 | $1.31 | 63d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4780 SW 95th Ln Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2002 | $2,395 | $1.20 | 63d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 9109 SW 45th Ter Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,150 | $1.18 | 63d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9975 SW 39th Ter Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1873 | $2,295 | $1.23 | 63d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4697 SW 89th St Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $2,150 | $1.16 | 63d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8940 SW 50th Ter Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $2,195 | $1.20 | 70d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5637 SW 93rd St Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2039 | $2,600 | $1.28 | 63d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5667 SW 92nd Pl Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2283 | $2,750 | $1.20 | 63d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 8704 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2176 | $2,195 | $1.01 | 63d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 8704 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2176 | $2,195 | $1.01 | 70d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 8677 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2370 | $2,495 | $1.05 | 70d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4106 SW 109th Pl Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2096 | $2,100 | $1.00 | 70d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 8602 SW 43rd Ter Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2176 | $2,195 | $1.01 | 62d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8602 SW 43rd Ter Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2176 | $2,195 | $1.01 | 63d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4703 SW 85th Pl Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,500 | $1.37 | 63d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8584 SW 43rd Ter Ocala, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2370 | $2,495 | $1.05 | 63d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 8584 SW 43rd Ter Ocala, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2370 | $2,495 | $1.05 | 62d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 13110 SW 89th St Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1824 | $1,950 | $1.07 | 70d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Home warranty includedLiving area reported as 2,447 square feet (builder source)
- Financial info
- Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community
- Has HOA (Executive Management and Leasing)Quarterly association fee ($330)Monthly HOA equivalent $110Association approval requiredPets allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerOther utilities
- Home design
- Single family residenceNew construction (projected completion: 2026-07-27)Two levelsFaces westUnder construction
- Construction
- Block constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilder: D.R. Horton INCBuilder model: RobiePermit number: 26-01-03469Year built: New construction
- Exterior features
- Paved road accessIrrigation equipment
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveRange
- Bedrooms
- 5 bedrooms
- Flooring
- Carpet
- Bathrooms
- 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- Open floor plan
- Laundry & utility
- Dedicated laundry room
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $323,990 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-08-07pricestatus $323,990 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $317,990 914-char remark
-
2026-05-13price $317,990 982-char remark
-
2026-05-07price $323,990 914-char remark
-
2026-05-06price $323,990 982-char remark
-
2026-04-03$326,070 Active 914-char remark
-
2026-04-02$326,070 Active 982-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,202
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,737
- − Property taxes
- −$5,821
- − Insurance
- −$1,940
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,416
- − Management
- −$2,416
- − HOA
- −$1,320
- − Depreciation
- −$11,289
- Taxable loss
- −$16,736
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,017
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,624/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This two-story home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a spacious and modern living space with hardwood floors and well-maintained landscaping. The property is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and some interior updates to maximize its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Improves durability and aesthetic ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Liberty Triangle
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Liberty Triangle, FL
- County
- Marion County · 365,905 people
- City population
- 26,397
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,997
- Household income
- $65,860
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.22%
- Current HPI
- 189.0869
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.57%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-2.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $317,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $323,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Listed $326,070 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…