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1574 Hubbell Rd
D Composite 40.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,900

1574 Hubbell Rd · Wesley Chapel, FL 33543
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,673 sqft · Townhouse public records · 91 Days on market
Built 2021 Good condition 1,958 sqft lot Garage $167/sqft · 10% below area Est $312k · 10% under $154/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Under Construction. Builder offering buyers up to $10,000 toward closing costs with use of preferred lender & title. All townhomes at Union Park are modernly designed and built-to-last by featuring exclusive all concrete block construction, a full appliance package, granite countertops, an automated smart home package. Aside from being close to shopping, dining, entertainment and local events, Union Park residents will have access to an exclusive clubhouse with a fitness center, sparking pool, tot lot, open sports field, walking trails, and more. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

Key facts

  • Upgraded townhome
  • Carpet free interior
  • Open concept layout

Tags

UPGRADED TOWNHOMELUXURY VINYL FLOORINGCARPET FREE INTERIOROPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTGRANITE KITCHEN COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $280k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-385 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (24.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (16.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.6% in Wesley Chapel — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#143 in FL, #2,137 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Double Branch Elementary School (math 58% / reading 62%, grade B-, #680 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 847 students, 31% FRL); Dr. John Long Middle School (math 75% / reading 62%, grade A, #72 of 571 statewide, top 13%, 1,349 students, 28% FRL); Wiregrass Ranch High School (math 60% / reading 69%, grade B-, #78 of 667 statewide, top 13%, 2,114 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 48% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 51% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Pasco average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 757 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 62d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 88% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $211,972 (24.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
4.64%
Cash-on-cash
-5.89%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$312,359
List price
$279,900
Delta
-10.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1570 Hubbell Rd 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,673 (0%) 4mo $279,500 $167 95
1656 Hubbell Rd 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,673 (0%) 1mo $270,000 $161 95
1821 Hovenweep Rd 0.21mi 3/2.5 1,673 (0%) 2mo $265,000 $158 87
1579 Hubbell Rd 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,673 (0%) 15mo $300,000 $179 84
1881 Hovenweep Rd 0.21mi 3/2.5 1,673 (0%) 6mo $260,400 $156 83
32965 Kaloko Rd 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,673 (0%) 12mo $260,000 $155 81
1291 Colt Creek Pl 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,673 (0%) 15mo $313,900 $188 80
32803 Pez Landing Ln 0.18mi 3/2.5 1,673 (0%) 12mo $280,000 $167 80
1998 Hovenweep Rd 0.27mi 3/2.5 1,673 (0%) 10mo $295,000 $176 77
1853 Hovenweep Rd 0.22mi 3/2.5 1,673 (0%) 13mo $285,000 $170 76
1869 Hovenweep Rd 0.22mi 3/2.5 1,758 (+5%) 4mo $285,000 $162 76
1798 Hovenweep Rd 0.17mi 3/2.5 1,758 (+5%) 14mo $310,000 $176 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-30.4%
Equity multiple
0.02×
Total profit
$-76,508
Equity at exit
$41,734
10-year hold
IRR
-56.9%
Equity multiple
-0.58×
Total profit
$-123,858
Equity at exit
$24,201

Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
33 active · 15 under contract
Months of supply
9.4 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$320,000 ($191/sqft)
Median days on market
111 d
This list price
9% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-2.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33543

Home prices YoY
-24.0%
Rents YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
757
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,349 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$502 /mo · $6,026/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$154
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$493
Net cashflow
$-385

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,836
Max offer price $211,972
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-226 -5% $-305 +0% $-385 +5% $-464 +10% $-543
Rent -10% $-570 -5% $-477 +0% $-385 +5% $-292 +10% $-199
Rate -1.0pp $-244 -0.5pp $-313 base $-385 +0.5pp $-457 +1.0pp $-531

