27326 Elise Ct · Daphne, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTMENT OPPURTUNITY. PRICED TO SELL. Sold As is. Open concept floor plan on large lot, with treelined back yard, in convenient Daphne location. This custom-built home offers a spacious feel with a split floor plan that lives larger than it is! NO CARPET, stained concrete floors throughout. This open kitchen with breakfast bar is great for gathering. French doors leading to a covered patio overlooking a tree-lined yard. The primary suite includes a bonus nook, double vanity, tiled shower/bath combo and walk-in closet. Stained concrete floors and 9’ ceilings give the home a clean, feel. AC and Grinder Pump only 2 years old. Just minutes from the YMCA, shopping, and downtown Daphne. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2009
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $95 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (16.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $205k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.9% in Daphne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #3,949 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Daphne Elementary School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #142 of 627 statewide, top 25%, 693 students, 53% FRL); Daphne Middle School (math 25% / reading 62%, grade D, #45 of 257 statewide, top 18%, 846 students, 45% FRL); Daphne High School (math 41% / reading 40%, grade F, #33 of 305 statewide, top 11%, 1,725 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 600 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.66%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $296,203
- List price
- $245,000
- Delta
- -17.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27326 Elise Ct | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,390 (0%) | 0mo | $249,500 | $179 | 100 |
| 7613 Avery Ln | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,370 (-1%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $161 | 82 |
| 7647 Avery Ln | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,413 (+2%) | 9mo | $255,000 | $180 | 80 |
| 7547 Elizabeth Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,438 (+4%) | 0mo | $260,000 | $181 | 80 |
| 7633 Avery Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,346 (-3%) | 7mo | $257,000 | $191 | 79 |
| 7589 Elizabeth Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,437 (+3%) | 9mo | $270,000 | $188 | 75 |
| 7520 Avery Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (-1%) | 13mo | $249,000 | $181 | 73 |
| 27296 Lashay Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,545 (+11%) | 9mo | $307,000 | $199 | 70 |
| 27247 Charles Wesley Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,369 (-2%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $172 | 63 |
| 7343 Franklin Square Ct | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (+6%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $153 | 60 |
| 116 Greenwood Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,444 (+4%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $187 | 56 |
| 7335 Franklin Square Ct | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,486 (+7%) | 13mo | $260,000 | $175 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-36,347
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-34,595
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36526
- Home prices YoY
- -21.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 600
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,047 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,360/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$22
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $95
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $233 | -5% $164 | +0% $95 | +5% $25 | +10% $-44 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-67 | -5% $14 | +0% $95 | +5% $176 | +10% $256 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $218 | -0.5pp $157 | base $95 | +0.5pp $31 | +1.0pp $-33 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2508 Old Spanish Trl Daphne, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8024 Irwin Loop Daphne, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1791 | $2,195 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 8024 Irwin Loop Daphne, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1791 | $2,195 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $22 · $264/yr
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 751-char remark
Show marketing remark (751 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPURTUNITY. PRICED TO SELL. Sold As is. Open concept floor plan on large lot, with treelined back yard, in convenient Daphne location. This custom-built home offers a spacious feel with a split floor plan that lives larger than it is! NO CARPET, stained concrete floors throughout. This open kitchen with breakfast bar is great for gathering. French doors leading to a covered patio overlooking a tree-lined yard. The primary suite includes a bonus nook, double vanity, tiled shower/bath combo and walk-in closet. Stained concrete floors and 9’ ceilings give the home a clean, feel. AC and Grinder Pump only 2 years old. Just minutes from the YMCA, shopping, and downtown Daphne. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-05-13status Pending 751-char remark
Show marketing remark (751 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPURTUNITY. PRICED TO SELL. Sold As is. Open concept floor plan on large lot, with treelined back yard, in convenient Daphne location. This custom-built home offers a spacious feel with a split floor plan that lives larger than it is! NO CARPET, stained concrete floors throughout. This open kitchen with breakfast bar is great for gathering. French doors leading to a covered patio overlooking a tree-lined yard. The primary suite includes a bonus nook, double vanity, tiled shower/bath combo and walk-in closet. Stained concrete floors and 9’ ceilings give the home a clean, feel. AC and Grinder Pump only 2 years old. Just minutes from the YMCA, shopping, and downtown Daphne. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-05-11$245,000 Active 751-char remark
