21685 NE 133rd Pl · Lake Kerr, FL 32134

$60,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Manufactured public records · 7 Days on market

Built 1999 0.40 ac lot $29/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY!!! in Salt Springs with Lake Kerr access! Located in the Ocala National Forest and close to the Salt Springs Recreation Area, this spacious split-bedroom mobile home offers strong value-add potential on a generous lot. Features include a newer metal roof (installed approximately 2 years ago), separate kitchen, private primary suite, and two additional bedrooms with their own bathroom on the opposite side of the home. Property also includes a 50-amp RV hookup and detached 12x16 shed with window AC. Peaceful location near boating, trails, camping, and outdoor recreation. Property sold AS-IS. Seller has no information on well, septic, or HVAC.

Key facts

• Lake kerr access
• 50-amp rv hookup
• Newer metal roof

Tags

• LAKE KERR ACCESS
• OCALA NATIONAL FOREST
• SALT SPRINGS RECREATION AREA
• NEWER METAL ROOF
• 50-AMP RV HOOKUP
• DETACHED SHED

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property zoned R4; Total acreage about 0.4 acres
• Financial info: No additional financial details provided
• HOA & community: Frst Lake community association with required fees; Association fee $350 annually (about $29.17/month); Cats and dogs allowed

Exterior

• Parking: No parking details provided
• Security: No security details provided
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available; Water connected
• Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; Faces northeast
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Other roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a manufactured home (double wide)
• Exterior features: Other exterior features; Dirt and paved road access; Lake access

Interior

• Kitchen: Convection oven; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
• Interior features: Other interior features
• Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups in unit

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $758 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
• Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 5.8% in Lake Kerr — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 299 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.58% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.45%
• Cash-on-cash: 54.12%
• DSCR: 3.41
• GRM: 3.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 52.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.30×
• Total profit: $38,588
• Equity at exit: $8,946

10-year hold

• IRR: 57.6%
• Equity multiple: 6.71×
• Total profit: $95,961
• Equity at exit: $5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32134

• Home prices YoY: -24.4%
• Active inventory: 299
• Price-to-rent: 3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,549 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$315
• Tax from tax record: −$97 /mo · $1,167/yr
• Insurance: −$25
• HOA: −$29
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$325
• Net cashflow: $758

Break-even live

Break-even rent $590

Max offer price $60,000

Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $792	-5% $775	+0% $758	+5% $741	+10% $724
Rent	-10% $635	-5% $696	+0% $758	+5% $819	+10% $880
Rate	-1.0pp $788	-0.5pp $773	base $758	+0.5pp $742	+1.0pp $726

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $15,000
• Closing costs: $1,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $29 · $348/yr

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-03
   status $60,000 Pending 7 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
5. 2026-05-30
   days on market $60,000 Active 4 DOM
6. 2026-05-26
   listed $60,000 Active
7. 2020-06-15
   soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,167 · $97/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,167 · $97/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,585
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,361
• − Property taxes: −$1,167
• − Insurance: −$300
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,487
• − Management: −$1,487
• − HOA: −$348
• − Depreciation: −$1,745
• Taxable income: $8,690
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,086
• After-tax cash flow: $7,006/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marion
• NCES district ID: 1201260
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $40,015
• Composite: 35.61/100
• National rank: #4890
• State rank: #61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lake Kerr

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lake Kerr, FL
• Population (ZIP): 7,400

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 365,905 people
• By 2030: 376,768 · +3.0%
• By 2040: 396,555 · +8.4%
• By 2050: 412,723 · +12.8%
• By 2075: 446,090 · +21.9%
• By 2100: 436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -72.45%
• Current HPI: 224.9549
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-3.2% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,167 · +24.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.