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,975
Closing costs
$8,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1604 Hubbell Rd Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1673 $2,170 $1.30 73d 1 0.06mi
1550 Ranchette Rd Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1758 $2,300 $1.31 54d 1 0.09mi
1340 Colt Creek Pl Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1673 $2,600 $1.55 18d 1 0.14mi
1347 Colt Creek Pl Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1673 $2,150 $1.29 48d 1 0.16mi
32997 Kaloko Rd Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 3.0 1758 $1,650 $0.94 41d 1 0.19mi
32997 Kaloko Rd Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1758 $1,650 $0.94 42d 1 0.19mi
1387 Colt Creek Pl Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 3.0 1673 $2,100 $1.26 73d 1 0.19mi
1401 Colt Creek Pl Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 3.0 1673 $2,025 $1.21 73d 1 0.22mi
32794 Pez Landing Ln Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.0 1673 $2,075 $1.24 41d 1 0.23mi
32794 Pez Landing Ln Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1673 $2,075 $1.24 48d 1 0.23mi
32670 Ansley Bloom Ln Wesley Chapel, FL 4.0 2.5 2007 $2,850 $1.42 23d 1 0.33mi
32871 Brooks Hawk Ln Wesley Chapel, FL 4.0 2.5 2007 $2,600 $1.30 42d 1 0.40mi
1092 Pipestone Pl Wesley Chapel, FL 4.0 2.0 2057 $2,650 $1.29 73d 1 0.59mi
1092 Pipestone Pl Wesley Chapel, FL 4.0 2.0 2057 $2,575 $1.25 36d 1 0.59mi
32447 Weathered Oak Dr Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.0 1560 $2,300 $1.47 73d 1 0.68mi
32544 Midsummer Night Ln Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1464 $2,000 $1.37 61d 1 0.90mi
32544 Midsummer Night Ln Unit Labs Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1464 $2,000 $1.37 71d 1 0.90mi
32544 Midsummer Night Ln Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1464 $2,000 $1.37 60d 1 0.90mi
32538 Midsummer Night Ln Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1463 $2,199 $1.50 73d 1 0.90mi
32526 Midsummer Night Ln Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1463 $2,300 $1.57 73d 1 0.91mi
2476 Riversong Lodge Ln Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1463 $2,000 $1.37 73d 1 0.91mi
32497 Midsummer Night Ln Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1463 $2,200 $1.50 73d 1 0.93mi
2477 Bending Bonsai Dr Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1593 $2,250 $1.41 73d 1 1.01mi
2373 Bending Bonsai Dr Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.0 1593 $2,300 $1.44 73d 1 1.03mi
32305 Lexington St Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,450 $1.56 71d 1 1.04mi
32305 Lexington St Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,450 $1.56 73d 1 1.04mi
32745 Sugarplum Loop Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.0 1466 $2,675 $1.82 24d 1 1.10mi
32475 Sugarplum Loop Wesley Chapel, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1130 $2,750 $2.43 7d 182 1.15mi
34142 Polacca Ln Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1373 $2,100 $1.53 73d 1 1.30mi
2085 Hallier Cv Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1373 $2,200 $1.60 54d 1 1.32mi
2081 Hallier Cv Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1553 $1,900 $1.22 18d 1 1.32mi
2187 Hallier Cv Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 3.0 1373 $1,945 $1.42 64d 1 1.33mi
2191 Hallier Cv Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1373 $1,900 $1.38 60d 1 1.34mi
2191 Hallier Cv Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1373 $1,999 $1.46 71d 1 1.34mi
2191 Hallier Cv Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1373 $1,999 $1.46 73d 1 1.34mi
2073 Hallier Cv Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1373 $1,980 $1.44 38d 1 1.34mi
2313 Alee Ln Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1555 $1,925 $1.24 41d 1 1.36mi
31748 Blythewood Way Wesley Chapel, FL 2.0 2.0 1455 $2,150 $1.48 38d 1 1.37mi
31748 Blythewood Way Wesley Chapel, FL 2.0 2.0 1455 $2,150 $1.48 37d 1 1.37mi
2308 Alee Ln Wesley Chapel, FL 3.0 2.5 1373 $1,825 $1.33 66d 1 1.38mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Lease restrictions applyUnfurnished
Financial info
CDD presentOther annual assessments apply
HOA & community
HOA required; monthly HOA $65Additional quarterly association fee $267.07Association fees include cable TV, internet, and recreational facilitiesCommunity amenities: clubhouse, playground, pool, sidewalksPets allowed

Exterior

Parking
Attached garage with 1 garage space
Security
Fire alarmSecurity system
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerPublic utilities
Home design
TownhouseResidential propertyTwo storiesFaces southEntry on multiple levels
Construction
Block constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt on a 0.04-acre lot
Exterior features
SidewalksAsphalt road access

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRange
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Flooring
CarpetCeramic tile
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air
Interior features
Ceiling fansOpen floor planWindow treatmentsBlindsENERGY STAR qualified windows
Laundry & utility
Washer and dryerLaundry closet on upper levelElectric water heater

