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None 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 72.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,900

None · Watervliet, NY 12189
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,356 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1947 3,049 sqft lot $127/sqft · 28% below area Est $417k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Solid brick 2-family in the heart of Watervliet offering spacious layouts in both units! Each unit features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a bright living room, formal dining room, and a large eat-in kitchen. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry located on the back porch of each apartment. Beautiful hardwood floors and original wood molding add character throughout. The majority of the windows in both units are replacement windows. The second-floor unit will be delivered vacant and offers potential for a 4th bedroom or added flex space. 1st floor tenants are in a lease and paying $1500/mo. Major updates include a new boiler (2023) for 1st floor and new roof (2024). Navien on demand water system for 2nd floor unit. Separate utilities make this an ideal owner-occupant or investment opportunity. Additional highlights include a large, dry basement for storage, backyard space, garage, and off-street parking.

Key facts

  • New boiler
  • In unit laundry
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

IN UNIT LAUNDRYHARDWOOD FLOORSREPLACEMENT WINDOWSNEW BOILERNEW ROOFDRY BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $299,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$417,345) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $811 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $406/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $291k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.9% in Watervliet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#51 in NY, #786 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D.
  • Watervliet City School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #524 of 590 in NY (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,657/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1224% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $239k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $290,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.54%
Cash-on-cash
11.59%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$417,345
List price
$299,900
Delta
-28.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2127 2nd Ave 0.12mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,345 (-0%) 8mo $188,000 $80 82
2412 11th Ave 0.48mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,356 (0%) 8mo $325,000 $138 66
610 23rd St 0.20mi 4/2.0 2,620 (+11%) 8mo $292,000 $111 66
1525 6th Ave 0.48mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,464 (+5%) 2mo $240,000 $97 64
1316 5th Ave 0.68mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,346 (-0%) 5mo $280,000 $119 58
818 24th St 0.33mi 4/2.0 2,066 (-12%) 8mo $274,000 $133 58
1235 5th Ave 0.74mi 4/3.0 2,328 (-1%) 6mo $290,000 $125 54
2327 12th Ave 0.56mi 4/2.0 2,068 (-12%) 5mo $290,000 $140 49
1506-08 7th Ave 0.54mi 4/4.0 2,108 (-10%) 0mo $190,000 $90 49
25 13th St 0.73mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,106 (-11%) 1mo $289,900 $138 42
3 St Pauls Pl 0.72mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,124 (-10%) 5mo $197,000 $93 37
153 2nd St 0.71mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,640 (+12%) 7mo $350,000 $133 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$16,885
Equity at exit
$44,716
10-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$142,301
Equity at exit
$25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12189

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
72
Price-to-rent
13.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,657 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$380 /mo · $4,563/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$768
Net cashflow
$811

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,630
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 73%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,657

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17 State St Troy, NY 4.0 1.0–1.5 1810 $3,635 $2.01 14d 7 0.57mi
150 2nd St Troy, NY 4.0 1.5 2442 $3,000 $1.23 21d 1 0.74mi
904 Peoples Ave Troy, NY 4.0 1.0 1800 $645 $0.36 19d 1 1.03mi
97 14th St Unit 2 Troy, NY 5.0 2.0 1600 $625 $0.39 19d 1 1.26mi
51 14th St Unit 2 Troy, NY 4.0 2.0 2000 $725 $0.36 19d 1 1.29mi
11 Spring Ave Troy, NY 3.0 2.0 1788 $2,500 $1.40 23d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending 920-char remark
    Show marketing remark (920 chars)

    Solid brick 2-family in the heart of Watervliet offering spacious layouts in both units! Each unit features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a bright living room, formal dining room, and a large eat-in kitchen. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry located on the back porch of each apartment. Beautiful hardwood floors and original wood molding add character throughout. The majority of the windows in both units are replacement windows. The second-floor unit will be delivered vacant and offers potential for a 4th bedroom or added flex space. 1st floor tenants are in a lease and paying $1500/mo. Major updates include a new boiler (2023) for 1st floor and new roof (2024). Navien on demand water system for 2nd floor unit. Separate utilities make this an ideal owner-occupant or investment opportunity. Additional highlights include a large, dry basement for storage, backyard space, garage, and off-street parking.

  2. 2026-05-11
    price $299,900 920-char remark
    Show marketing remark (920 chars)

    Solid brick 2-family in the heart of Watervliet offering spacious layouts in both units! Each unit features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a bright living room, formal dining room, and a large eat-in kitchen. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry located on the back porch of each apartment. Beautiful hardwood floors and original wood molding add character throughout. The majority of the windows in both units are replacement windows. The second-floor unit will be delivered vacant and offers potential for a 4th bedroom or added flex space. 1st floor tenants are in a lease and paying $1500/mo. Major updates include a new boiler (2023) for 1st floor and new roof (2024). Navien on demand water system for 2nd floor unit. Separate utilities make this an ideal owner-occupant or investment opportunity. Additional highlights include a large, dry basement for storage, backyard space, garage, and off-street parking.

