115 10th Ave · Chickasaw, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 115 10th Street Chickasaw. This house is on a corner lot with a detached workshop/Garage. Two living areas and a nice small area on the front porch to sit and watch the sun set. Call your favorite Realtor today for a personal tour.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Detached workshop
- Two living areas
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 7.2% in Chickasaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#237 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.21%
- DSCR
- 2.48
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,184
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -24.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154 Chieftain Way | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,286 (-0%) | 1mo | $78,000 | $61 | 94 |
| 263 9th Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,329 (+3%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $56 | 83 |
| 305 11th Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-11%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $56 | 63 |
| 250 10th Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,118 (-13%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $63 | 62 |
| 305 5th Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-4%) | 11mo | $60,000 | $49 | 60 |
| 94 DIAMOND St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-6%) | 12mo | $168,000 | $138 | 56 |
| 206 5th St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,376 (+7%) | 8mo | $53,500 | $39 | 56 |
| 315 4th Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,369 (+6%) | 10mo | $129,000 | $94 | 50 |
| 310 8th Ave | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-10%) | 10mo | $76,500 | $66 | 49 |
| 254 4th Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+13%) | 8mo | $209,000 | $144 | 42 |
| 364 3rd Pl | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,106 (-14%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $136 | 41 |
| 605 Townsend Cir | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,099 (-15%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $105 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.71×
- Total profit
- $62,182
- Equity at exit
- $53,963
- IRR
- 43.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.53×
- Total profit
- $159,868
- Equity at exit
- $116,373
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36611
- Home prices YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,076 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $564/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $464
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $498 | -5% $481 | +0% $464 | +5% $447 | +10% $430 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $379 | -5% $422 | +0% $464 | +5% $507 | +10% $549 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $494 | -0.5pp $479 | base $464 | +0.5pp $449 | +1.0pp $433 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Thompson Blvd Chickasaw, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $1,500 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 101 Grant St Chickasaw, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1383 | $895 | $0.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 78 Lee St Chickasaw, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1412 | $1,100 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 311 Grant St Chickasaw, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 408 Rawls Ave Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3 Southern St Chickasaw, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $795 | $0.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,900 Active 141 DOM
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2026-05-13price $59,900 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
Welcome to 115 10th Street Chickasaw. This house is on a corner lot with a detached workshop/Garage. Two living areas and a nice small area on the front porch to sit and watch the sun set. Call your favorite Realtor today for a personal tour.
-
2026-05-01price $65,000 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
Welcome to 115 10th Street Chickasaw. This house is on a corner lot with a detached workshop/Garage. Two living areas and a nice small area on the front porch to sit and watch the sun set. Call your favorite Realtor today for a personal tour.
-
2026-02-04price $68,500 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
Welcome to 115 10th Street Chickasaw. This house is on a corner lot with a detached workshop/Garage. Two living areas and a nice small area on the front porch to sit and watch the sun set. Call your favorite Realtor today for a personal tour.
-
2026-01-09$78,500 Active 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
Welcome to 115 10th Street Chickasaw. This house is on a corner lot with a detached workshop/Garage. Two living areas and a nice small area on the front porch to sit and watch the sun set. Call your favorite Realtor today for a personal tour.
-
2006-12-08soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $564 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $564 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,914
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$564
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,033
- − Management
- −$1,033
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $4,887
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,173
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,397/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Chickasaw
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #17438
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chickasaw, AL
- City population
- 6,367
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,367
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 38% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.90%
- Current HPI
- 196.621
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-7.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $59,900 GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $65,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $68,500 GCMLS AL
- 2026-01-09 Listed $78,500 GCMLS AL
- 2006-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $564 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…