490 Clove Rd Unit Ms · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Cash flow +5.6/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$344,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 490 Clove Road, Unit MS—a well-maintained basement unit offering a comfortable and functional layout. This unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, along with a spacious living room/dining room combo and a galley kitchen designed for efficient everyday use. The unit also comes with a private parking space and its own private side entrance, in addition to a shared main entrance. The building offers added convenience with on-site laundry machines and available storage. With a practical layout and ample living space, it's a great option for those seeking an affordable and convenient place to call home.
Key facts
- Available storage
- Comfortable layout
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $344k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-719 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (30.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (31.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $235k (31.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 2.7% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 27 Anning S Prall (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B, #161 of 729 statewide, top 24%, 952 students, 76% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($323k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.96%
- DSCR
- 0.60
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $706,798
- List price
- $344,000
- Delta
- -51.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Disosway Pl | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,008 (+12%) | 20mo | $592,800 | $588 | 47 |
| 785 Clove Rd | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-8%) | 19mo | $629,000 | $756 | 46 |
| 160 Alaska St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+12%) | 10mo | $510,000 | $506 | 40 |
| 49 Cornell St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+12%) | 7mo | $550,000 | $546 | 35 |
| 523 Pelton Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.5 | 960 (+7%) | 24mo | $525,000 | $547 | 33 |
| 262 Utter Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,002 (+11%) | 11mo | $695,000 | $694 | 32 |
| 432 Pelton Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,035 (+15%) | 6mo | $800,000 | $773 | 26 |
| 43 Maine Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,032 (+15%) | 21mo | $729,000 | $706 | 26 |
| 35 Alaska St | 0.68mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+12%) | 14mo | $540,000 | $536 | 24 |
| 76 Drake Ave | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,028 (+14%) | 22mo | $610,000 | $593 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.05×
- Total profit
- $-101,408
- Equity at exit
- $51,292
- IRR
- -36.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.52×
- Total profit
- $-146,670
- Equity at exit
- $29,743
Cash invested: $96,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 16 active · 7 under contract
- Months of supply
- 8.0 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $307,000 ($375/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 98 d
- This list price
- 56% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +109.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 10310
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,349 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,804
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$430 /mo · $5,160/yr
- Insurance
- −$143
- HOA
- −$198
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$493
- Net cashflow
- $-719
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-482 | -5% $-601 | +0% $-719 | +5% $-838 | +10% $-957 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-905 | -5% $-812 | +0% $-719 | +5% $-627 | +10% $-534 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-546 | -0.5pp $-632 | base $-719 | +0.5pp $-809 | +1.0pp $-899 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,000
- Closing costs
- $10,320
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1288 Forest Ave Unit 1 Staten Island, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,950 | $3.25 | 66d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1288 Forest Ave Unit 2 Staten Island, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1294 Forest Ave Staten Island, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,300 | $2.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 19 Tompkins Ct Staten Island, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $3,300 | $2.99 | 73d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 270 Saint John Ave Staten Island, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 10d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 11 Broadway Apt 22 Bayonne, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,100 | $2.80 | 7d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5 Kelly Pkwy Bayonne, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,875 | $3.12 | 30d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 15 Broadway #22 Bayonne, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,900 | $3.17 | 48d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 38-40 Kelly Pkwy Bayonne, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,750 | $2.50 | 74d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 42 Kelly Pkwy Unit 202 Bayonne, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,650 | $3.00 | 28d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 46 Kelly Pkwy Unit 204 Bayonne, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,699 | $2.83 | 54d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Part of Arcadia Gardens associationPets allowedMonthly association fee covering snow removal, sewer and exterior maintenance
Exterior
- Parking
- No attached garageAssigned parkingOff-street parkingOn-street parking
- Utilities
- 220-volt electric service
- Home design
- Single-story propertyApproximate year built
- Construction
- Brick construction
- Exterior features
- Lot zoned R3A
Interior
- Kitchen
- Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms
- One bedroom on the first floor
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroom (first floor)
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heatingOther heating systemCooling available (units)
- Interior features
- Central air conditioning (units)Six total rooms
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-07-14days on market $344,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $344,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $344,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $344,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $344,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $344,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $344,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $344,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $344,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $344,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $344,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $344,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-30price $344,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $349,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $349,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $349,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $349,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $349,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $349,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $349,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $349,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $349,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $349,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $349,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $349,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $349,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $349,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $349,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $349,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $349,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $349,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $349,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $349,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $349,000
-
2026-04-29$380,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,190
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,269
- − Property taxes
- −$5,160
- − Insurance
- −$1,720
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,255
- − Management
- −$2,255
- − HOA
- −$2,376
- − Depreciation
- −$10,007
- Taxable loss
- −$14,853
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,565
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,069/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained basement unit offers a comfortable and functional layout with good curb appeal. A kitchen and bathroom renovation would significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
- Minor bathroom fixtures — basic design
Value-add opportunities
- Both kitchen renovation — modernizing kitchen can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both bathroom renovation — updating bathroom can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Richmond · 482,784 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,824
- Household income
- $106,118
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 482,784 people
- By 2030
- 481,831 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 473,159 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 457,242 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 408,029 · -15.5%
- By 2100
- 341,459 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 19% Two or more races 14% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 6% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -266.57%
- Current HPI
- 360.2125
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-8.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $349,000 SIBORMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $380,000 SIBORMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…