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808 Northridge Dr
D- Composite 38.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

808 Northridge Dr · Marthasville, MO 63357
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,288 sqft · Other public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1996 0.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Get ready to fall in love with this vibrant 4-bedroom walk-out ranch that’s bursting with charm and move-in-ready updates! Step inside to an open-concept main level featuring a bright, spacious living room, fresh paint, and brand-new carpet installed June 2026 - everything feels crisp, clean, and ready for your next chapter. But the real fun begins outside! Your backyard is a summer-lover’s dream with a deck, patio, and an above-ground pool. .. perfect for grilling, chilling, and making the most of those hot Missouri days. Whether you're hosting friends or enjoying a quiet evening under the stars, this space delivers. This fantastic home is ready for its new owner, and you won&r

Key facts

  • Backyard
  • Deck
  • Patio

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT MAIN LEVELBACKYARDDECKPATIOABOVE-GROUND POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area 2,061 (per public records); Above-grade finished area and below-grade finished area reported in public records
  • Financial info: Auction property (auction indicated); Seller may consider concessions

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached front-facing garage; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volt electric service; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas available; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-level home (with finished lower level); Residential property
  • Construction: Concrete, frame and vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Fenced backyard; Above-ground pool

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 3 bedrooms on the main level; 1 bedroom on the lower level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Basement with full finish, walk-out access, egress window and 8+ ft poured construction; Ceiling fans; Central air

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-648/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (3.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (21.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $215k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#87 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Washington (town): math 41% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #46 of 324 in MO (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Marthasville Elementary (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #537 of 1,115 statewide, top 53%, 181 students, 37% FRL); Washington High School (math 29% / reading 73%, grade D+, #109 of 521 statewide, top 21%, 1,322 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 424 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (126 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,000 (21.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.84%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.7%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-48,057
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-46,511
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63357

Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,150 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,349/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$452
Net cashflow
$-54

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,218
Max offer price $265,467
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $102 -5% $24 +0% $-54 +5% $-132 +10% $-210
Rent -10% $-224 -5% $-139 +0% $-54 +5% $31 +10% $116
Rate -1.0pp $85 -0.5pp $16 base $-54 +0.5pp $-125 +1.0pp $-198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
112 Rottmann Dr Marthasville, MO 3.0 3.0 1350 $2,150 $1.59 44d 1 0.19mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 687-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $275,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,349 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,668 · $222/mo
Expected delta
+$319/yr (+$27/mo · 13.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,800
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$2,349
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,064
− Management
−$2,064
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$5,456
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,310
After-tax cash flow
$662/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washington
NCES district ID
2931110
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,344
Composite
41.87/100
National rank
#3372
State rank
#46 of 324 in MO

Livability — Marthasville

Score
72/100
State rank
#87
US rank
#5790

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marthasville, MO
Population (ZIP)
6,593

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,105 people
By 2030
35,605 · +1.4%
By 2040
36,047 · +2.7%
By 2050
35,479 · +1.1%
By 2075
33,325 · -5.1%
By 2100
28,282 · -19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Asian 2% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.5) · D 24.7% · R 74.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.9pp toward R · 2008: -12.6pp · 2024: -49.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.5 2020: R+46.0 2016: R+45.6 2012: R+26.8 2008: R+12.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.39%
Current HPI
165.0027
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Coming Soon $275,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,349 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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