134 E St · Long Hill, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$77,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
New listing this open floor plan unit features 2 bedrooms, lovely front kitchen, enclsoed front porch and access ramp. This unit needs some work. Needs a new bathroom floor and possibly new flooring through out. No Seller repairs and no seller disclosure. Subject to probate approval. Some dogs are allowed pre park management approval. Ground lease is $670. includeds water, septic and trash pick up. All buyers must obtain park approval. Selling as is NO SELLER REPAIRS
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1986
- Listed 55 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Paved off-street parking; 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Septic system; Electric hot water; Above-ground fuel tank
- Home design: Single family home; On leased land; Prefab construction; White exterior
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Prefab construction; No basement (none); No foundation specified
- Exterior features: Level lot; Sidewalk; Covered deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Wall oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heating (kerosene fuel); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Cable pre-wired; Ramps for accessibility
- Laundry & utility: 30-gallon electric hot water tank
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $77k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $77k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.7% vs local median 4.2% in Long Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#75 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Groton School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #96 of 153 in CT (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.76%
- DSCR
- 3.93
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,680
- List price
- $77,000
- Delta
- -4.56%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.99×
- Total profit
- $64,422
- Equity at exit
- $11,481
- IRR
- 70.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.42×
- Total profit
- $159,875
- Equity at exit
- $6,658
Cash invested: $21,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06340
- Home prices YoY
- -27.9%
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,147 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$404
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $942/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $1,181
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,250
- Closing costs
- $2,310
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216 High Rock Rd Unit 3 Groton, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 41 South Rd Groton, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $2,085 | $2.55 | 12d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 300 Michelle Ln Groton, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $2,110 | $2.37 | 12d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 86 Buddington Rd #7 Groton, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,875 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 12 Kamaha St Groton, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $2,345 | $2.83 | 13d | 7 | 0.89mi |
| 8 Sutton Pl Groton, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,100 | $2.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 260 Shennecossett Rd Groton, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $1,852 | $2.36 | 13d | 3 | 0.93mi |
| 20 Sutton Pl Groton, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,100 | $2.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 22 Sutton Pl Groton, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,100 | $2.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 67 Wayne Rd Groton, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1405 | $2,250 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 11 Ledgewood Rd Groton, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1247 | $4,835 | $3.88 | 2d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 16 Benham Rd Unit D Groton, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $2,400 | $1.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 18 events
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2026-06-19days on market $77,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $77,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $77,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $77,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $77,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $77,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $77,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $92,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $92,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $92,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $92,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $92,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $92,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $92,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $92,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $92,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $92,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-04-25$92,900 Active 471-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $942 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,295 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$353/yr (+$29/mo · 37.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,759
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,313
- − Property taxes
- −$942
- − Insurance
- −$385
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,061
- − Management
- −$2,061
- − Depreciation
- −$2,240
- Taxable income
- $13,757
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,302
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,875/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Groton School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901770
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,709
- Composite
- 36.28/100
- National rank
- #4702
- State rank
- #96 of 153 in CT
Livability — Long Hill
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #5502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- New London County · 147,197 people
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,863
- Household income
- $81,792
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1710.0
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Asian 7% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.61%
- Current HPI
- 252.846
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.75%
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
-17.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $77,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $85,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $92,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2022): $942 · +59.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…