🏷️ Likely Rental
507 Agnes St · McKees Rocks, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits at this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in McKees Rocks. This property offers solid bones and a traditional layout, including a full basement, providing a strong foundation for renovation. The home is being sold as-is. Personal property currently remains in the home from former tenant. With the right vision and updates, this property presents a compelling opportunity to take on a project and add to your portfolio. Conveniently located near major roadways, shopping, and access into Pittsburgh.
Key facts
- Solid bones
- Full basement
- Traditional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 22.7% vs local median 11.7% in McKees Rocks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#143 in PA, #1,154 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, employment F.
- Sto-Rox SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #532 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.69%
- DSCR
- 3.61
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $78,876
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Agnes St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,252 (0%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $36 | 99 |
| 503 Vulcan St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,280 (+2%) | 8mo | $51,000 | $40 | 64 |
| 841 Railroad St | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 | 1,226 (-2%) | 6mo | $141,500 | $115 | 55 |
| 773 Frederick St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (-4%) | 13mo | $36,000 | $30 | 54 |
| 709 Camp St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,214 (-3%) | 23mo | $66,000 | $54 | 45 |
| 741 Frederick St | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,230 (-2%) | 23mo | $78,000 | $63 | 45 |
| 235 Marion St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,322 (+6%) | 19mo | $32,000 | $24 | 41 |
| 734 Frederick St | 0.62mi | 2/1.5 | 1,384 (+10%) | 14mo | $174,380 | $126 | 40 |
| 32 Brisk Ave | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,201 (-4%) | 22mo | $152,000 | $127 | 40 |
| 47 May Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-10%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $125 | 38 |
| 58 Ohio St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 1,072 (-14%) | 22mo | $50,000 | $47 | 27 |
| 737 Railroad | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,402 (+12%) | 24mo | $135,000 | $96 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $13,068
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 33.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.35×
- Total profit
- $60,967
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15136
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Rents YoY
- 13.1%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,250 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $238/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $224
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Highland Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $1,425 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 33 Greenough Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 214 Erwin Pl Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,685 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 71 McKinnie Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 219 Woodlawn Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,075 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 135 Dunn St Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,599 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 614 Woodward Ave McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 7d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 907 Chartiers Ave Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 25 Grant Ave #1 Bellevue, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,095 | $1.15 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1124a Dohrman St McKees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1126 Dohrman St Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 214 Wright St Unit Na McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,175 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 915 Woodward Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,399 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 71-73 Sheridan Ave Unit 73 Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 933 Woodward Ave Unit NA McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 933 Woodward Ave Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 16 N Fremont Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 207 Singer Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $1,700 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 802 13th St Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $920 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 27 Rudolph St Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 464 Teece Ave Unit 4 Pittsburgh, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 478 Teece Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,325 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-17$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $238 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $514 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$276/yr (+$23/mo · 115.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,002
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$238
- − Insurance
- −$5,775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,200
- − Management
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $2,333
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$560
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,132/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sto-Rox SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222830
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,268
- Composite
- 8.51/100
- National rank
- #9904
- State rank
- #532 of 539 in PA
Livability — McKees Rocks
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #1154
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McKees Rocks, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- City population
- 22,623
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,623
- Household income
- $69,099
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 768.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Subsaharan African 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.07%
- Current HPI
- 244.6934
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.12%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $50,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
-3.3%/yrLatest (2026): $238 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…