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1216 Janet Dr
B+ Composite 79.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$40,000

1216 Janet Dr · Edgewood, MD 21040
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily · 69 Days on market
Built 1981 Good condition $41/sqft · 21% below area Est $50k · 21% under $752/mo HOA · 45% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

🏡 Charming Mobile Home in Harford Village – Edgewood, MD Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home located in the desirable Harford Village community! This cozy property features: 🛏️ 2 Bedrooms 🛁 1 Full Bathroom 🍽️ Spacious Kitchen 🛋️ Comfortable Living Room 🧺 Laundry Area The home offers an open layout with great natural light, a functional floor plan, and updated flooring throughout the main living areas. The kitchen flows nicely into the dining space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major routes, making commuting easy.

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Built 1981
  • Listed 69 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 5.5% in Edgewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#118 in MD, #4,991 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, crime F.
  • Harford County Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 24 in MD (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 803 units permitted in Harford County in 2024 (26 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent.
Recommended offer $37,600 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.14%
Cap rate
14.70%
Cash-on-cash
30.04%
DSCR
2.34
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$50,465
List price
$40,000
Delta
-20.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1919 Chipper Dr 0.02mi 2/2.0 980 (0%) 1mo $66,000 $67 94
1911 Chipper Dr 0.04mi 2/1.0 980 (0%) 13mo $27,000 $28 87
1835 Steven Dr 0.11mi 2/1.0 975 (-0%) 11mo $44,000 $45 85
1922 Steven Dr 0.06mi 2/1.5 980 (0%) 16mo $10,000 $10 82
1833 Steven Dr 0.12mi 2/1.0 980 (0%) 16mo $65,000 $66 81
1944 Chipper Dr 0.07mi 2/1.0 980 (0%) 22mo $59,000 $60 79
1214 Janet 0.01mi 3/2.0 (+1) 980 (0%) 15mo $60,000 $61 78
1985 Chipper Dr 0.20mi 2/1.0 900 (-8%) 15mo $24,000 $27 64
1957 Melvin Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 910 (-7%) 9mo $61,000 $67 61
1812 Steven Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+8%) 13mo $72,000 $68 59
1802 Sandee Ct 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 904 (-8%) 14mo $25,000 $28 59
1862 John Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 900 (-8%) 23mo $40,000 $44 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.2%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$15,121
Equity at exit
$5,964
10-year hold
IRR
40.0%
Equity multiple
5.65×
Total profit
$52,056
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21040

Home prices YoY
-29.4%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,657 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $600/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$752
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$280

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,302
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1772 Judy Way Edgewood, MD 3.0 1.5 1040 $2,195 $2.11 43d 1 0.41mi
905 Swallow Crest Ct Unit E Edgewood, MD 2.0 1.0 990 $1,495 $1.51 43d 1 0.57mi
1703 Fountain Rock Way Unit 1703-B Edgewood, MD 2.0 1.0 882 $1,250 $1.42 23d 1 0.64mi
814 Windstream Way Unit 814-A Edgewood, MD 1.0 1.0 882 $1,200 $1.36 43d 1 0.86mi
802 Kingston Ct Edgewood, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1007 $1,660 $1.65 1d 15 0.99mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$752 · $9,024/yr

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $40,000 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $40,000 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $40,000 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $40,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $40,000 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $40,000 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $40,000 Active 59 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $40,000 Active 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $40,000 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $40,000 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $40,000 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $40,000 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $40,000 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-04-10
    listed $40,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,880
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$600
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,590
− Management
−$1,590
− HOA
−$9,024
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$3,471
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$833
After-tax cash flow
$2,531/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This charming mobile home in Edgewood, MD is well-maintained and ready for a new owner. It features updated flooring, modern appliances, and fresh paint, making it move-in ready.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading light fixtures — Modernizes the space and improves energy efficiency.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and can increase property value in the future.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading light fixtures — Modernizes the space and improves energy efficiency.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and can increase property value in the future.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harford County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400390
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$79,569
Composite
29.38/100
National rank
#6527
State rank
#9 of 24 in MD

Livability — Edgewood

Score
73/100
State rank
#118
US rank
#4991

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edgewood, MD
County
Harford County · 198,512 people
City population
24,960
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
24,960
Household income
$81,704
Rent vs Own
28.9% rent · 71.1% own
Severe rent burden
859.0

Population outlook (Harford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
262,292 people
By 2030
266,437 · +1.6%
By 2040
269,954 · +2.9%
By 2050
265,659 · +1.3%
By 2075
252,886 · -3.6%
By 2100
224,014 · -14.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 36% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harford

2024 margin
R (+13.8) · D 41.9% · R 55.7% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -13.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+18.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.14%
Current HPI
254.2305
Rent YoY
▲ 4.92%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $40,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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