808 Northridge Dr · Marthasville, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Get ready to fall in love with this vibrant 4-bedroom walk-out ranch that’s bursting with charm and move-in-ready updates! Step inside to an open-concept main level featuring a bright, spacious living room, fresh paint, and brand-new carpet installed June 2026 - everything feels crisp, clean, and ready for your next chapter. But the real fun begins outside! Your backyard is a summer-lover’s dream with a deck, patio, and an above-ground pool. .. perfect for grilling, chilling, and making the most of those hot Missouri days. Whether you're hosting friends or enjoying a quiet evening under the stars, this space delivers. This fantastic home is ready for its new owner, and you won&r
Key facts
- Backyard
- Deck
- Patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area 2,061 (per public records); Above-grade finished area and below-grade finished area reported in public records
- Financial info: Auction property (auction indicated); Seller may consider concessions
Exterior
- Parking: Attached front-facing garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volt electric service; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One-level home (with finished lower level); Residential property
- Construction: Concrete, frame and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Fenced backyard; Above-ground pool
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 3 bedrooms on the main level; 1 bedroom on the lower level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Basement with full finish, walk-out access, egress window and 8+ ft poured construction; Ceiling fans; Central air
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-648/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (3.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (21.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $215k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#87 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Washington (town): math 41% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #46 of 324 in MO (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Marthasville Elementary (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #537 of 1,115 statewide, top 53%, 181 students, 37% FRL); Washington High School (math 29% / reading 73%, grade D+, #109 of 521 statewide, top 21%, 1,322 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 424 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (126 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.84%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-48,057
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-46,511
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63357
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$196 /mo · $2,349/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $-54
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $102 | -5% $24 | +0% $-54 | +5% $-132 | +10% $-210 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-224 | -5% $-139 | +0% $-54 | +5% $31 | +10% $116 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $85 | -0.5pp $16 | base $-54 | +0.5pp $-125 | +1.0pp $-198 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Rottmann Dr Marthasville, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1350 | $2,150 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $275,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $275,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $275,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-15$275,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,349 · $196/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,668 · $222/mo
- Expected delta
- +$319/yr (+$27/mo · 13.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$2,349
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,064
- − Management
- −$2,064
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$5,456
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,310
- After-tax cash flow
- $662/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington
- NCES district ID
- 2931110
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,344
- Composite
- 41.87/100
- National rank
- #3372
- State rank
- #46 of 324 in MO
Livability — Marthasville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #87
- US rank
- #5790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marthasville, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,593
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,105 people
- By 2030
- 35,605 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 36,047 · +2.7%
- By 2050
- 35,479 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 33,325 · -5.1%
- By 2100
- 28,282 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Asian 2% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.5) · D 24.7% · R 74.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.9pp toward R · 2008: -12.6pp · 2024: -49.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.5 2020: R+46.0 2016: R+45.6 2012: R+26.8 2008: R+12.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.39%
- Current HPI
- 165.0027
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Coming Soon $275,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,349 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…