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286 Fremont St
D Composite 44.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.6/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

286 Fremont St · Bement, IL 61813
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,480 sqft · SingleFamily · 34 Days on market
Built 1900 0.27 ac lot $88/sqft · 7% below area Est $140k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is located in a quiet small-town setting, offering comfort and space in a desirable corner-lot location. Situated on a generously sized lot, this property provides plenty of outdoor room for gardening, entertaining, or future expansion. The home also features a convenient 1.5-car garage, perfect for parking and additional storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy peaceful living with room to grow.

Key facts

  • Generously sized lot
  • Corner-lot location
  • Outdoor room

Tags

CORNER-LOT LOCATIONGENEROUSLY SIZED LOTOUTDOOR ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($138/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (9.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#707 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Bement CUSD 5 (rural): math 25% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #319 of 919 in IL (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Piatt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Piatt County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $117,090 (9.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.38%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$139,671
List price
$130,000
Delta
-6.92%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
286 Fremont St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,480 (0%) 0mo $129,000 $87 100
133 W William St 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,474 (-0%) 6mo $119,900 $81 82
265 W Wilson St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,487 (+0%) 19mo $145,000 $98 66
149 E Bond St 0.24mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,336 (-10%) 13mo $120,000 $90 52
300 Piatt St 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,664 (+12%) 22mo $125,000 $75 41
300 Piatt St 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,664 (+12%) 22mo $125,000 $75 34
400 N Piatt St 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,352 (-9%) 22mo $46,000 $34 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-20,307
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-16,632
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61813

Home prices YoY
-15.0%
Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,171 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$178 /mo · $2,132/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,156
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $85 -5% $48 +0% $11 +5% $-25 +10% $-62
Rent -10% $-81 -5% $-35 +0% $11 +5% $58 +10% $104
Rate -1.0pp $77 -0.5pp $45 base $11 +0.5pp $-22 +1.0pp $-56

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    This home is located in a quiet small-town setting, offering comfort and space in a desirable corner-lot location. Situated on a generously sized lot, this property provides plenty of outdoor room for gardening, entertaining, or future expansion. The home also features a convenient 1.5-car garage, perfect for parking and additional storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy peaceful living with room to grow.

  2. 2026-05-03
    historical Active Under Contract 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    This home is located in a quiet small-town setting, offering comfort and space in a desirable corner-lot location. Situated on a generously sized lot, this property provides plenty of outdoor room for gardening, entertaining, or future expansion. The home also features a convenient 1.5-car garage, perfect for parking and additional storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy peaceful living with room to grow.

  3. 2026-04-10
    listed $130,000 Active 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    This home is located in a quiet small-town setting, offering comfort and space in a desirable corner-lot location. Situated on a generously sized lot, this property provides plenty of outdoor room for gardening, entertaining, or future expansion. The home also features a convenient 1.5-car garage, perfect for parking and additional storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy peaceful living with room to grow.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,132 · $178/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,541 · $212/mo
Expected delta
+$410/yr (+$34/mo · 19.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,051
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$2,132
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,124
− Management
−$1,124
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$2,043
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$490
After-tax cash flow
$628/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bement CUSD 5
NCES district ID
1705820
Math proficiency
25% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$50,363
Composite
36.9/100
National rank
#9131
State rank
#319 of 919 in IL

Livability — Bement

Score
64/100
State rank
#707
US rank
#14354

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bement, IL
Population (ZIP)
1,813

Population outlook (Piatt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,501 people
By 2030
14,978 · -3.4%
By 2040
13,805 · -10.9%
By 2050
12,563 · -19.0%
By 2075
9,916 · -36.0%
By 2100
7,295 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Piatt

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.5) · D 33.7% · R 64.3% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -12.6pp · 2024: -30.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.5 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+26.8 2008: R+12.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.20%
Current HPI
164.9164
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending CIBR
  • 2026-05-03 Contingent CIBR
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $130,000 CIBR

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,132 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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