🏷️ Likely Rental
4676 E 37th Ter · Kansas City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great 2 bedroom investment property. Currently occupied. Great tenant, Great neighborhood! Roof was replaced a couple years ago. New hot water heater and AC Unit added 6 months ago. This is a cute home with minimal maintenance issues. Call listing agent for more questions. TURN KEY!
Key facts
- Minimal maintenance
- Hot water heater
- Ac unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $491 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 326 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 326 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.33%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,035
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -39.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3920 Spruce Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (+0%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $108 | 78 |
| 5200 E 39th Ter | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (-6%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $154 | 74 |
| 3713 Kensington Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-5%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $99 | 65 |
| 3630 Jackson Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (-8%) | 5mo | $59,000 | $66 | 61 |
| 4504 E 43rd St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 907 (-6%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $154 | 60 |
| 4132 Spruce Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-5%) | 2mo | $99,995 | $110 | 58 |
| 3942 Myrtle Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 890 (-8%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $96 | 58 |
| 3028 Drury Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,019 (+6%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $113 | 54 |
| 3624 Mersington Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (-8%) | 9mo | $76,000 | $86 | 49 |
| 3640 Cleveland Ave | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 900 (-7%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $117 | 49 |
| 4000 Oakley Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,104 (+14%) | 1mo | $184,000 | $167 | 45 |
| 3316 Cypress Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+14%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $82 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.43×
- Total profit
- $76,847
- Equity at exit
- $71,980
- IRR
- 39.7%
- Equity multiple
- 10.22×
- Total profit
- $206,209
- Equity at exit
- $155,228
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64128
- Home prices YoY
- 21.6%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,238 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $422/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $491
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $536 | -5% $513 | +0% $491 | +5% $468 | +10% $446 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $393 | -5% $442 | +0% $491 | +5% $540 | +10% $589 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $531 | -0.5pp $511 | base $491 | +0.5pp $470 | +1.0pp $449 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4902 E 39th St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,300 | $1.59 | 17d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3736 Cypress Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 8d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3911 Oakley Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,195 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 5601 E 39th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,225 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 5636 E 40th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,225 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5700 E 40th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,245 | $1.53 | 22d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5707 E 40th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,295 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3437 Jackson Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 17d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4028 Myrtle Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,490 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3243 Denver Dr Kansas City, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 862 | $1,088 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3118 Chelsea Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $980 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4216 Cleveland Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,125 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4005 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,050 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3032 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1027 | $1,275 | $1.24 | 8d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5108 E 30th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4144 College Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,095 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4309 College Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,550 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3310 College Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $995 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2855 Van Brunt Blvd Unit A Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,080 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3330 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,410 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4427 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $79,900 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2025-07-30$85,000 Active 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Great 2 bedroom investment property. Currently occupied. Great tenant, Great neighborhood! Roof was replaced a couple years ago. New hot water heater and AC Unit added 6 months ago. This is a cute home with minimal maintenance issues. Call listing agent for more questions. TURN KEY!
-
2023-08-07soldstatus Closed 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
Great Investment Property, In a great neighborhood, Well maintained! Currently Rented/Occupied. This property is being sold as a package deal. Please see supplements.
-
2023-07-28status Pending 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
Great Investment Property, In a great neighborhood, Well maintained! Currently Rented/Occupied. This property is being sold as a package deal. Please see supplements.
-
2023-06-26status Active 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
Great Investment Property, In a great neighborhood, Well maintained! Currently Rented/Occupied. This property is being sold as a package deal. Please see supplements.
-
2023-06-15status Pending 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
Great Investment Property, In a great neighborhood, Well maintained! Currently Rented/Occupied. This property is being sold as a package deal. Please see supplements.
-
2023-06-13status Active 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
Great Investment Property, In a great neighborhood, Well maintained! Currently Rented/Occupied. This property is being sold as a package deal. Please see supplements.
-
2023-06-12historical 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
Great Investment Property, In a great neighborhood, Well maintained! Currently Rented/Occupied. This property is being sold as a package deal. Please see supplements.
-
2023-04-04price $80,000 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
Great Investment Property, In a great neighborhood, Well maintained! Currently Rented/Occupied. This property is being sold as a package deal. Please see supplements.
-
2022-09-28$87,000 Active 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
Great Investment Property, In a great neighborhood, Well maintained! Currently Rented/Occupied. This property is being sold as a package deal. Please see supplements.
-
2008-09-30soldstatus
-
2008-03-12$9,900
-
1995-10-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $422 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $775 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$354/yr (+$29/mo · 83.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,860
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$422
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,189
- − Management
- −$1,189
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $4,861
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,167
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,724/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kansas City 33
- NCES district ID
- 2916400
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,227
- Composite
- 14.8/100
- National rank
- #9387
- State rank
- #308 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kansas City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #2671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kansas City, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 439,467
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,912
- Household income
- $36,088
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 946.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 73.41%
- Current HPI
- 412.6862
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+758.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2025-07-30 Listed $85,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-07 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-28 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-26 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-15 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-13 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-12 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-04 Price Changed $80,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-28 Listed $87,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-09-30 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-12 Listed $9,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-10-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $422 · -4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…