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904 Poplar Dr
B- Composite 67.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$97,000

904 Poplar Dr · Star City, AR 71667
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 191 Days on market
Built 1980 10,454 sqft lot $96/sqft · 21% below area Est $122k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

An incredible opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or an investor. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is full of historic charm and offers abundant natural light throughout. The spacious primary bedroom provides a comfortable retreat. While the home does need some TLC, it presents a fantastic chance to add value and customize it to your vision. Whether you’re looking to invest or create your first home, don’t miss the potential this property has to offer.

Key facts

  • Barn doors
  • Primary suite
  • Transoms above doors

Tags

WIDE PLANK FLOORINGORIGINAL TRIMTRANSOMS ABOVE DOORSPRIMARY SUITEBARN DOORSFULLY UPDATED KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $97k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#131 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Star City School District (rural): math 22% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #206 of 238 in AR (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($671 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.82%
Cash-on-cash
5.45%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,155
List price
$97,000
Delta
-20.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
903 Poplar 0.03mi 3/1.0 1,086 (+8%) 7mo $145,000 $134 80
402 Miles St 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-7%) 10mo $130,000 $139 66
420 Pine Terrace Dr Dr 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 884 (-12%) 3mo $60,000 $68 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.2%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$60,703
Equity at exit
$87,385
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
7.36×
Total profit
$172,610
Equity at exit
$188,450

Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71667

Home prices YoY
7.7%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,005 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$509
Tax est. 1.5%
$121 /mo · $1,455/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $849
Max offer price $97,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $190 -5% $157 +0% $123 +5% $90 +10% $56
Rent -10% $44 -5% $84 +0% $123 +5% $163 +10% $203
Rate -1.0pp $172 -0.5pp $148 base $123 +0.5pp $98 +1.0pp $73

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,250
Closing costs
$2,910
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $97,000 Active 191 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    statusdays on market $97,000 Active 190 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $97,000 Price Change 189 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $97,000 Price Change 188 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $97,000 Price Change 187 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $97,000 Price Change 185 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricestatusdays on market $97,000 Price Change 184 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 181 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $99,000 Active 180 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Price Change 179 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Price Change 176 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Price Change 175 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Price Change 174 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    pricestatus $99,000 Price Change 173 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,500 Active 173 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,500 Active 172 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,500 Active 171 DOM
  18. 2026-05-19
    price $99,500 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    An incredible opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or an investor. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is full of historic charm and offers abundant natural light throughout. The spacious primary bedroom provides a comfortable retreat. While the home does need some TLC, it presents a fantastic chance to add value and customize it to your vision. Whether you’re looking to invest or create your first home, don’t miss the potential this property has to offer.

  19. 2026-04-20
    price $100,000 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    An incredible opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or an investor. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is full of historic charm and offers abundant natural light throughout. The spacious primary bedroom provides a comfortable retreat. While the home does need some TLC, it presents a fantastic chance to add value and customize it to your vision. Whether you’re looking to invest or create your first home, don’t miss the potential this property has to offer.

  20. 2026-04-02
    price $107,000 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    An incredible opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or an investor. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is full of historic charm and offers abundant natural light throughout. The spacious primary bedroom provides a comfortable retreat. While the home does need some TLC, it presents a fantastic chance to add value and customize it to your vision. Whether you’re looking to invest or create your first home, don’t miss the potential this property has to offer.

  21. 2026-03-18
    price $107,500 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    An incredible opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or an investor. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is full of historic charm and offers abundant natural light throughout. The spacious primary bedroom provides a comfortable retreat. While the home does need some TLC, it presents a fantastic chance to add value and customize it to your vision. Whether you’re looking to invest or create your first home, don’t miss the potential this property has to offer.

  22. 2026-03-10
    price $109,500 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    An incredible opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or an investor. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is full of historic charm and offers abundant natural light throughout. The spacious primary bedroom provides a comfortable retreat. While the home does need some TLC, it presents a fantastic chance to add value and customize it to your vision. Whether you’re looking to invest or create your first home, don’t miss the potential this property has to offer.

