6300 S A1a Unit B5-1TH · Butler Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated sellers! The best floor plan in Quail Hollow, this furnished two-story 3BR/2.5BA townhome/condo (Unit B5-1TH) delivers turnkey coastal living just steps from the beaches. Short-term renting allowed (1 week minimum), making it an ideal beachside AirBnB investment or an effortless second home. Quail Hollow offers a relaxed, gated community on A1A South with lush landscaping, private beach access, and a welcoming coastal vibe. Inside, the unit features beautifully updated downstairs flooring and a remodeled kitchen w/ granite countertops, stainless appliances, upgraded lighting, and plantation shutters. The two-story layout provides comfortable separation between living and sleeping spaces, and the furnishings allow for immediate enjoyment / rental readiness. With private beach access, a community pool, flood insurance included, this condo checks every box for a primary residence, vacation getaway, or income-producing property. There is a 1 week minimum for renting.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Remodeled kitchen
- Private beach access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $400k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (37.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $366k (8.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $249k (37.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.7% in Butler Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#784 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: W. Douglas Hartley Elementary (math 79% / reading 74%, grade A, #185 of 2,144 statewide, top 9%, 633 students, 42% FRL); Gamble Rogers Middle School (math 61% / reading 55%, grade B, #151 of 571 statewide, top 27%, 925 students, 47% FRL); Pedro Menendez High School (math 31% / reading 54%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,519 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 20% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 59% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Johns average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 625 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 57d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,662/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 173 days — a 12% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 20% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 173 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.57%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $673,540
- List price
- $399,900
- Delta
- -40.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6300 A1a S Unit B3 4TH | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,525 (0%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $230 | 96 |
| 6240 A1a S #316 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,397 (-8%) | 0mo | $725,000 | $519 | 74 |
| 6240 A1a S #213 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,397 (-8%) | 1mo | $720,000 | $515 | 74 |
| 6170 A1a S #312 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,656 (+9%) | 2mo | $790,000 | $477 | 72 |
| 6306 Gomez Rd | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,686 (+11%) | 2mo | $755,000 | $448 | 62 |
| 299 Pizarro Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,562 (+2%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $240 | 62 |
| 5367 5th St | 1.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (-1%) | 0mo | $455,000 | $303 | 60 |
| 5324 2nd St | 1.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-2%) | 2mo | $589,000 | $393 | 58 |
| 6100 A1a S #318 | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,186 (-22%) | 0mo | $470,000 | $396 | 52 |
| 5354 A1a S | 1.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+18%) | 1mo | $470,000 | $261 | 38 |
| 5467 1st St | 1.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (-23%) | 2mo | $468,000 | $397 | 36 |
| 7145 A1a S #14 | 0.98mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-20%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $204 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -41.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.26×
- Total profit
- $-140,962
- Equity at exit
- $59,626
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.20×
- Total profit
- $-246,323
- Equity at exit
- $34,576
Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 1 under contract
- Median asking
- $448,900 ($362/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 664 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +22.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32080
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 625
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,662 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,097
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$500 /mo · $5,998/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$742
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$769
- Net cashflow
- $-1,039
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-763 | -5% $-901 | +0% $-1,039 | +5% $-1,178 | +10% $-1,316 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,329 | -5% $-1,184 | +0% $-1,039 | +5% $-895 | +10% $-750 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-838 | -0.5pp $-938 | base $-1,039 | +0.5pp $-1,143 | +1.0pp $-1,248 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,975
- Closing costs
- $11,997
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6240 A1A S Unit 1281960P St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $4,297 | $2.96 | 56d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 221 Desoto Rd Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $3,000 | $1.92 | 66d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 6100 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 1253532P St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1119 | $6,804 | $6.08 | 30d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 6824 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 1281930P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1689 | $7,768 | $4.60 | 64d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6832 Middleton Ave St Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1791 | $4,000 | $2.23 | 27d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 6347 Salado Rd Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $3,000 | $1.74 | 70d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5650 A1A S Unit C218 St Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $2,800 | $2.07 | 27d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 84 Aloha Cir St Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1261 | $3,000 | $2.38 | 27d | 1 | 0.98mi |
HOA detail $742/mo · $8,904/yr condo
- Likely covers
- landscapingpoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $399,900 Active 173 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $399,900 Active 172 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $399,900 Active 171 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $399,900 Active 170 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $399,900 Active 169 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $399,900 Active 168 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $399,900 Active 165 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $399,900 Active 163 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $399,900 Active 158 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $399,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $399,900 Active 156 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $399,900 Active 155 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $399,900 Active 152 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $399,900 Active 151 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $399,900 Active 150 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $399,900 Active 149 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $399,900 Active 148 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $399,900 Active 147 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $399,900 Active 146 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $399,900 Active 145 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $399,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $399,900 Active 143 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $399,900 Active 141 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $399,900 Active 140 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $399,900 Active 139 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $399,900 Active 137 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $399,900 Active 136 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $399,900 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $399,900 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $399,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $399,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $399,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $399,900 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $399,900 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $399,900 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $399,900 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $399,900 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $399,900 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $399,900 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $399,900 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $399,900 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $399,900 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $399,900 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $399,900 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $399,900 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $399,900 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $399,900 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $399,900 Active 105 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $399,900 Active 104 DOM
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2026-04-19price $399,900 988-char remark
Show marketing remark (988 chars)
Motivated sellers! The best floor plan in Quail Hollow, this furnished two-story 3BR/2.5BA townhome/condo (Unit B5-1TH) delivers turnkey coastal living just steps from the beaches. Short-term renting allowed (1 week minimum), making it an ideal beachside AirBnB investment or an effortless second home. Quail Hollow offers a relaxed, gated community on A1A South with lush landscaping, private beach access, and a welcoming coastal vibe. Inside, the unit features beautifully updated downstairs flooring and a remodeled kitchen w/ granite countertops, stainless appliances, upgraded lighting, and plantation shutters. The two-story layout provides comfortable separation between living and sleeping spaces, and the furnishings allow for immediate enjoyment / rental readiness. With private beach access, a community pool, flood insurance included, this condo checks every box for a primary residence, vacation getaway, or income-producing property. There is a 1 week minimum for renting.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,401
- − Property taxes
- −$5,998
- − Insurance
- −$7,118
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,515
- − Management
- −$3,515
- − HOA
- −$8,904
- − Depreciation
- −$11,633
- Taxable loss
- −$19,145
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,595
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,879/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This well-maintained, turnkey townhome in Quail Hollow offers a great coastal living experience with a two-story layout, updated kitchen, and a private beach access. It's an ideal investment property for both short-term rentals and second homes.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — Butler Beach
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #784
- US rank
- #17810
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Butler Beach, FL
- County
- Saint Johns County · 303,941 people
- City population
- 21,368
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,894
- Household income
- $92,531
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -560.06%
- Current HPI
- 301.5733
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.97%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-14.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $399,900 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2026-02-11 Listed $419,900 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $429,900 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2025-06-21 Price Changed $464,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2025-04-05 Price Changed $469,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…