2768 Oakland Loop SE · Salem, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
55+ living at Meadowlark Estates! Beautifully remodeled with attention to every detail inside and out. As you step into the home, your eyes will be drawn toward vaulted ceilings with a beautiful arch creating separation between the open kitchen and living room floor plan. The kitchen has been thoughtfully redesigned for function with new cabinets and plenty of storage. New flooring, trim, and doors throughout. Both bathrooms feature new vanities, toilets, and shower inserts. Outside, the home was fully transformed with new windows, Hardie plank sidings, fresh paint and updated landscaping. The home is situated on a corner lot, so you will be close to the park club house but tucked away enough to enjoy your morning coffee on the covered deck in peace.
Key facts
- Built 1990
- Listed 64 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 2.9% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#59 in OR, #2,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $110k implies a 1733% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.59%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $36,572
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- 200.77%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4454 Eden St SE | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,104 (+2%) | 11mo | $112,000 | $101 | 82 |
| 2730 Oakland Lp SE | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,188 (+10%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $29 | 74 |
| 2750 Oakland Loop SE | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,188 (+10%) | 9mo | $40,000 | $34 | 71 |
| 2200 SE Lancaster Dr Unit 13D | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-2%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $128 | 67 |
| 2200 SE Lancaster Dr | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-2%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $128 | 67 |
| 2232 42nd Ave SE #792 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+7%) | 10mo | $34,000 | $30 | 66 |
| 4347 Essex St SE | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-11%) | 14mo | $38,000 | $40 | 66 |
| 2232 42nd Ave SE #819 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,026 (-5%) | 15mo | $76,000 | $74 | 65 |
| 2200 Lancaster Dr SE Unit 1D | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-11%) | 2mo | $20,000 | $21 | 61 |
| 2232 42nd Ave SE #322 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 938 (-13%) | 13mo | $45,000 | $48 | 53 |
| 2232 42nd Ave #610 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-14%) | 12mo | $45,000 | $49 | 52 |
| 2232 42nd Ave SE #204 | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 945 (-12%) | 11mo | $70,000 | $74 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $13,613
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $50,707
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97317
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,599 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $503
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2728 Lancaster Dr SE Unit 2728-14 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4665 Campbell Dr SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 923 | $1,699 | $1.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4435 Campbell Dr SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $1,445 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4243 Campbell Dr SE Unit 4243 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,550 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1447 Connecticut St SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $2,675 | $2.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1569 Whitaker Dr SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 933 | $1,799 | $1.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4976 Turquoise Ave SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 918 | $1,495 | $1.63 | 14d | 5 | 0.88mi |
| 1029 Raffon Ct SE Unit AR7171-3 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 927 | $1,700 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4776 Buffalo Dr SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1369 | $2,150 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4807 Chinook Ct SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $2,200 | $1.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5192 Caplinger Rd SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 927 | $1,554 | $1.67 | 14d | 25 | 1.19mi |
| 3897 Meadowlawn Loop SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $1,619 | $1.68 | 14d | 26 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-07price $110,000 760-char remark
Show marketing remark (760 chars)
55+ living at Meadowlark Estates! Beautifully remodeled with attention to every detail inside and out. As you step into the home, your eyes will be drawn toward vaulted ceilings with a beautiful arch creating separation between the open kitchen and living room floor plan. The kitchen has been thoughtfully redesigned for function with new cabinets and plenty of storage. New flooring, trim, and doors throughout. Both bathrooms feature new vanities, toilets, and shower inserts. Outside, the home was fully transformed with new windows, Hardie plank sidings, fresh paint and updated landscaping. The home is situated on a corner lot, so you will be close to the park club house but tucked away enough to enjoy your morning coffee on the covered deck in peace.
-
2026-05-06price $110,000 745-char remark
Show marketing remark (745 chars)
55+ living at Meadowlark Estates! Beautifully remodeled with attention to every detail inside and out. As you step into the home, your eyes will be drawn toward vaulted ceilings with a beautiful arch creating separation between the open kitchen and living room floor plan. The kitchen has been thoughtfully redesigned for function with new cabinets and plenty of storage. New flooring, trim, and doors throughout. Both bathrooms feature new vanities, toilets, and shower inserts. Outside, the home was fully transformed with new windows, Hardie plank sidings, fresh paint and updated landscaping. The home is situated on a corner lot, close to the park club house but tucked away enough to enjoy your morning coffee on the covered deck in peace.
-
2026-04-15$120,000 Active 760-char remark
Show marketing remark (745 chars)
55+ living at Meadowlark Estates! Beautifully remodeled with attention to every detail inside and out. As you step into the home, your eyes will be drawn toward vaulted ceilings with a beautiful arch creating separation between the open kitchen and living room floor plan. The kitchen has been thoughtfully redesigned for function with new cabinets and plenty of storage. New flooring, trim, and doors throughout. Both bathrooms feature new vanities, toilets, and shower inserts. Outside, the home was fully transformed with new windows, Hardie plank sidings, fresh paint and updated landscaping. The home is situated on a corner lot, close to the park club house but tucked away enough to enjoy your morning coffee on the covered deck in peace.
-
2026-04-15$120,000 Active 745-char remark
Show marketing remark (745 chars)
55+ living at Meadowlark Estates! Beautifully remodeled with attention to every detail inside and out. As you step into the home, your eyes will be drawn toward vaulted ceilings with a beautiful arch creating separation between the open kitchen and living room floor plan. The kitchen has been thoughtfully redesigned for function with new cabinets and plenty of storage. New flooring, trim, and doors throughout. Both bathrooms feature new vanities, toilets, and shower inserts. Outside, the home was fully transformed with new windows, Hardie plank sidings, fresh paint and updated landscaping. The home is situated on a corner lot, close to the park club house but tucked away enough to enjoy your morning coffee on the covered deck in peace.
-
2025-10-24soldstatus $6,000
-
2025-08-15$10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,184
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,535
- − Management
- −$1,535
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $4,553
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,093
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,941/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with recent cosmetic renovations, making it move-in ready and ideal for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Updated landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Resale Kitchen backsplash — A backsplash can add visual interest and functionality to the kitchen
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures can add value and appeal to potential buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Updated landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Resale Kitchen backsplash — A backsplash can add visual interest and functionality to the kitchen ↑
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures can add value and appeal to potential buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J
- NCES district ID
- 4110820
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,632
- Composite
- 37.16/100
- National rank
- #9017
- State rank
- #103 of 183 in OR
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #2084
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salem, OR
- County
- Marion County · 258,219 people
- City population
- 193,601
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,966
- Household income
- $84,393
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 395.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 360,940 people
- By 2030
- 375,178 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 400,914 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 422,187 · +17.0%
- By 2075
- 460,305 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 464,025 · +28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 17% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 22% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -471.73%
- Current HPI
- 307.3264
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.62%
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+1000.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $110,000 WVMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $110,000 RMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $120,000 RMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $120,000 WVMLS
- 2025-10-24 Sold (MLS) $6,000 WVMLS
- 2025-08-15 Listed $10,000 WVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…