  3. 2026-04-22
    status Active 920-char remark
    Show marketing remark (920 chars)

    Solid brick 2-family in the heart of Watervliet offering spacious layouts in both units! Each unit features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a bright living room, formal dining room, and a large eat-in kitchen. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry located on the back porch of each apartment. Beautiful hardwood floors and original wood molding add character throughout. The majority of the windows in both units are replacement windows. The second-floor unit will be delivered vacant and offers potential for a 4th bedroom or added flex space. 1st floor tenants are in a lease and paying $1500/mo. Major updates include a new boiler (2023) for 1st floor and new roof (2024). Navien on demand water system for 2nd floor unit. Separate utilities make this an ideal owner-occupant or investment opportunity. Additional highlights include a large, dry basement for storage, backyard space, garage, and off-street parking.

  4. 2026-03-27
    status Pending 920-char remark
    Show marketing remark (920 chars)

    Solid brick 2-family in the heart of Watervliet offering spacious layouts in both units! Each unit features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a bright living room, formal dining room, and a large eat-in kitchen. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry located on the back porch of each apartment. Beautiful hardwood floors and original wood molding add character throughout. The majority of the windows in both units are replacement windows. The second-floor unit will be delivered vacant and offers potential for a 4th bedroom or added flex space. 1st floor tenants are in a lease and paying $1500/mo. Major updates include a new boiler (2023) for 1st floor and new roof (2024). Navien on demand water system for 2nd floor unit. Separate utilities make this an ideal owner-occupant or investment opportunity. Additional highlights include a large, dry basement for storage, backyard space, garage, and off-street parking.

  5. 2026-03-20
    listed $320,000 Active 920-char remark
    Show marketing remark (920 chars)

    Solid brick 2-family in the heart of Watervliet offering spacious layouts in both units! Each unit features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a bright living room, formal dining room, and a large eat-in kitchen. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry located on the back porch of each apartment. Beautiful hardwood floors and original wood molding add character throughout. The majority of the windows in both units are replacement windows. The second-floor unit will be delivered vacant and offers potential for a 4th bedroom or added flex space. 1st floor tenants are in a lease and paying $1500/mo. Major updates include a new boiler (2023) for 1st floor and new roof (2024). Navien on demand water system for 2nd floor unit. Separate utilities make this an ideal owner-occupant or investment opportunity. Additional highlights include a large, dry basement for storage, backyard space, garage, and off-street parking.

  6. 2021-10-26
    soldstatus $239,000
  7. 2021-10-22
    soldstatus $239,000 692-char remark
    Show marketing remark (692 chars)

    Beautiful 2 Family with 1 car garage & full basement in Watervliet. Each spacious apartment has separate entrances and access to private yard with established grape arbor. The first floor apartment has a Large L/R, D/R & Kitchen along with 3 Bedrooms, Full Bath and Hallway. The second floor apartment has a Large L/R, D/R & Kitchen along with 4 Bedrooms, Full Bath, Hallway, and back porch Laundry Room. Conveniently located to most amenities: walking distance from restaurants and grocery shopping, 1 minute from 787 on ramp, ~ 3 minutes from troy, ~ 15 minutes from RPI, Sage & HVCC College, ~ 20 minutes to U Albany. and ~ 20 minutes from Crossgate Mall. Must See!

  8. 2021-08-26
    listed $239,000 692-char remark
    Show marketing remark (692 chars)

    Beautiful 2 Family with 1 car garage & full basement in Watervliet. Each spacious apartment has separate entrances and access to private yard with established grape arbor. The first floor apartment has a Large L/R, D/R & Kitchen along with 3 Bedrooms, Full Bath and Hallway. The second floor apartment has a Large L/R, D/R & Kitchen along with 4 Bedrooms, Full Bath, Hallway, and back porch Laundry Room. Conveniently located to most amenities: walking distance from restaurants and grocery shopping, 1 minute from 787 on ramp, ~ 3 minutes from troy, ~ 15 minutes from RPI, Sage & HVCC College, ~ 20 minutes to U Albany. and ~ 20 minutes from Crossgate Mall. Must See!

  9. 2017-05-16
    soldstatus $140,500
  10. 2017-05-05
    soldstatus $140,500 Closed (Final Sale)
  11. 2017-03-01
    status Pend (Under Cntr)
  12. 2017-02-16
    listed $144,900 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,563 · $380/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,816 · $401/mo
Expected delta
+$253/yr (+$21/mo · 5.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 46% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,884
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$4,563
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,511
− Management
−$3,511
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable income
$5,276
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,266
After-tax cash flow
$8,467/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Watervliet City School District
NCES district ID
3630210
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,276
Composite
34.23/100
National rank
#5261
State rank
#524 of 590 in NY

Livability — Watervliet

Score
84/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#786

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living B+ Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Watervliet, NY
County
Albany County · 196,626 people
City population
18,656
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
18,656
Household income
$65,276
Rent vs Own
60.3% rent · 39.7% own
Severe rent burden
1224.0

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Two or more races 8% Asian 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.16%
Current HPI
273.8109
Rent YoY
▲ 6.61%
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+107.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $299,900 Global MLS
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted Global MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $320,000 Global MLS
  • 2021-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $239,000 Public Records
  • 2021-10-22 Sold (MLS) $239,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2021-08-26 Listed $239,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2017-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $140,500 Public Records
  • 2017-05-05 Sold (MLS) $140,500 Global MLS
  • 2017-03-01 Pending Global MLS
  • 2017-02-16 Listed $144,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,563 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…