  23. 2026-02-13
    price $110,000 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    An incredible opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or an investor. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is full of historic charm and offers abundant natural light throughout. The spacious primary bedroom provides a comfortable retreat. While the home does need some TLC, it presents a fantastic chance to add value and customize it to your vision. Whether you’re looking to invest or create your first home, don’t miss the potential this property has to offer.

  24. 2026-01-07
    price $112,000 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    An incredible opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or an investor. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is full of historic charm and offers abundant natural light throughout. The spacious primary bedroom provides a comfortable retreat. While the home does need some TLC, it presents a fantastic chance to add value and customize it to your vision. Whether you’re looking to invest or create your first home, don’t miss the potential this property has to offer.

  25. 2025-12-31
    price $115,000 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    An incredible opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or an investor. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is full of historic charm and offers abundant natural light throughout. The spacious primary bedroom provides a comfortable retreat. While the home does need some TLC, it presents a fantastic chance to add value and customize it to your vision. Whether you’re looking to invest or create your first home, don’t miss the potential this property has to offer.

  26. 2025-12-24
    price $117,500 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    An incredible opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or an investor. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is full of historic charm and offers abundant natural light throughout. The spacious primary bedroom provides a comfortable retreat. While the home does need some TLC, it presents a fantastic chance to add value and customize it to your vision. Whether you’re looking to invest or create your first home, don’t miss the potential this property has to offer.

  27. 2025-12-10
    listed $120,000 New Listing 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    An incredible opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or an investor. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is full of historic charm and offers abundant natural light throughout. The spacious primary bedroom provides a comfortable retreat. While the home does need some TLC, it presents a fantastic chance to add value and customize it to your vision. Whether you’re looking to invest or create your first home, don’t miss the potential this property has to offer.

  28. 2025-11-13
    status Under Contract
  29. 2025-11-10
    historical
  30. 2025-10-29
    listed $120,000 New Listing
  31. 2023-02-13
    status Under Contract
  32. 2023-02-13
    soldstatus $92,000 Sold
  33. 2023-02-13
    soldstatus $92,000
  34. 2023-01-21
    historical Take Backups
  35. 2022-12-19
    status Back on Market
  36. 2022-12-12
    historical Take Backups
  37. 2022-12-11
    status Under Contract
  38. 2022-12-08
    status Back on Market
  39. 2022-12-06
    status Under Contract
  40. 2022-11-11
    listed $89,000 New Listing
  41. 2021-04-27
    soldstatus $78,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,057
− Mortgage interest
−$5,434
− Property taxes
−$1,455
− Insurance
−$485
− Repairs & maintenance
−$965
− Management
−$965
− Depreciation
−$2,822
Taxable loss
−$68
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$16
After-tax cash flow
$1,497/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Star City School District
NCES district ID
0500028
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$36,400
Composite
18.28/100
National rank
#8957
State rank
#206 of 238 in AR

Livability — Star City

Score
66/100
State rank
#131
US rank
#12052

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Star City, AR
City population
6,927
Population (ZIP)
6,927

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,516 people
By 2030
13,354 · -1.2%
By 2040
13,200 · -2.3%
By 2050
13,170 · -2.6%
By 2075
12,581 · -6.9%
By 2100
10,008 · -26.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.1) · D 24.1% · R 74.2% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-31.9pp toward R · 2008: -18.2pp · 2024: -50.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.1 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+31.5 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+18.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.46%
Current HPI
161.0228
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+27.6% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $99,500 CARMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $100,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $107,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $107,500 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $109,500 CARMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $110,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $112,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $115,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-12-24 Price Changed $117,500 CARMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $120,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Pending CARMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2025-10-29 Listed $120,000 CARMLS
  • 2023-02-13 Pending CARMLS
  • 2023-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 2023-02-13 Sold (MLS) $92,000 CARMLS
  • 2023-01-21 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2022-12-19 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2022-12-12 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2022-12-11 Pending CARMLS
  • 2022-12-08 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2022-12-06 Pending CARMLS
  • 2022-11-11 Listed $89,000 CARMLS
  • 2021-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-15.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $25 · -74.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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