HOA detail $154/mo · $1,848/yr

Likely covers
poolgym

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $279,900 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    price $279,900 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $285,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $285,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $285,000 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $285,000 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $285,000 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $285,000 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $285,000 Active 80 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $285,000 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $285,000 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $285,000 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $285,000 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $285,000 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $285,000 Active 72 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $285,000 Active 69 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $285,000 Active 68 DOM
  18. 2026-07-15
    days on market $285,000 Active 67 DOM
  19. 2026-07-13
    days on market $285,000 Active 65 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $285,000 Active 64 DOM
  21. 2026-07-11
    days on market $285,000 Active 63 DOM
  22. 2026-07-10
    days on market $285,000 Active 62 DOM
  23. 2026-07-09
    days on market $285,000 Active 61 DOM
  24. 2026-07-07
    days on market $285,000 Active 59 DOM
  25. 2026-07-06
    days on market $285,000 Active 58 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $285,000 Active 57 DOM
  27. 2026-07-05
    days on market $285,000 Active 56 DOM
  28. 2026-07-03
    days on market $285,000 Active 55 DOM
  29. 2026-07-02
    days on market $285,000 Active 54 DOM
  30. 2026-07-01
    days on market $285,000 Active 53 DOM
  31. 2026-06-30
    days on market $285,000 Active 52 DOM
  32. 2026-06-29
    days on market $285,000 Active 51 DOM
  33. 2026-06-28
    days on market $285,000 Active 50 DOM
  34. 2026-06-27
    days on market $285,000 Active 49 DOM
  35. 2026-06-26
    days on market $285,000 Active 48 DOM
  36. 2026-06-24
    days on market $285,000 Active 46 DOM
  37. 2026-06-22
    days on market $285,000 Active 44 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $285,000 Active 43 DOM
  39. 2026-06-18
    days on market $285,000 Active 40 DOM
  40. 2026-06-17
    days on market $285,000 Active 39 DOM
  41. 2026-06-16
    days on market $285,000 Active 38 DOM
  42. 2026-06-15
    days on market $285,000 Active 37 DOM
  43. 2026-06-13
    days on market $285,000 Active 35 DOM
  44. 2026-06-09
    days on market $285,000 Active 31 DOM
  45. 2026-06-08
    days on market $285,000 Active 30 DOM
  46. 2026-06-07
    days on market $285,000 Active 29 DOM
  47. 2026-06-04
    days on market $285,000 Active 26 DOM
  48. 2026-06-03
    days on market $285,000 Active 25 DOM
  49. 2026-06-02
    days on market $285,000 Active 24 DOM
  50. 2026-06-01
    days on market $285,000 Active 23 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,026 · $502/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,026 · $502/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,194
− Mortgage interest
−$15,679
− Property taxes
−$6,026
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,256
− Management
−$2,256
− HOA
−$1,848
− Depreciation
−$8,143
Taxable loss
−$9,412
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,259
After-tax cash flow
$-2,355/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $8,365–$25,095 screening

This modern townhouse in Union Park is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a great layout and is ready for a new owner to move in.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 64/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Double Branch Elementary School B- FL #680/2,144 Nat'l #7,155/41,679 Middle Dr. John Long Middle School A FL #72/571 Nat'l #943/14,009 High Wiregrass Ranch High School B- FL #78/667 Nat'l #2,821/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 79/100

Livability — Wesley Chapel

Score
79/100
State rank
#143
US rank
#2137

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wesley Chapel, FL
County
Pasco County · 570,045 people
City population
100,771
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
40,648
Household income
$107,349
Rent vs Own
14.8% rent · 85.2% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 15% Black 12% Asian 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+1.8% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $285,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $295,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-20 Rental Removed $2,050 RENT.
  • 2025-04-01 Listed for Rent $2,050 RENT.
  • 2025-03-29 Rental Removed $2,050 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-03-29 Rental Removed $2,050 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2025-03-29 Listed for Rent $2,050 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-03-28 Rental Removed $2,050 RENT.
  • 2025-03-14 Price Changed $2,050 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2025-03-13 Price Changed $2,050 RENT.
  • 2025-02-25 Listed for Rent $2,200 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2025-02-25 Listed for Rent $2,200 RENT.
  • 2021-12-29 Sold (MLS) $291,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-01 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-24 Price Changed $291,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-28 Price Changed $289,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-26 Price Changed $284,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-20 Listed $279,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+148.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,026 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…