Show marketing remark (751 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPURTUNITY. PRICED TO SELL. Sold As is. Open concept floor plan on large lot, with treelined back yard, in convenient Daphne location. This custom-built home offers a spacious feel with a split floor plan that lives larger than it is! NO CARPET, stained concrete floors throughout. This open kitchen with breakfast bar is great for gathering. French doors leading to a covered patio overlooking a tree-lined yard. The primary suite includes a bonus nook, double vanity, tiled shower/bath combo and walk-in closet. Stained concrete floors and 9’ ceilings give the home a clean, feel. AC and Grinder Pump only 2 years old. Just minutes from the YMCA, shopping, and downtown Daphne. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-05-11$245,000 Active 751-char remark
Show marketing remark (751 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPURTUNITY. PRICED TO SELL. Sold As is. Open concept floor plan on large lot, with treelined back yard, in convenient Daphne location. This custom-built home offers a spacious feel with a split floor plan that lives larger than it is! NO CARPET, stained concrete floors throughout. This open kitchen with breakfast bar is great for gathering. French doors leading to a covered patio overlooking a tree-lined yard. The primary suite includes a bonus nook, double vanity, tiled shower/bath combo and walk-in closet. Stained concrete floors and 9’ ceilings give the home a clean, feel. AC and Grinder Pump only 2 years old. Just minutes from the YMCA, shopping, and downtown Daphne. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-04-30historical $245,000 751-char remark
Show marketing remark (751 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPURTUNITY. PRICED TO SELL. Sold As is. Open concept floor plan on large lot, with treelined back yard, in convenient Daphne location. This custom-built home offers a spacious feel with a split floor plan that lives larger than it is! NO CARPET, stained concrete floors throughout. This open kitchen with breakfast bar is great for gathering. French doors leading to a covered patio overlooking a tree-lined yard. The primary suite includes a bonus nook, double vanity, tiled shower/bath combo and walk-in closet. Stained concrete floors and 9’ ceilings give the home a clean, feel. AC and Grinder Pump only 2 years old. Just minutes from the YMCA, shopping, and downtown Daphne. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-04-30historical $245,000 751-char remark
Show marketing remark (751 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPURTUNITY. PRICED TO SELL. Sold As is. Open concept floor plan on large lot, with treelined back yard, in convenient Daphne location. This custom-built home offers a spacious feel with a split floor plan that lives larger than it is! NO CARPET, stained concrete floors throughout. This open kitchen with breakfast bar is great for gathering. French doors leading to a covered patio overlooking a tree-lined yard. The primary suite includes a bonus nook, double vanity, tiled shower/bath combo and walk-in closet. Stained concrete floors and 9’ ceilings give the home a clean, feel. AC and Grinder Pump only 2 years old. Just minutes from the YMCA, shopping, and downtown Daphne. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-04-30$245,000 Active
Show marketing remark (751 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPURTUNITY. PRICED TO SELL. Sold As is. Open concept floor plan on large lot, with treelined back yard, in convenient Daphne location. This custom-built home offers a spacious feel with a split floor plan that lives larger than it is! NO CARPET, stained concrete floors throughout. This open kitchen with breakfast bar is great for gathering. French doors leading to a covered patio overlooking a tree-lined yard. The primary suite includes a bonus nook, double vanity, tiled shower/bath combo and walk-in closet. Stained concrete floors and 9’ ceilings give the home a clean, feel. AC and Grinder Pump only 2 years old. Just minutes from the YMCA, shopping, and downtown Daphne. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2017-06-21$164,900
-
2009-12-31soldstatus $143,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,360 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,360 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,560
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$1,360
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,965
- − Management
- −$1,965
- − HOA
- −$264
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$3,069
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$737
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,873/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 0100270
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,677
- Composite
- 38.61/100
- National rank
- #4157
- State rank
- #18 of 129 in AL
Livability — Daphne
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #3949
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Daphne, AL
- County
- Baldwin County · 181,514 people
- City population
- 36,484
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,484
- Household income
- $88,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 535.0
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 12% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.47%
- Current HPI
- 227.2692
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+73.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $249,500 GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-13 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-11 Listed $245,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-30 Coming Soon $245,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-30 Listed $245,000 BCAR
- 2017-06-21 Listed $164,900 BCAR
- 2009-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $143,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.9%/yrLatest (2019): $1,360 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…